Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 29, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $13.9200 (0.07%) ($13.8600 - $13.9600) on Wed. Oct. 29, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $13.9200(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)    XLU(53%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.66(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.65(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.48(3.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.22%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2003	12.76	13.48	13.65	13.66	13.7	13.88	13.92(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	100	16	20	0.06	62%	0.16	77.6	1.33%	0	1.3	63	NAN
2	Oct_28_2003	12.74	13.44	13.61	13.59	13.6	13.73	13.91(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	70	12	17	0.06	62%	0.16	70.5	1.33%	0	1.3	67	NAN
3	Oct_27_2003	12.72	13.37	13.59	13.57	13.53	13.52	13.58(1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10	-1	28	0.05	60%	0.16	62.3	1.3%	0	0.6	65	NAN
4	Oct_24_2003	12.7	13.32	13.6	13.59	13.56	13.47	13.38(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-50	-5	49	0.07	58%	0.16	54.5	1.3%	0	0.1	63	NAN
5	Oct_23_2003	12.68	13.28	13.6	13.6	13.6	13.54	13.51(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-30	-8	69	0.06	58%	0.08	42.9	1.3%	0	0.5	69	NAN

6	Oct_22_2003	12.67	13.23	13.61	13.63	13.61	13.66	13.57(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	20	-2	102	0.07	58%	0.16	34.5	1.3%	0	0.7	77	NAN
7	Oct_21_2003	12.65	13.18	13.58	13.64	13.63	13.67	13.83(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	20	8	121	0.09	58%	0.16	28.4	1.27%	0	1.4	73	NAN
8	Oct_20_2003	12.63	13.13	13.5	13.61	13.63	13.57	13.64(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-20	-1	133	0.19	56%	0.24	26.3	1.3%	0	1.2	78	NAN
9	Oct_17_2003	12.6	13.13	13.45	13.61	13.62	13.58	13.47(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-20	-5	146	0.08	59%	0.16	28.7	1.34%	0	0.9	69	NAN
10	Oct_16_2003	12.58	13.1	13.4	13.62	13.66	13.68	13.64(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	47	20	6	171	0.16	59%	0.16	34.3	1.34%	0	1.3	75	NAN

11	Oct_15_2003	12.56	13.08	13.31	13.58	13.62	13.66	13.6(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	30	11	175	0.29	59%	0.24	35.3	1.34%	0	1.3	75	NAN
12	Oct_14_2003	12.53	13.05	13.25	13.5	13.55	13.63	13.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	58	50	17	181	0.03	59%	0.08	33	1.34%	0	1.7	78	NAN
13	Oct_13_2003	12.52	13.02	13.12	13.38	13.46	13.58	13.69(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	80	21	147	0.07	59%	0.24	26.8	1.35%	0	1.9	62	NAN
14	Oct_10_2003	12.49	12.98	13.02	13.26	13.31	13.47	13.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	100	20	112	0.05	56%	0.16	13.4	1.35%	0	1.6	56	NAN
15	Oct_9_2003	12.47	12.95	12.92	13.15	13.19	13.35	13.42(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	90	25	66	0.08	56%	0.24	1.7	1.37%	0	1.6	47	NAN

16	Oct_8_2003	12.44	12.94	12.82	13.01	13.08	13.15	13.21(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	50	14	7	0.03	54%	0.16	-12.9	1.35%	0	0.9	45	NAN
17	Oct_7_2003	12.42	12.94	12.75	12.95	12.94	13.04	13.09(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	50	18	-23	0.06	56%	0.16	-18	1.35%	0	0.6	48	NAN
18	Oct_6_2003	12.4	12.93	12.73	12.82	12.87	13.01	13.06(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	90	18	-55	0.04	56%	0.16	-23.7	1.37%	0	0.4	47	NAN
19	Oct_3_2003	12.38	12.94	12.72	12.74	12.74	12.85	12.99(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	60	17	-69	0.07	56%	0.16	-18.5	1.38%	0	0.2	50	NAN
20	Oct_2_2003	12.36	12.95	12.76	12.65	12.65	12.72	12.68(-1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	40	9	-79	0.12	55%	0.16	-17.2	1.36%	0	-0.9	45	NAN

21	Oct_1_2003	12.34	12.95	12.82	12.61	12.6	12.62	12.93(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	10	13	-81	0.2	58%	0.16	-9.5	1.35%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
22	Sep_30_2003	12.32	12.98	12.84	12.52	12.57	12.57	12.46(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	10	-14	-113	0.09	55%	0.08	-10.4	1.27%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
23	Sep_29_2003	12.31	12.98	12.91	12.62	12.61	12.58	12.65(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-20	-11	-94	0.03	58%	0.16	1.9	1.27%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
24	Sep_26_2003	12.29	12.98	12.95	12.7	12.69	12.57	12.52(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-70	-29	-98	0.06	58%	0.08	8.1	1.27%	0	-1.7	33	NAN
25	Sep_25_2003	12.28	13	13	12.88	12.83	12.65	12.5(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-110	-33	-71	0.04	58%		22.9	1.27%	0	-1.7	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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