Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 27, 2005

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $18.8700 (0.96%) ($18.6800 - $18.9000) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $18.8700(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.78(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.59(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.22(3.57%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.42%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.72%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.34%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.51%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2005	17.91	18.22	18.59	18.78	18.72	18.73	18.87(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10	6	139	0.12	63%	0	60.3	0.96%	0	1.4	84	0
2	Jul_26_2005	17.91	18.16	18.52	18.75	18.74	18.67	18.69(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-30	4	154	0.09	60%	0	59.5	0.96%	0	1.2	78	0
3	Jul_25_2005	17.91	18.11	18.48	18.7	18.72	18.72	18.7(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	0	8	171	0.08	60%	0	52.7	0.98%	0	1.3	80	0
4	Jul_22_2005	17.91	18.06	18.42	18.61	18.64	18.81	18.75(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	70	20	177	0.1	58%	0	42.4	0.98%	0	1.6	74	0
5	Jul_21_2005	17.91	18	18.33	18.51	18.51	18.72	18.89(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	68	80	34	170	0.16	61%	0.06	36.9	0.98%	0	2.2	74	0

6	Jul_20_2005	17.9	17.95	18.19	18.37	18.35	18.46	18.74(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	40	23	132	0.18	58%	0	36	1.02%	0	2.3	73	0
7	Jul_19_2005	17.9	17.91	18.08	18.25	18.26	18.3	18.41(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	6	101	0.14	56%	0	36.5	1.02%	0	1.8	65	0
8	Jul_18_2005	17.9	17.91	17.99	18.23	18.26	18.24	18.26(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	4	95	0.13	56%	0	39.3	1.02%	0	1.5	67	0
9	Jul_15_2005	17.9	17.88	17.93	18.2	18.22	18.23	18.24(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	12	94	0.04	53%	0	44.1	1.02%	0	1.4	65	0
10	Jul_14_2005	17.9	17.85	17.87	18.12	18.16	18.2	18.21(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	18	81	0.27	53%	0	38.8	1.06%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Jul_13_2005	17.9	17.83	17.82	17.98	18.01	18.21	18.15(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	80	21	53	0.22	51%	0	20.9	1.06%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Jul_12_2005	17.9	17.8	17.78	17.87	17.83	18.13	18.3(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	110	38	34	0.13	51%	0	5.6	1.06%	0	2.3	54	0
13	Jul_11_2005	17.9	17.78	17.71	17.7	17.66	17.8	18.1(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	16	50	25	-11	0.18	50%	0	-15.9	1.05%	0	1.7	51	0
14	Jul_8_2005	17.9	17.78	17.66	17.62	17.55	17.8	17.82(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-20	1	-55	0.38	48%	-0.06	-26.7	1.03%	0	0.3	36	0
15	Jul_7_2005	17.91	17.76	17.64	17.6	17.58	17.53	17.52(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-9	-68	0.65	45%	-0.06	-30.7	1.01%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	Jul_6_2005	17.92	17.78	17.68	17.64	17.66	17.57	17.61(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-30	-8	-55	0.2	45%	0	-25	1.01%	0	-1	50	0
17	Jul_5_2005	17.92	17.79	17.72	17.67	17.7	17.63	17.47(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-20	-11	-43	0.61	45%	-0.11	-13.3	1.01%	0	-2	45	0
18	Jul_1_2005	17.94	17.79	17.77	17.67	17.74	17.63	17.66(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	10	1	-31	0.44	46%	0	-16.7	0.99%	0	-1	46	0
19	Jun_30_2005	17.94	17.81	17.83	17.7	17.72	17.76	17.74(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	20	5	-17	0.17	48%	0	-22.6	0.99%	0	-0.5	49	0
20	Jun_29_2005	17.94	17.81	17.83	17.69	17.69	17.71	17.7(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	10	-4	-21	0.15	48%	0	-21.4	1%	0	-0.8	47	0

21	Jun_28_2005	17.94	17.82	17.84	17.73	17.71	17.68	17.8(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-20	-7	-19	0.49	48%	-0.06	-14.3	0.99%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Jun_27_2005	17.95	17.81	17.83	17.78	17.77	17.67	17.61(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-40	-14	-18	0.17	47%	0	-11.9	0.98%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Jun_24_2005	17.95	17.83	17.86	17.85	17.86	17.74	17.65(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-50	-23	-6	0.07	47%	0	11.9	0.99%	0	-1.2	49	0
24	Jun_23_2005	17.95	17.84	17.88	17.97	17.93	17.88	17.7(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-1	-30	-10	28	0.19	47%	-0.06	42.3	0.99%	0	-1	53	0
25	Jun_22_2005	17.96	17.85	17.9	18	18.01	17.97	17.91(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10	7	39	0.17	46%		57.7	0.98%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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