Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.6300 (-0.57%) ($15.5300 - $15.6700) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $15.6300(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.58(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.47(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.09(3.58%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2003	13.57	15.09	15.47	15.58	15.6	15.64	15.63(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	8	89	0.08	69%	0.22	60.7	1.35%	0	1.1	78	0
2	Dec_16_2003	13.54	15.02	15.44	15.51	15.57	15.63	15.72(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	10	104	0.17	70%	0.22	57.5	1.35%	0	1.3	83	0
3	Dec_15_2003	13.51	14.94	15.38	15.45	15.48	15.57	15.45(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	50	4	108	0.2	69%	0.22	57.2	1.35%	0	1	77	0
4	Dec_12_2003	13.48	14.9	15.34	15.44	15.45	15.5	15.53(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	10	136	1.16	67%	0.22	61	1.35%	0	1.3	84	0
5	Dec_11_2003	13.45	14.85	15.27	15.39	15.39	15.39	15.57(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	0	5	148	0.1	67%	0.22	66.3	1.36%	0	1.5	86	0

6	Dec_10_2003	13.42	14.78	15.18	15.35	15.34	15.4	15.29(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	30	-1	154	0.05	66%	0.22	70.7	1.35%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Dec_9_2003	13.39	14.72	15.1	15.36	15.36	15.39	15.42(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	10	12	171	0.13	64%	0.3	69.6	1.36%	0	1.5	80	0
8	Dec_8_2003	13.35	14.66	15.02	15.29	15.32	15.28	15.37(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10	5	168	0.26	64%	0.15	69.4	1.37%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Dec_5_2003	13.33	14.6	14.9	15.23	15.26	15.33	15.28(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	40	9	153	0.14	64%	0.3	73.2	1.37%	0	1.6	64	0
10	Dec_4_2003	13.29	14.53	14.78	15.14	15.2	15.36	15.39(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	90	25	134	1.12	66%	0.23	71.6	1.37%	0	2.1	68	0

11	Dec_3_2003	13.26	14.46	14.67	14.98	15.04	15.2	15.33(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	90	26	108	0.17	67%	0.23	69.1	1.38%	0	2.4	70	0
12	Dec_2_2003	13.23	14.4	14.55	14.81	14.86	15.04	15.08(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	90	19	82	0.15	67%	0.15	71.6	1.38%	0	2.2	71	0
13	Dec_1_2003	13.21	14.35	14.47	14.7	14.72	14.89	15.09(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	80	28	72	0.21	67%	0.23	80.9	1.39%	0	2.7	70	0
14	Nov_28_2003	13.18	14.29	14.41	14.52	14.57	14.69	14.8(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	70	22	49	0.02	65%	0.3	82.6	1.38%	0	2.2	63	0
15	Nov_26_2003	13.14	14.25	14.38	14.38	14.43	14.56	14.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	70	14	36	0.03	65%	0.15	83	1.36%	0	1.7	64	0

16	Nov_25_2003	13.12	14.21	14.35	14.31	14.31	14.46	14.47(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	70	12	35	0.58	65%	0.15	82.4	1.36%	0	1.2	62	0
17	Nov_24_2003	13.1	14.18	14.31	14.26	14.25	14.31	14.55(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	30	13	24	0.16	65%	0.08	71.6	1.37%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Nov_21_2003	13.09	14.14	14.27	14.2	14.21	14.15	14.16(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-30	-12	6	0.11	63%	0.15	55	1.33%	0	0.1	53	0
19	Nov_20_2003	13.07	14.1	14.28	14.29	14.24	14.19	14.1(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-40	-14	30	0.05	63%	0.15	58.3	1.33%	0	0	58	0
20	Nov_19_2003	13.05	14.08	14.27	14.37	14.35	14.27	14.28(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-4	52	0.15	62%	0.15	61.4	1.32%	0	0.6	60	0

21	Nov_18_2003	13.03	14.04	14.27	14.39	14.4	14.29	14.22(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-50	-2	60	0.4	62%	0.15	62.4	1.33%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Nov_17_2003	13.01	14.02	14.25	14.36	14.39	14.43	14.26(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	30	0	65	0.22	62%	0.23	61	1.34%	0	0.8	61	0
23	Nov_14_2003	12.98	13.99	14.23	14.34	14.33	14.51	14.58(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	90	15	84	0.13	66%	0.15	57.2	1.32%	0	1.8	78	0
24	Nov_13_2003	12.96	13.93	14.16	14.27	14.23	14.36	14.52(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	60	20	91	0.04	66%	0.23	56.3	1.32%	0	2	81	0
25	Nov_12_2003	12.93	13.89	14.11	14.17	14.18	14.15	14.35(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10	10	84	0.09	68%		56.7	1.32%	0	1.7	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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