Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.2400 (2.29%) ($22.9100 - $23.2600) on Thu. May. 25, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $23.2400(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.47(-29.13%)
Resistance Level   $23.87
5 Day Moving Average   $22.88(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.2(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.87(-2.64%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2006	22.63	23.87	23.2	22.88	22.81	22.87	23.24(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-44	10	9	-204	0.58	48%	0.09	-42.2	1.19%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
2	May_24_2006	22.61	23.92	23.33	22.82	22.77	22.79	22.72(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-0	-2	-221	3.44	44%	0.09	-43.1	1.16%	0	-1.5	29	NAN
3	May_23_2006	22.59	24.01	23.56	22.84	22.86	22.79	22.81(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-30	-19	-210	0.69	44%	0	-42.3	1.16%	0	-1.6	37	NAN
4	May_22_2006	22.59	24.08	23.77	23.07	22.94	22.75	22.61(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-70	-38	-184	0.84	46%	0.09	-32.3	1.16%	0	-2.1	32	NAN
5	May_19_2006	22.57	24.16	24	23.32	23.3	22.98	23.04(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-100	-31	-143	0.57	49%	0.13	-18.7	1.14%	0	-1.8	40	NAN

6	May_18_2006	22.54	24.21	24.19	23.56	23.54	23.14	22.9(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-120	-56	-112	0.76	49%	0.13	0	1.14%	0	-2.3	38	NAN
7	May_17_2006	22.51	24.27	24.37	23.92	23.87	23.61	22.85(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-59	-80	-57	-66	1.38	49%	0.09	30.1	1.15%	0	-2.8	36	NAN
8	May_16_2006	22.49	24.33	24.52	24.37	24.27	23.93	23.94(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-110	-36	-7	1.31	55%	0.09	73.5	0.99%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
9	May_15_2006	22.47	24.31	24.57	24.58	24.54	24.14	23.87(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-30	-120	-48	25	1.11	55%	0.13	79.6	0.99%	0	-0.9	49	NAN
10	May_12_2006	22.44	24.28	24.57	24.78	24.8	24.62	24.24(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-50	-33	62	1.11	59%	0.18	93.2	0.96%	0	-0.1	54	NAN

11	May_11_2006	22.4	24.21	24.61	24.92	24.8	24.94	24.71(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	0	1	105	0.82	63%	0.22	81.1	0.94%	0	0.8	66	NAN
12	May_10_2006	22.35	24.12	24.57	24.88	24.94	24.99	25.08(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	20	25	124	0.36	66%	0.22	66.9	0.92%	0	1.5	75	NAN
13	May_9_2006	22.3	24.01	24.49	24.68	24.77	24.95	25(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	60	19	109	0.75	66%	0.22	51.6	0.92%	0	1.5	77	NAN
14	May_8_2006	22.25	23.91	24.39	24.57	24.58	24.89	24.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	90	34	117	0.53	68%	0.18	48.9	0.92%	0	1.5	79	NAN
15	May_5_2006	22.21	23.82	24.32	24.42	24.44	24.6	24.94(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	50	36	123	0.83	68%	0.23	42.8	0.92%	0	1.8	84	NAN

16	May_4_2006	22.16	23.74	24.21	24.27	24.29	24.27	24.51(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-0	5	120	0.43	66%	0.23	43.8	0.9%	0	1.4	83	NAN
17	May_3_2006	22.11	23.69	24.15	24.22	24.25	24.29	24.11(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	20	-5	142	0.99	63%	0.18	52.2	0.89%	0	0.8	82	NAN
18	May_2_2006	22.07	23.67	24.11	24.26	24.23	24.32	24.43(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	20	14	187	3.13	63%	0.18	64.7	0.87%	0	1.4	92	NAN
19	May_1_2006	22.03	23.6	24.01	24.26	24.19	24.21	24.11(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	10	4	180	0.39	61%	0.18	69.4	0.89%	0	1	73	NAN
20	Apr_28_2006	21.99	23.55	23.92	24.19	24.16	24.15	24.17(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	-10	3	189	0.5	61%	0.23	71.4	0.88%	0	1.2	77	NAN

21	Apr_27_2006	21.94	23.49	23.79	24.15	24.14	24.18	24.3(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	11	171	0.47	61%	0.23	76.6	0.88%	0	1.7	61	NAN
22	Apr_26_2006	21.89	23.42	23.64	24.06	24.11	24.16	24.27(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	20	17	140	0.79	64%	0.18	72.2	0.88%	0	1.8	58	NAN
23	Apr_25_2006	21.85	23.33	23.5	23.95	23.99	24.11	24.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	41	40	21	101	1.47	65%	0.23	66.2	0.93%	0	1.7	57	NAN
24	Apr_24_2006	21.8	23.25	23.4	23.8	23.86	24.05	24.11(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	60	35	83	0.88	65%	0.18	57.2	0.93%	0	1.9	63	NAN
25	Apr_21_2006	21.76	23.19	23.28	23.6	23.64	23.88	23.94(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	80	38	51	0.53	68%		49.7	0.95%	0	1.8	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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