Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 28, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $14.8000 (1.37%) ($14.6700 - $14.8000) on Fri. Nov. 28, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $14.8000(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)    XLU(53%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.52(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.41(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.29(3.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.05%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2003	13.18	14.29	14.41	14.52	14.57	14.69	14.8(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	70	22	49	0.02	65%	0.3	82.6	1.38%	0	2.2	63	NAN
2	Nov_26_2003	13.14	14.25	14.38	14.38	14.43	14.56	14.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	70	14	36	0.03	65%	0.15	83	1.36%	0	1.7	64	NAN
3	Nov_25_2003	13.12	14.21	14.35	14.31	14.31	14.46	14.47(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	70	12	35	0.58	65%	0.15	82.4	1.36%	0	1.2	62	NAN
4	Nov_24_2003	13.1	14.18	14.31	14.26	14.25	14.31	14.55(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	30	13	24	0.16	65%	0.08	71.6	1.37%	0	1.6	58	NAN
5	Nov_21_2003	13.09	14.14	14.27	14.2	14.21	14.15	14.16(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-30	-12	6	0.11	63%	0.15	55	1.33%	0	0.1	53	NAN

6	Nov_20_2003	13.07	14.1	14.28	14.29	14.24	14.19	14.1(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-40	-14	30	0.05	63%	0.15	58.3	1.33%	0	0	58	NAN
7	Nov_19_2003	13.05	14.08	14.27	14.37	14.35	14.27	14.28(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-4	52	0.15	62%	0.15	61.4	1.32%	0	0.6	60	NAN
8	Nov_18_2003	13.03	14.04	14.27	14.39	14.4	14.29	14.22(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-50	-2	60	0.4	62%	0.15	62.4	1.33%	0	0.6	60	NAN
9	Nov_17_2003	13.01	14.02	14.25	14.36	14.39	14.43	14.26(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	30	0	65	0.22	62%	0.23	61	1.34%	0	0.8	61	NAN
10	Nov_14_2003	12.98	13.99	14.23	14.34	14.33	14.51	14.58(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	90	15	84	0.13	66%	0.15	57.2	1.32%	0	1.8	78	NAN

11	Nov_13_2003	12.96	13.93	14.16	14.27	14.23	14.36	14.52(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	60	20	91	0.04	66%	0.23	56.3	1.32%	0	2	81	NAN
12	Nov_12_2003	12.93	13.89	14.11	14.17	14.18	14.15	14.35(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10	10	84	0.09	68%	0.15	56.7	1.32%	0	1.7	73	NAN
13	Nov_11_2003	12.91	13.85	14.06	14.1	14.18	14.11	14.09(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-0	-6	78	0.05	66%	0.16	61.3	1.33%	0	1	66	NAN
14	Nov_10_2003	12.89	13.83	14.05	14.12	14.12	14.21	14.14(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	4	90	0.09	66%	0.16	75.1	1.33%	0	1.2	57	NAN
15	Nov_7_2003	12.87	13.8	13.99	14.11	14.11	14.14	14.23(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	10	11	92	0.1	66%	0.16	90.2	1.33%	0	1.8	64	NAN

16	Nov_6_2003	12.85	13.77	13.91	14.05	14.09	14.03	14.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-20	1	75	0.05	65%	0.08	97	1.32%	0	1.1	65	NAN
17	Nov_5_2003	12.84	13.74	13.86	14.03	14.09	14.08	14.02(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	-0	70	0.12	65%	0.16	102.7	1.33%	0	1.1	59	NAN
18	Nov_4_2003	12.82	13.7	13.82	14.01	14.06	14.14	14.19(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	50	10	72	0.14	65%	0.08	99	1.32%	0	1.8	64	NAN
19	Nov_3_2003	12.81	13.64	13.78	13.96	14	14.05	14.1(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	30	17	70	0.11	65%	0.16	105.1	1.32%	0	1.7	59	NAN
20	Oct_31_2003	12.79	13.59	13.73	13.85	13.92	13.97	13.89(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	14	49	0.05	62%	0.16	98.5	1.32%	0	1.1	55	NAN

21	Oct_30_2003	12.77	13.55	13.69	13.75	13.84	13.95	13.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	80	16	30	0.04	62%	0.08	84.7	1.32%	0	1.3	62	NAN
22	Oct_29_2003	12.76	13.48	13.65	13.66	13.7	13.88	13.92(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	100	16	20	0.06	62%	0.16	77.6	1.33%	0	1.3	63	NAN
23	Oct_28_2003	12.74	13.44	13.61	13.59	13.6	13.73	13.91(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	70	12	17	0.06	62%	0.16	70.5	1.33%	0	1.3	67	NAN
24	Oct_27_2003	12.72	13.37	13.59	13.57	13.53	13.52	13.58(1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10	-1	28	0.05	60%	0.16	62.3	1.3%	0	0.6	65	NAN
25	Oct_24_2003	12.7	13.32	13.6	13.59	13.56	13.47	13.38(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-50	-5	49	0.07	58%		54.5	1.3%	0	0.1	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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