Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $12.9500 (1.49%) ($12.8900 - $13.0400) on Wed. Sep. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $12.9500(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(16%)    XLU(53%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.64(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.63(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.58(2.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2003	11.9	12.58	12.63	12.64	12.68	12.83	12.95(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	90	23	12	0.18	66%	0.25	12.6	1.25%	0	2.2	67	NAN
2	Sep_2_2003	11.87	12.55	12.63	12.54	12.55	12.65	12.76(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	60	12	-10	0.25	65%	0.42	-10.8	1.24%	0	1.4	58	NAN
3	Aug_29_2003	11.82	12.55	12.6	12.5	12.46	12.54	12.55(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	40	1	-5	0.04	63%	0.25	-26.8	1.24%	0	0.1	62	NAN
4	Aug_28_2003	11.79	12.54	12.6	12.52	12.45	12.46	12.5(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10	-4	12	0.02	63%	0.26	-26.8	1.24%	0	-0.3	59	NAN
5	Aug_27_2003	11.76	12.55	12.6	12.56	12.5	12.39	12.46(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-80	-10	21	0.01	66%	0.26	-13.4	1.24%	0	-0.6	53	NAN

6	Aug_26_2003	11.73	12.56	12.62	12.61	12.58	12.43	12.44(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-90	-15	31	0.04	66%	0.26	2.7	1.28%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
7	Aug_25_2003	11.7	12.57	12.64	12.66	12.66	12.61	12.53(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-30	-13	44	0.19	66%	0.34	24.4	1.28%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
8	Aug_22_2003	11.66	12.57	12.62	12.72	12.72	12.72	12.68(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	0	-1	54	0.05	66%	0.26	52.9	1.27%	0	0.7	55	NAN
9	Aug_21_2003	11.63	12.58	12.58	12.73	12.72	12.71	12.71(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10	6	53	0.05	66%	0.35	58.8	1.27%	0	0.9	58	NAN
10	Aug_20_2003	11.59	12.57	12.55	12.68	12.73	12.72	12.7(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	10	60	56	0.08	66%	0.35	61.3	1.27%	0	0.9	48	NAN

11	Aug_19_2003	11.55	12.55	12.53	12.64	10.34	12.76	12.68(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	1090	6	20	0.37	60%	0.09	52	1.27%	0	0.8	52	NAN
12	Aug_18_2003	11.54	12.53	12.51	12.61	10.28	12.74	12.85(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	168	1120	196	83	0.56	62%	0.09	43.4	1.33%	0	1.9	52	NAN
13	Aug_15_2003	11.53	12.5	12.47	12.5	10.21	7.92	12.71(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	-2120	16	-18	0.01	62%	0.17	20.8	1.34%	0	1.4	46	NAN
14	Aug_14_2003	11.51	12.49	12.45	12.42	10.1	7.82	12.47(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-206	-2140	-229	-138	0	60%	0.09	13.3	1.32%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
15	Aug_13_2003	11.5	12.48	12.47	12.41	12.4	12.51	12.47(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	60	7	-41	0.02	60%	0.09	11.7	1.32%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

16	Aug_12_2003	11.49	12.47	12.48	12.4	12.35	12.38	12.55(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	0	5	-38	0.16	60%	0.09	9.4	1.33%	0	0.5	57	NAN
17	Aug_11_2003	11.48	12.46	12.49	12.39	12.33	12.29	12.28(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-40	-10	-32	0.03	57%	0.09	7.8	1.31%	0	-1.1	53	NAN
18	Aug_8_2003	11.47	12.46	12.54	12.45	12.41	12.32	12.32(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-60	-7	-3	0.02	53%	0.09	18.8	1.31%	0	-0.9	57	NAN
19	Aug_7_2003	11.46	12.47	12.58	12.48	12.47	12.38	12.42(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-50	-13	6	0.06	50%	0.09	27.2	1.35%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
20	Aug_6_2003	11.45	12.47	12.58	12.54	12.51	12.51	12.42(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10	-7	32	0.06	55%	0.09	29.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	60	NAN

21	Aug_5_2003	11.44	12.46	12.59	12.57	12.59	12.57	12.52(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10	-3	41	0.08	55%	0.09	41	1.43%	0	0.3	56	NAN
22	Aug_4_2003	11.43	12.45	12.57	12.61	12.61	12.52	12.55(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-50	-9	46	0.07	55%	0.09	52.4	1.44%	0	0.6	56	NAN
23	Aug_1_2003	11.42	12.44	12.57	12.65	12.66	12.61	12.5(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-30	-8	48	0.55	55%	0.18	69	1.44%	0	0.3	52	NAN
24	Jul_31_2003	11.4	12.42	12.54	12.68	12.73	12.7	12.7(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-0	4	67	0.01	57%	0.09	71.9	1.44%	0	1.5	61	NAN
25	Jul_30_2003	11.39	12.41	12.49	12.65	12.69	12.71	12.59(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	20	3	61	0.04	60%		80	1.44%	0	1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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