Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $103.7400 (-0.79%) ($99.1700 - $104.8900) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $103.7400(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(71%)    ONLN(71%)    IPO(66%)    IWO(60%)    IWF(59%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-12%)    DRIV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.2(-5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.86(-5.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.23(0.49%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   82.9%
Market Cap   $91.957b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 8.69% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 14.44%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 14.09%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.05%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2020	70.32	103.23	109.86	109.2	109.29	105.74	103.74(-0.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-64	-220	-91	19	3.89	71%	0.76	85.6	3.69%	0	0.1	57	0.9
2	Jul_13_2020	69.79	102.33	109.92	110.9	111.65	110.43	104.57(-6.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-21	-60	-49	62	2.99	71%	0.75	88.4	3.7%	0	0.2	65	0
3	Jul_10_2020	69.27	101.19	109.86	112.58	112.63	112.84	111.29(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	10	-2	112	2.61	80%	0.84	86.5	3.59%	0	0.9	77	1.2
4	Jul_9_2020	68.69	99.56	108.92	112.45	112.9	112.87	114.51(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	10	13	144	2.29	80%	0.93	80.1	3.59%	0	1.3	88	0.8
5	Jul_8_2020	68.06	97.83	107.32	111.79	112.45	112.42	111.9(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	20	6	158	3.01	83%	0.89	78.2	3.62%	0	1.2	88	0.9

6	Jul_7_2020	67.46	96.08	106.25	110.66	111.51	112.94	112.21(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	110	31	187	2.95	83%	0.69	71.7	3.68%	0	1.3	89	0.7
7	Jul_6_2020	67	94.29	104.68	108.8	109.58	112.48	112.97(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	103	210	67	211	2.56	88%	1.13	66.6	3.67%	0	1.5	91	1.1
8	Jul_2_2020	66.25	92.55	102.9	106.71	106.69	110.08	110.68(-0.48%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	92	220	61	184	2.56	90%	0.91	63.3	4.54%	0	1.6	92	0.8
9	Jul_1_2020	65.65	90.98	100.59	104.83	104.36	106.69	111.21(4.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	94	140	63	188	3.27	82%	0.95	63.6	4.56%	0	1.8	93	0.6
10	Jun_30_2020	65.03	89.38	98.11	102.22	102.14	103.31	106.23(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	80	26	164	4.23	81%	0.88	64.6	4.67%	0	1.7	85	0.3

11	Jun_29_2020	64.46	88.1	95.97	101.22	100.89	102.03	102.89(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	70	19	172	3.21	81%	0.84	70.6	4.68%	0	1.6	86	-0.2
12	Jun_26_2020	63.92	86.84	94.09	99.9	100.55	100.98	102.54(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	50	28	177	4.6	74%	0.85	72.1	4.81%	0	1.8	86	-0.9
13	Jun_25_2020	63.38	85.69	91.85	98.47	99.14	99.76	101.28(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	60	21	171	3.74	76%	0.84	77.4	4.81%	0	1.9	79	-0.3
14	Jun_24_2020	62.85	84.47	89.49	95.62	97.12	100.11	98.17(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	260	47	156	4.07	79%	0.77	75	4.88%	0	1.8	73	-0.7
15	Jun_23_2020	62.37	83.33	87.63	93.25	93.77	98.53	101.22(5.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	95	370	78	144	5.78	79%	0.86	69.8	5.14%	0	2.5	77	-0

16	Jun_22_2020	61.84	81.91	85.08	89.91	90.18	94.13	96.3(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	88	320	79	113	3.76	79%	0.8	64.3	5.13%	0	2.5	70	-0.2
17	Jun_19_2020	61.35	80.91	83.04	87.43	87.1	89.01	95.39(9.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	61	140	54	80	7.14	68%	0.76	55.1	5.29%	0	3	73	-0.8
18	Jun_18_2020	60.89	79.8	81.26	84.31	84.63	86.22	87(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	140	28	42	1.76	62%	0.61	38.9	5.45%	0	2	59	-0.7
19	Jun_17_2020	60.52	79.2	80.53	82.41	82.77	85.2	86.32(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	220	36	34	1.89	62%	0.62	17.7	5.55%	0	2.2	64	-0.9
20	Jun_16_2020	60.15	78.71	79.89	81.11	80.85	83.04	84.55(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	180	37	30	2.55	56%	0.6	4.4	5.55%	0	2.1	65	-1

21	Jun_15_2020	59.79	78.35	79.54	79.47	79.88	80.34	83.91(5.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	60	27	23	4.24	56%	0.57	-17	5.9%	0	2.2	67	-1.3
22	Jun_12_2020	59.45	78.37	78.96	77.99	78.71	78.66	79.76(2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-2	20	-3	1	2.54	55%	0.52	-23	6.02%	0	0.5	55	-1.4
23	Jun_11_2020	59.14	78.44	79.06	77.78	78.2	79.42	77.52(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	130	2	9	3.71	51%	0.46	-16.7	6.24%	0	-0.3	57	-2.6
24	Jun_10_2020	58.87	78.63	79.12	78.33	78.36	78.76	79.81(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	40	12	20	4.33	51%	0.51	-5.8	6.47%	0	0.4	59	0.9
25	Jun_9_2020	58.57	78.58	78.78	78.5	78.7	76.97	76.37(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-150	-17	9	2.21	50%		5.6	6.45%	0	-0.8	50	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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