Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2022

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $134.5000 (3.45%) ($129.6500 - $134.5000) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.55% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $134.5000(3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(59%)    ONLN(59%)    PEJ(56%)    IWO(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -2.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    XLY(-2%)    VIXM(-2%)    TBT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.275% (StdDev 4.55%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.42(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.34(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.61(7.94%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   53.7%
Market Cap   $119.224b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 7.33% (three month std-dev: 4.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.9%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.2%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2022	108.35	124.61	131.34	135.42	133.83	131.65	134.5(3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-150	-24	92	2.18	56%	0.4	106.1	4.55%	0.9	1.1	76	-0.1
2	Dec_7_2022	107.92	122.73	129.94	136.38	135.65	132.46	130.02(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-180	-56	89	2.67	56%	0.4	97.3	4.54%	-1.4	0.7	63	-0.5
3	Dec_6_2022	107.49	121.39	128.96	136.82	137.97	136.02	134.9(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-70	-18	105	2.5	56%	0.47	98.9	4.53%	-1.2	1.2	59	-0.2
4	Dec_5_2022	106.99	119.64	127.02	134.22	137.32	138.83	137.13(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	150	25	104	2.92	56%	0.53	91.9	4.53%	-1.4	1.5	67	0.5
5	Dec_2_2022	106.43	117.69	124.69	130.69	133.52	139.93	140.53(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	98	400	94	109	2.4	56%	0.58	83	4.55%	0.9	1.9	73	0.6

6	Dec_1_2022	105.82	115.61	121.96	126.64	128.26	135.81	139.32(5.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	133	450	141	109	4.02	56%	0.54	77.4	4.55%	1.5	2.1	76	0.8
7	Nov_30_2022	105.25	113.02	119.81	122.75	123.52	127.11	132.2(8.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	100	220	101	97	3.36	54%	0.45	60.7	4.47%	2.7	1.7	82	0.9
8	Nov_29_2022	104.78	110.99	118.9	120.15	120.55	120.71	121.92(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	19	75	2.38	51%	0.34	49.5	4.36%	1.6	1	68	1.4
9	Nov_28_2022	104.42	109.6	118.63	118.76	119.88	119.93	119.49(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	7	86	2.34	51%	0.3	41.9	4.36%	0.1	0.9	69	1.4
10	Nov_25_2022	104.11	108.52	118.26	117.62	118.74	120.4	120.29(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	130	22	106	0.78	51%	0.47	38.3	4.38%	0	1	71	1.3

11	Nov_23_2022	103.62	107.51	117.3	116.42	117.1	119.83	119.85(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	180	42	121	1.73	51%	0.3	38.4	4.36%	1	1.1	68	1.4
12	Nov_22_2022	103.31	106.54	115	116.41	115.56	117.09	119.22(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	70	25	128	2.92	51%	0.16	43.5	4.36%	1.7	1.2	75	1.3
13	Nov_21_2022	103.14	105.69	113.36	117.6	115.71	114.37	114.95(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-130	-17	140	3.43	51%	0.34	50.8	4.36%	1.4	0.9	69	1.6
14	Nov_18_2022	102.79	105	111.9	118.55	118.26	114.04	113.8(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-260	-45	148	1.82	49%	0.4	57.4	4.43%	-0.7	0.9	66	2.1
15	Nov_17_2022	102.38	104.32	110.44	118.91	119.74	117.05	114.28(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-140	-60	151	2.84	49%	0.39	64.4	4.44%	-1.3	1	62	2.4

16	Nov_16_2022	101.98	103.47	109.04	118.08	120.07	122.48	119.82(-4.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	190	37	189	3.58	50%	0.45	63.7	4.42%	-1.3	1.7	62	2.5
17	Nov_15_2022	101.52	102.14	105.88	113.1	117.66	122.43	125.14(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	137	400	125	171	4.13	50%	0.45	46.4	4.4%	1.2	2.6	65	1.8
18	Nov_14_2022	101.07	100.77	102.42	108.49	110.1	117.66	119.71(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	106	530	103	114	5.17	49%	0.37	35.1	4.37%	1.4	2.6	60	2.3
19	Nov_11_2022	100.7	99.6	99.7	104.39	105.7	112.89	115.61(4.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	146	510	163	96	3.43	49%	0.37	14.5	4.39%	1.3	2.7	60	2.6
20	Nov_10_2022	100.33	98.38	97.75	100.9	101.4	102.54	110.12(16.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	66	90	77	31	3.75	50%	0.36	-19.1	4.35%	1.6	2.5	58	0.9

21	Nov_9_2022	99.97	97.64	96.63	98.85	98.39	98.51	94.92(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10	-24	-23	2.38	42%	0.24	-52.4	3.98%	-1.8	-0.6	49	-0.8
22	Nov_8_2022	99.73	98.18	97.25	97.36	99.63	100.26	102.1(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	110	65	9	2.76	45%	0.02	-64.5	3.9%	1.4	0.9	60	-1.2
23	Nov_7_2022	99.71	98.3	97.26	95.26	95.96	98.27	99.21(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	190	7	-28	3.36	45%	0.28	-73.7	3.9%	0.9	0.2	50	-0.2
24	Nov_4_2022	99.43	98.73	97.47	94.19	94.62	99.01	98.13(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	57	340	77	-4	5.92	45%	0.29	-69	3.9%	0.3	-0.1	51	-0.6
25	Nov_3_2022	99.14	99.29	97.71	94.16	93.56	93.66	99.88(14.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	34	-10	47	-6	12.14	45%		-53.7	3.89%	1.5	0.1	59	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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