Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.7200 (-0.2%) ($14.6200 - $14.8000) on Thu. May. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $14.7200(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.89(-32.81%)
Resistance Level   $15.46
5 Day Moving Average   $14.81(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.2(-3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.46(-4.79%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2004	16.05	15.46	15.2	14.81	14.73	14.71	14.72(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-30	-18	-145	0.3	35%	-0.06	-60.4	1.38%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
2	May_12_2004	16.06	15.51	15.28	14.96	14.81	14.75	14.75(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-27	-132	0.37	35%	-0.06	-60.3	1.4%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
3	May_11_2004	16.07	15.55	15.37	15.2	15.01	14.74	14.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-160	-28	-96	0.82	36%	-0.06	-52.4	1.4%	0	-2.3	39	NAN
4	May_10_2004	16.08	15.6	15.49	15.39	15.27	14.88	14.75(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-41	-200	-34	-61	0.13	36%	-0.06	-44.1	1.42%	0	-2.9	37	NAN
5	May_7_2004	16.09	15.67	15.6	15.55	15.53	15.28	15.02(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-26	-120	-23	-34	0.23	38%	-0.06	-36.4	1.41%	0	-3	36	NAN

6	May_6_2004	16.1	15.71	15.69	15.55	15.64	15.67	15.49(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	20	-4	-13	0.18	42%	0	-34.3	1.37%	0	-1.3	45	NAN
7	May_5_2004	16.1	15.74	15.72	15.63	15.63	15.78	15.95(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	70	14	-5	0.02	45%	0	-23.1	1.34%	0	1.2	56	NAN
8	May_4_2004	16.1	15.74	15.68	15.57	15.55	15.6	15.76(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-5	20	-0	-21	0.15	44%	0.06	-25	1.34%	0	0.2	56	NAN
9	May_3_2004	16.09	15.73	15.66	15.61	15.56	15.6	15.55(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-8	-22	0.16	42%	0	-7.4	1.33%	0	-1.1	47	NAN
10	Apr_30_2004	16.09	15.75	15.69	15.67	15.68	15.49	15.41(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-80	-17	-18	0.05	42%	-0.06	21.6	1.33%	0	-2.1	38	NAN

11	Apr_29_2004	16.1	15.75	15.74	15.76	15.8	15.64	15.49(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-12	-60	-15	-3	0.15	42%	0.06	60.7	1.32%	0	-2	43	NAN
12	Apr_28_2004	16.09	15.75	15.76	15.81	15.87	15.87	15.62(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	10	-2	2	0.04	40%	0	97.8	1.32%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
13	Apr_27_2004	16.09	15.77	15.75	15.8	15.84	15.96	15.97(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	60	13	-2	0.1	42%	0.06	105.3	1.32%	0	1.3	52	NAN
14	Apr_26_2004	16.08	15.74	15.75	15.72	15.74	15.88	15.85(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	70	7	-20	0.07	42%	0	102.9	1.31%	0	0.7	50	NAN
15	Apr_23_2004	16.08	15.71	15.75	15.73	15.67	15.72	15.88(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	10	7	-17	0.07	42%	0.06	84.3	1.31%	0	0.9	51	NAN

16	Apr_22_2004	16.07	15.68	15.73	15.71	15.66	15.6	15.75(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-40	-1	-23	0.07	42%	0	72.1	1.31%	0	0.3	49	NAN
17	Apr_21_2004	16.07	15.64	15.75	15.71	15.69	15.62	15.54(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-30	-4	-15	0.22	44%	0.06	42.7	1.3%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
18	Apr_20_2004	16.06	15.61	15.78	15.7	15.7	15.72	15.6(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	10	-3	-5	0.07	45%	0	34.6	1.33%	0	-0	56	NAN
19	Apr_19_2004	16.06	15.58	15.81	15.72	15.66	15.76	15.88(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	30	1	11	0.07	47%	0.06	30.3	1.33%	0	0.8	66	NAN
20	Apr_16_2004	16.05	15.55	15.81	15.74	15.67	15.68	15.79(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10	1	30	0.24	47%	0	26.5	1.34%	0	0.6	71	NAN

21	Apr_15_2004	16.05	15.53	15.8	15.75	15.79	15.57	15.68(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-90	-10	42	0.03	47%	0.06	27.6	1.34%	0	0.4	63	NAN
22	Apr_14_2004	16.04	15.52	15.8	15.81	15.85	15.66	15.55(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-80	-22	70	0.04	49%	0.06	28.9	1.33%	0	0.1	72	NAN
23	Apr_13_2004	16.03	15.5	15.79	15.87	15.95	16.02	15.72(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	50	-4	101	0.1	49%	0.06	22	1.36%	0	0.6	68	NAN
24	Apr_12_2004	16.02	15.47	15.77	15.9	15.96	16.04	15.94(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	50	11	130	0.18	51%	0.25	4.6	1.35%	0	1.3	76	NAN
25	Apr_8_2004	15.98	15.45	15.7	15.87	15.85	15.89	15.84(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	1	127	0.05	53%		-10.5	1.34%	0	1.1	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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