Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.7000 (1.38%) ($14.6100 - $14.7200) on Fri. Aug. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $14.7000(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.31(-23.06%)
Resistance Level   $14.99
5 Day Moving Average   $14.69(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.83(-0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.99(-1.93%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.13%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2004	15.45	14.99	14.83	14.69	14.66	14.6	14.7(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-30	-1	-55	0.03	53%	-0.06	-75.6	1.31%	0	-1.1	50	NAN
2	Aug_12_2004	15.46	15.03	14.87	14.71	14.67	14.57	14.5(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-60	-16	-55	0.03	51%	0	-78.3	1.3%	0	-2	39	NAN
3	Aug_11_2004	15.46	15.07	14.94	14.79	14.76	14.72	14.66(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-30	-10	-46	0.04	51%	-0.06	-82.7	1.3%	0	-1.6	33	NAN
4	Aug_10_2004	15.47	15.11	14.98	14.85	14.84	14.78	14.9(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-30	-5	-38	0.04	51%	0.06	-82.6	1.28%	0	-0.8	44	NAN
5	Aug_9_2004	15.46	15.14	15	14.89	14.86	14.8	14.71(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-30	-17	-48	0.03	49%	-0.06	-75.1	1.29%	0	-1.5	33	NAN

6	Aug_6_2004	15.47	15.19	15.01	14.99	14.97	14.91	14.8(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-30	-9	-44	0.03	42%	-0.06	-71.2	1.34%	0	-1.4	37	NAN
7	Aug_5_2004	15.48	15.24	15.03	15.06	15.04	14.93	14.86(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-60	-11	-47	0.04	42%	0	-66.3	1.39%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
8	Aug_4_2004	15.48	15.28	15.08	15.12	15.1	15.04	14.99(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-30	-6	-34	0.07	44%	-0.06	-65.3	1.39%	0	-1	45	NAN
9	Aug_3_2004	15.49	15.33	15.1	15.13	15.17	15.14	15.11(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10	1	-39	0.12	44%	0	-66.3	1.4%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
10	Aug_2_2004	15.49	15.36	15.13	15.12	15.13	15.17	15.2(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	20	8	-41	0.04	44%	0	-72.8	1.4%	0	-0.5	42	NAN

11	Jul_30_2004	15.49	15.39	15.15	15.03	15.1	15.21	15.14(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	60	8	-63	0.01	44%	0	-70.6	1.42%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
12	Jul_29_2004	15.49	15.44	15.18	15	15.02	15.1	15.17(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	40	1	-79	0.04	44%	-0.06	-69.1	1.42%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
13	Jul_28_2004	15.5	15.48	15.19	15.04	14.96	14.99	15.05(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-0	-1	-87	0.01	42%	-0.06	-56.1	1.42%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
14	Jul_27_2004	15.51	15.53	15.24	15.06	15.03	14.99	15.04(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-50	-10	-94	0.02	42%	-0.13	-50	1.44%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
15	Jul_26_2004	15.53	15.58	15.29	15.15	15.12	14.93	14.77(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-90	-22	-92	0.05	40%	-0.13	-41.1	1.42%	0	-2.3	31	NAN

16	Jul_23_2004	15.55	15.63	15.39	15.28	15.26	15.12	14.97(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-70	-18	-80	0.07	40%	-0.06	-37.5	1.42%	0	-2.2	28	NAN
17	Jul_22_2004	15.56	15.67	15.47	15.38	15.36	15.32	15.37(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-20	-2	-66	0.11	44%	-0.06	-31.3	1.38%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
18	Jul_21_2004	15.57	15.69	15.51	15.36	15.42	15.39	15.17(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-0	-8	-83	0.07	44%	-0.06	-34.6	1.38%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
19	Jul_20_2004	15.58	15.72	15.58	15.44	15.43	15.4	15.48(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-20	-5	-76	0.02	44%	-0.06	-35	1.36%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
20	Jul_19_2004	15.59	15.73	15.6	15.46	15.47	15.4	15.4(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-7	-81	0.04	44%	-0.06	-27.1	1.38%	0	-1.5	35	NAN

21	Jul_16_2004	15.6	15.74	15.66	15.52	15.52	15.46	15.5(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-30	-7	-66	0.04	44%	0	-25.2	1.38%	0	-1.2	45	NAN
22	Jul_15_2004	15.6	15.76	15.71	15.58	15.56	15.48	15.27(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-40	-15	-58	0.05	42%	-0.06	-16.5	1.37%	0	-2.5	37	NAN
23	Jul_14_2004	15.61	15.78	15.8	15.67	15.66	15.59	15.54(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-30	-9	-31	0.27	44%	-0.06	-17.8	1.35%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
24	Jul_13_2004	15.62	15.78	15.84	15.73	15.71	15.65	15.57(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-30	-6	-10	0.03	43%	-0.06	-20	1.36%	0	-1.5	53	NAN
25	Jul_12_2004	15.63	15.79	15.88	15.76	15.76	15.72	15.74(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-20	-7	2	0.03	43%		-26.3	1.36%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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