Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Oct. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $16.4800 (0.67%) ($16.3500 - $16.5200) on Sat. Oct. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $16.4800(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.27(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.17(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.12(2.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2004	15.53	16.12	16.17	16.27	16.28	16.41	16.48(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	60	21	76	0.05	60%	0.06	76.2	0.92%	0	2.1	55	NAN
2	Oct_28_2004	15.52	16.09	16.12	16.18	16.19	16.31	16.37(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	50	16	45	0.12	60%	0.06	80.8	0.92%	0	1.8	53	NAN
3	Oct_27_2004	15.51	16.06	16.06	16.14	16.12	16.15	16.35(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	10	14	23	0.14	64%	0	81	0.92%	0	1.8	55	NAN
4	Oct_26_2004	15.51	16.04	16	16.08	16.12	16.06	16.05(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-1	-11	0.03	60%	0	69.8	0.92%	0	0.1	43	NAN
5	Oct_25_2004	15.51	16.02	15.99	16.07	16.12	16.1	16.09(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	10	-0	-19	0.04	60%	0	49.6	0.94%	0	0.4	46	NAN

6	Oct_22_2004	15.51	15.99	16.01	16.06	16.09	16.13	16.03(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	20	7	-15	0.03	53%	0	39.1	1%	0	0.2	44	NAN
7	Oct_21_2004	15.51	15.97	16.01	16.04	16.05	16.07	16.18(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	10	12	-14	0.15	48%	0.06	32	1%	0	0.9	53	NAN
8	Oct_20_2004	15.5	15.94	16.02	15.96	16	16.06	16.03(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	8	-20	0.03	48%	0	19.9	1.03%	0	0.4	62	NAN
9	Oct_19_2004	15.5	15.94	16.03	15.92	15.95	16.03	16.03(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	40	7	-14	0.04	48%	0.06	17.9	1.03%	0	0.5	62	NAN
10	Oct_18_2004	15.49	15.92	16.04	15.91	15.9	15.94	16.03(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	20	-0	-3	0.04	48%	0	23.2	1.03%	0	0.5	67	NAN

11	Oct_15_2004	15.49	15.9	16.05	15.95	15.87	15.86	15.93(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-20	-9	24	0.08	48%	0.06	29.8	1.05%	0	0.1	69	NAN
12	Oct_14_2004	15.48	15.9	16.07	16	15.96	15.87	15.78(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-50	-12	52	0.08	48%	0	38.9	1.06%	0	-0.4	61	NAN
13	Oct_13_2004	15.48	15.89	16.07	16.08	16.05	15.88	15.84(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-80	-18	73	0.08	48%	0.06	51.2	1.06%	0	-0.2	64	NAN
14	Oct_12_2004	15.47	15.88	16.08	16.15	16.11	16.05	15.95(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-30	-14	94	0.09	48%	0.06	64	1.07%	0	0.3	62	NAN
15	Oct_11_2004	15.46	15.86	16.05	16.19	16.18	16.21	16.24(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	3	100	0.05	51%	0.06	77.4	1.04%	0	1.5	53	NAN

16	Oct_8_2004	15.45	15.83	15.98	16.18	16.17	16.17	16.21(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-0	5	93	0.25	51%	0.06	86	1.04%	0	1.5	63	NAN
17	Oct_7_2004	15.44	15.79	15.91	16.15	16.15	16.16	16.15(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	9	87	0.05	51%	0.13	87.9	1.05%	0	1.4	62	NAN
18	Oct_6_2004	15.42	15.76	15.85	16.08	16.12	16.17	16.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	15	71	0.04	47%	0.06	85.5	1.05%	0	1.7	63	NAN
19	Oct_5_2004	15.41	15.71	15.8	15.99	16.01	16.15	16.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	30	60	20	59	0.08	47%	0.13	85.5	1.09%	0	1.8	66	NAN
20	Oct_4_2004	15.39	15.66	15.78	15.88	15.9	16.06	16.16(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	70	27	53	0.09	47%	0.07	83	1.09%	0	2.1	60	NAN

21	Oct_1_2004	15.38	15.61	15.73	15.75	15.77	15.88	16.09(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	50	23	27	0.14	47%	0.13	66.9	1.09%	0	2	61	NAN
22	Sep_30_2004	15.36	15.57	15.73	15.64	15.63	15.75	15.77(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	50	10	8	0.07	43%	0.07	65.2	1.07%	0	0.9	58	NAN
23	Sep_29_2004	15.35	15.54	15.68	15.6	15.59	15.66	15.78(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	30	11	10	0.07	43%	0.07	57.4	1.08%	0	1	62	NAN
24	Sep_28_2004	15.34	15.5	15.65	15.57	15.55	15.66	15.62(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-8	-20	-12	4	0.11	43%	0.07	54.7	1.07%	0	0.5	61	NAN
25	Sep_27_2004	15.33	15.47	15.66	15.66	15.59	15.52	15.48(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-11	37	0.02	43%		62.9	1.08%	0	0	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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