Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ETSY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $79.0200 (-1.57%) ($78.9000 - $82.9700) on Tue. May. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.64% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $79.0200(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(70%)    ONLN(70%)    IPO(65%)    ARKK(57%)    IWF(57%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -3.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-11%)    DRIV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.32% (StdDev 6.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.97(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.65(7.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.63(15.14%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   149.4%
Market Cap   $70.045b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 10.65% (three month std-dev: 6.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.91%(86%) Average negative next day return: 0%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.6%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.49%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.05%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2020	52.47	68.63	73.65	78.97	78.86	80.51	79.02(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	140	16	101	3.49	57%	0.69	98.5	6.64%	0	1.4	73	1.2
2	May_11_2020	52.11	67.55	72.37	77.72	77.78	79.69	80.28(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	170	38	110	3.1	57%	0.73	102.6	6.64%	0	1.7	76	2.3
3	May_8_2020	51.73	66.29	71.2	75.2	75.69	77.22	80.71(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	160	39	99	4.85	57%	0.74	113.2	6.58%	0	2.1	68	2
4	May_7_2020	51.35	64.92	69.67	71.95	72.46	75.87	76.59(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	350	37	81	6.84	57%	0.71	121	6.61%	0	1.8	70	1.4
5	May_6_2020	50.99	63.64	68.28	69.61	69.36	74.15	78.24(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	63	470	58	77	6.92	57%	0.71	123.3	6.6%	0	2.3	73	0.8

6	May_5_2020	50.63	62.11	66.66	67.63	66.94	69.06	72.79(7.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	190	46	67	9.15	54%	0.62	124.6	6.55%	0	1.7	73	1.1
7	May_4_2020	50.32	60.81	65.49	66.32	65.73	64.57	67.69(5.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-150	-6	42	2.36	53%	0.54	120.5	6.5%	0	1	67	0.5
8	May_1_2020	50.05	59.41	65.2	66.64	66.4	64.81	64.45(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-180	-24	54	3.33	53%	0.46	102.5	6.43%	0	0.6	67	0.4
9	Apr_30_2020	49.82	58.02	64.91	66.98	67.71	66.89	64.87(-5.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-50	-5	77	4.34	53%	0.5	84.9	6.45%	0	0.7	71	1.3
10	Apr_29_2020	49.57	56.62	64.45	66.58	67.45	67.98	68.33(3.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	90	7	95	2.87	53%	0.59	73.5	6.41%	0	1.1	79	1.7

11	Apr_28_2020	49.28	55.15	63.31	65.46	66.28	68.53	66.25(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	280	23	109	5.55	53%	0.53	69.3	6.4%	0	1	81	1.2
12	Apr_27_2020	49.02	53.78	62.47	64.49	64.99	66.92	69.28(4.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	230	33	126	3.83	53%	0.6	69	6.37%	0	1.4	88	1.4
13	Apr_24_2020	48.73	52.24	61.07	63.64	63.71	64.03	66.19(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	15	146	3.53	53%	0.54	72.6	6.36%	0	1.3	91	0.9
14	Apr_23_2020	48.47	50.99	59.83	62.62	63.18	63.05	62.85(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	46	10	3	174	1.99	53%	0.46	76.9	6.33%	0	1.2	92	0.4
15	Apr_22_2020	48.25	49.88	58.69	61.99	62.67	63.39	62.75(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	63	110	13	211	2.88	53%	0.44	78.7	6.33%	0	1.3	89	0.3

16	Apr_21_2020	48.04	48.63	57.24	60.78	61.46	63.3	61.37(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	75	240	23	231	7.52	53%	0.4	74.8	6.33%	0	1.3	80	-0.2
17	Apr_20_2020	47.85	47.22	55.8	60.04	59.64	61.95	65.05(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	93	250	37	260	6.02	53%	0.48	68	6.29%	0	1.8	84	0.6
18	Apr_17_2020	47.62	45.52	53.16	58.12	57.98	59.62	61.06(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	190	34	249	3.15	51%	0.29	54.5	6.29%	0	1.7	83	1.2
19	Apr_16_2020	47.48	44.16	50.61	56.64	56.31	57.33	59.72(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	110	24	224	3.79	52%	0.34	47.1	6.29%	0	1.8	73	1.1
20	Apr_15_2020	47.32	43.07	48.21	54.9	54.97	56.35	56.72(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	180	27	200	2.19	52%	0.3	38	6.28%	0	1.7	72	1.1

21	Apr_14_2020	47.18	42.26	46.37	53.09	53.38	55.29	57.66(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	75	270	37	190	3.85	52%	0.32	23.6	6.27%	0	2.1	76	1.5
22	Apr_13_2020	47.03	41.37	44.4	50.85	51.45	53.59	55.44(3.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	87	330	53	187	4.31	53%	0.43	5	6.26%	0	2.2	80	1.2
23	Apr_9_2020	46.83	40.92	42.64	47.4	48.84	51.47	53.68(5.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	90	470	65	166	4.11	54%	0.3	-19.6	6.22%	0	2.2	80	0.9
24	Apr_8_2020	46.69	40.35	41.32	43.62	44.77	49.31	51(6.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	83	790	67	132	4.95	54%	0.24	-51.8	6.2%	0	1.9	71	0.9
25	Apr_7_2020	46.58	40.2	40.23	40.51	41.1	46.22	47.69(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	85	920	80	98	6.56	52%		-64.8	6.15%	0	1.2	60	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.