Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.5600 (0.63%) ($25.5200 - $25.7000) on Tue. Nov. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $25.5600(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.22(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.15(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.85(2.86%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.9%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2006	23.45	24.85	25.15	25.22	25.23	25.44	25.56(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	60	32	107	0.82	79%	0.17	59.1	0.74%	0	1.9	81	0
2	Nov_6_2006	23.41	24.79	25.07	25.14	25.14	25.15	25.4(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	0	19	102	1.1	79%	0.17	58.2	0.74%	0	1.7	80	0
3	Nov_3_2006	23.37	24.73	25	25.06	25.14	25.02	24.93(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-20	-11	89	2.8	76%	0.17	58.6	0.71%	0	0.6	65	0
4	Nov_2_2006	23.33	24.69	24.99	25.09	25.1	25.13	25.07(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	10	-6	109	0.76	76%	0.17	63.4	0.7%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Nov_1_2006	23.29	24.66	24.94	25.11	25.12	25.17	25.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	20	13	123	0.62	76%	0.17	74.6	0.71%	0	1.5	69	0

6	Oct_31_2006	23.25	24.63	24.86	25.07	25.11	25.06	25.16(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10	11	119	0.28	76%	0.17	82.5	0.73%	0	1.7	76	0
7	Oct_30_2006	23.21	24.58	24.78	24.99	25.05	25.07	25.03(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	4	104	0.2	76%	0.17	82	0.73%	0	1.5	70	0
8	Oct_27_2006	23.17	24.54	24.73	24.93	24.98	25.15	25.06(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	50	19	103	0.32	80%	0.13	81.1	0.77%	0	1.7	71	0
9	Oct_26_2006	23.14	24.49	24.66	24.86	24.87	25.03	25.19(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	50	33	104	0.42	80%	0.13	82.2	0.77%	0	2.4	78	0
10	Oct_25_2006	23.11	24.43	24.59	24.73	24.74	24.81	24.92(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	20	20	81	0.54	78%	0.09	85.3	0.76%	0	2	61	0

11	Oct_24_2006	23.09	24.38	24.52	24.63	24.66	24.72	24.75(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	16	51	0.3	81%	0.09	80.6	0.76%	0	1.5	53	0
12	Oct_23_2006	23.07	24.34	24.48	24.54	24.58	24.68	24.73(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	30	13	37	0.73	81%	0.09	79.8	0.8%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Oct_20_2006	23.05	24.3	24.43	24.5	24.48	24.6	24.72(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	30	15	36	0.19	81%	0.04	75.7	0.81%	0	1.7	65	0
14	Oct_19_2006	23.04	24.25	24.38	24.44	24.42	24.49	24.55(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	10	29	0.31	84%	0.09	74.7	0.81%	0	1.3	64	0
15	Oct_18_2006	23.02	24.22	24.37	24.43	24.38	24.36	24.39(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	3	34	0.33	84%	0.04	76.8	0.89%	0	0.7	59	0

16	Oct_17_2006	23.01	24.19	24.38	24.4	24.39	24.35	24.33(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-2	42	0.2	78%	0.09	64.7	0.89%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Oct_16_2006	22.99	24.15	24.37	24.39	24.37	24.41	24.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	5	50	0.58	78%	0.04	60	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
18	Oct_13_2006	22.98	24.11	24.33	24.35	24.32	24.42	24.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	10	52	0.18	70%	0.04	63.3	0.92%	0	1.1	66	0
19	Oct_12_2006	22.97	24.07	24.3	24.31	24.28	24.33	24.53(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	10	8	49	0.45	65%	0.09	66.7	0.96%	0	1.6	73	0
20	Oct_11_2006	22.95	24.03	24.25	24.3	24.23	24.23	24.22(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-8	48	0.85	63%	0.04	80.4	0.97%	0	0.7	64	0

21	Oct_10_2006	22.94	24.01	24.23	24.37	24.29	24.24	24.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-20	2	66	0.61	63%	0.09	88.9	0.98%	0	1	67	0
22	Oct_9_2006	22.92	23.98	24.19	24.34	24.32	24.23	24.29(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-30	-2	73	0.58	63%	0.04	77.6	0.98%	0	1	74	0
23	Oct_6_2006	22.91	23.93	24.16	24.31	24.28	24.35	24.2(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	20	1	74	0.43	63%	0.09	60.9	0.98%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Oct_5_2006	22.89	23.88	24.12	24.27	24.25	24.41	24.47(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	40	20	81	0.75	60%	0.04	47.6	0.98%	0	1.7	73	0
25	Oct_4_2006	22.88	23.82	24.05	24.2	24.13	24.21	24.57(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	10	19	71	0.99	60%		38.8	1.02%	0	2.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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