Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 2, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $16.3300 (0.86%) ($16.3000 - $16.4600) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $16.3300(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.12(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.96(2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.72(3.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.66%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2004	13.95	15.72	15.96	16.12	16.16	16.28	16.33(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	60	23	105	0.19	83%	0.43	96.3	1.1%	0	2	69	0
2	Dec_31_2003	13.89	15.67	15.89	16.01	16.03	16.13	16.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	17	92	0.1	85%	0.22	107.3	1.14%	0	1.9	72	0
3	Dec_30_2003	13.86	15.62	15.84	15.91	15.92	16.05	16.07(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	17	79	0.1	82%	0.29	107.3	1.21%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Dec_29_2003	13.82	15.57	15.78	15.83	15.81	15.92	16.17(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	40	15	67	0.12	82%	0.29	120.2	1.23%	0	2.2	69	0
5	Dec_26_2003	13.78	15.5	15.71	15.76	15.81	15.78	15.85(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	20	2	58	0.04	81%	0.36	120.4	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0

6	Dec_24_2003	13.73	15.44	15.68	15.77	15.72	15.7	15.78(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	5	69	0.02	74%	0.22	109.8	1.21%	0	1	61	0
7	Dec_23_2003	13.7	15.38	15.64	15.74	15.73	15.66	15.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-3	57	0.13	74%	0.29	97.2	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
8	Dec_22_2003	13.66	15.32	15.61	15.75	15.71	15.73	15.68(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	0	1	70	0.12	69%	0.22	94.8	1.31%	0	0.9	67	0
9	Dec_19_2003	13.63	15.25	15.58	15.71	15.72	15.79	15.8(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	11	73	0.29	69%	0.22	76.9	1.36%	0	1.2	70	0
10	Dec_18_2003	13.6	15.17	15.53	15.65	15.66	15.69	15.93(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	20	10	78	0.08	70%	0.22	64.9	1.36%	0	1.5	78	0

11	Dec_17_2003	13.57	15.09	15.47	15.58	15.6	15.64	15.63(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	8	89	0.08	69%	0.22	60.7	1.35%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Dec_16_2003	13.54	15.02	15.44	15.51	15.57	15.63	15.72(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	10	104	0.17	70%	0.22	57.5	1.35%	0	1.3	83	0
13	Dec_15_2003	13.51	14.94	15.38	15.45	15.48	15.57	15.45(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	50	4	108	0.2	69%	0.22	57.2	1.35%	0	1	77	0
14	Dec_12_2003	13.48	14.9	15.34	15.44	15.45	15.5	15.53(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	10	136	1.16	67%	0.22	61	1.35%	0	1.3	84	0
15	Dec_11_2003	13.45	14.85	15.27	15.39	15.39	15.39	15.57(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	0	5	148	0.1	67%	0.22	66.3	1.36%	0	1.5	86	0

16	Dec_10_2003	13.42	14.78	15.18	15.35	15.34	15.4	15.29(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	30	-1	154	0.05	66%	0.22	70.7	1.35%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Dec_9_2003	13.39	14.72	15.1	15.36	15.36	15.39	15.42(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	10	12	171	0.13	64%	0.3	69.6	1.36%	0	1.5	80	0
18	Dec_8_2003	13.35	14.66	15.02	15.29	15.32	15.28	15.37(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10	5	168	0.26	64%	0.15	69.4	1.37%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Dec_5_2003	13.33	14.6	14.9	15.23	15.26	15.33	15.28(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	40	9	153	0.14	64%	0.3	73.2	1.37%	0	1.6	64	0
20	Dec_4_2003	13.29	14.53	14.78	15.14	15.2	15.36	15.39(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	90	25	134	1.12	66%	0.23	71.6	1.37%	0	2.1	68	0

21	Dec_3_2003	13.26	14.46	14.67	14.98	15.04	15.2	15.33(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	90	26	108	0.17	67%	0.23	69.1	1.38%	0	2.4	70	0
22	Dec_2_2003	13.23	14.4	14.55	14.81	14.86	15.04	15.08(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	90	19	82	0.15	67%	0.15	71.6	1.38%	0	2.2	71	0
23	Dec_1_2003	13.21	14.35	14.47	14.7	14.72	14.89	15.09(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	80	28	72	0.21	67%	0.23	80.9	1.39%	0	2.7	70	0
24	Nov_28_2003	13.18	14.29	14.41	14.52	14.57	14.69	14.8(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	70	22	49	0.02	65%	0.3	82.6	1.38%	0	2.2	63	0
25	Nov_26_2003	13.14	14.25	14.38	14.38	14.43	14.56	14.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	70	14	36	0.03	65%		83	1.36%	0	1.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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