Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $178.1350 (-6.37%) ($178.1350 - $178.1350) on Mon. Dec. 28, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $178.1350(-6.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(71%)    ONLN(70%)    IPO(66%)    IWO(62%)    IWF(60%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-10%)    USO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.02(-5.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185.66(-4.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $173.3(2.79%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   49.2%
Market Cap   $157.903b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 8.37% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.47%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.45%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.57%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2020	138.29	173.3	185.66	189.02	188.97	184.19	178.14(-6.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-55	-180	-93	61	3.84	65%	0.37	81.2	4.4%	0.3	0.3	69	1.2
2	Dec_24_2020	137.78	172.45	185.08	191.54	191.68	190.26	190.25(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-50	-38	112	1.07	69%	0.41	96	4.32%	-2.4	1.2	80	1.3
3	Dec_23_2020	137.22	170.22	182.71	191.11	191.48	193.76	190.27(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	17	146	1.85	67%	0.45	100	4.32%	0	1.3	81	0.5
4	Dec_22_2020	136.61	167.63	179.73	189.53	190.66	193.11	197.24(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	111	110	89	176	2.6	67%	0.52	96.5	4.32%	0	1.9	88	-0.7
5	Dec_21_2020	135.9	164.74	176.34	185.64	185.73	189.21	189.2(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	130	46	153	3.03	68%	0.53	98.5	4.31%	0	1.6	86	-1.6

6	Dec_18_2020	135.18	162.26	173.13	181.79	182.25	188.2	190.76(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	123	240	110	160	5.35	68%	0.59	98.9	4.32%	0	1.9	76	1.2
7	Dec_17_2020	134.39	159.42	169.51	177.65	177.91	182.25	188.1(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	180	113	140	4.32	68%	0.6	96.9	4.32%	0	2	75	1.6
8	Dec_16_2020	133.59	156.36	166.08	173.09	173.26	176.3	182.34(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	82	130	72	112	4.29	68%	0.61	87.2	4.32%	0	1.8	81	1.5
9	Dec_15_2020	132.78	153.67	163.21	168.46	169.33	173.58	177.8(4.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	190	68	104	3.38	68%	0.55	82.9	4.33%	0	1.7	83	0.8
10	Dec_14_2020	132.06	151.06	160.8	165.7	166.21	170.23	169.97(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	92	180	85	111	3.07	67%	0.53	79.3	4.31%	0	1.4	77	-0.6

11	Dec_11_2020	131.37	148.83	159.75	163.09	163.66	165.09	170.02(2.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	70	63	109	3.06	67%	0.53	65.3	4.31%	0	1.5	77	0.3
12	Dec_10_2020	130.68	146.66	158.67	160.09	160.63	162.19	165.3(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	80	18	100	2.59	67%	0.47	54.6	4.3%	0	1.3	79	0.9
13	Dec_9_2020	130.07	144.89	156.7	157.98	158.9	162.23	159.23(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	160	53	122	3.89	67%	0.42	49.8	4.29%	0	1.1	81	1
14	Dec_8_2020	129.52	142.94	154.69	157.06	157.03	159.07	163.97(4.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	90	63	134	3.27	67%	0.45	42.7	4.27%	0	1.5	82	1.6
15	Dec_7_2020	128.94	140.79	152.34	155.2	154.78	155.56	156.93(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	30	1	117	1.94	66%	0.43	38	4.25%	0	1.2	82	1.1

16	Dec_4_2020	128.39	140.12	150.71	155.95	155.21	154.99	155.03(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-20	-1	139	1.97	64%	0.41	50.5	4.29%	0	1.1	82	1.2
17	Dec_3_2020	127.87	139.44	148.76	157.06	156.53	154.01	154.74(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-120	-10	155	2.02	61%	0.42	59.7	4.32%	0	1.2	77	0.9
18	Dec_2_2020	127.33	138.43	146.12	155.13	156.4	155.42	154.62(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-20	-13	141	2.2	61%	0.4	56.7	4.41%	0	1.3	71	1
19	Dec_1_2020	126.82	137.17	143.59	151.72	153.75	159.05	154.67(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	280	62	165	3.25	62%	0.4	44.8	4.41%	0	1.5	77	1
20	Nov_30_2020	126.31	135.71	140.72	148.83	148.72	157.38	160.7(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	160	410	149	194	11.34	62%	0.39	34.3	4.37%	0	2.2	80	1.1

21	Nov_27_2020	125.82	133.68	137.04	144.7	143.85	148.45	160.55(10.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	141	210	139	146	5.02	61%	0.48	19.6	4.39%	0	2.7	56	1.1
22	Nov_25_2020	125.22	132.12	133.49	139.49	139.99	140.06	145.09(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	10	42	64	3.55	58%	0.26	4.5	4.19%	0	1.6	51	1.3
23	Nov_24_2020	124.89	131.73	131.92	135.87	137.21	139.24	137.6(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	130	17	27	3.33	56%	0.2	-4.4	4.16%	0	0.7	52	1.1
24	Nov_23_2020	124.64	132.03	130.15	134.12	134.56	139.93	140.2(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	290	93	36	2.6	56%	0.13	-10	4.15%	0	1	57	1.1
25	Nov_20_2020	124.48	131.92	128.21	131.2	131.14	135.18	140.06(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	88	210	111	20	4.42	56%		-25	4.15%	0	1	60	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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