Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 13, 2019

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $42.2900 (0.74%) ($41.9000 - $43.3700) on Fri. Dec. 13, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $42.2900(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(70%)    ONLN(70%)    IPO(64%)    ARKK(58%)    IWF(58%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    TBT(-5%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.39(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.69(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.99(0.71%)
To recent high   -30.1%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $37.487b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2019	52.03	41.99	41.69	41.39	41.43	42.1	42.29(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	120	23	-33	2.16	31%	-0.5	0.8	2.93%	0	0.3	53	2.2
2	Dec_12_2019	52.29	41.97	41.78	41.18	41.09	41.18	41.98(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	10	10	-36	2.2	36%	-0.51	-4.9	2.97%	0	0	54	1.6
3	Dec_11_2019	52.56	41.97	42	41	41.07	40.75	41.03(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-50	-8	-32	1.32	40%	-0.51	-17.8	3.01%	0	-0.8	55	0.3
4	Dec_10_2019	52.83	41.91	42.23	41.22	41.06	41.01	40.51(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-20	-18	-20	1.93	40%	-0.53	-22.4	3.05%	0	-1.3	51	-0.1
5	Dec_9_2019	53.11	41.94	42.48	41.65	41.54	41.4	41.16(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-4	-0	2.18	45%	-0.47	-28.4	3.05%	0	-0.7	47	-0.2

6	Dec_6_2019	53.36	41.98	42.57	42.04	41.78	41.12	41.23(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-14	-130	-20	3	2.39	42%	-0.45	-34.3	3.12%	0	-0.7	47	1.1
7	Dec_5_2019	53.6	42.02	42.57	42.47	42.19	41.69	41.07(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-20	-100	-29	9	6.42	42%	-0.43	-34.6	3.16%	0	-0.9	48	0.6
8	Dec_4_2019	53.83	42.1	42.62	43.14	42.98	42.45	42.14(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-100	-11	34	2.5	42%	-0.41	-61.7	3.15%	0	0	61	0.4
9	Dec_3_2019	54.05	42.15	42.51	43.39	43.35	42.69	42.63(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-110	-16	40	2.27	40%	-0.42	-100.4	3.15%	0	0.5	63	-0.5
10	Dec_2_2019	54.28	42.23	42.45	43.42	43.63	43.5	43.12(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10	-3	51	2.82	40%	-0.4	-134.1	3.2%	0	0.8	66	0.6

11	Nov_29_2019	54.5	42.34	42.33	43.16	43.52	44.02	43.39(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	110	15	52	1.49	38%	-0.6	-157.9	3.21%	0	0.8	57	1.5
12	Nov_27_2019	54.83	42.38	42.17	42.78	42.98	43.76	44.43(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	140	30	50	2.44	38%	-0.42	-107.9	3.19%	0	0.8	64	1.9
13	Nov_26_2019	55.06	42.73	41.78	42.02	42.23	43.02	43.38(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	150	26	22	3.57	38%	-0.36	-89.3	3.17%	0	0.2	52	2
14	Nov_25_2019	55.26	43.22	41.51	41.52	41.58	42.21	42.77(2.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	12	110	17	-5	2.7	38%	-0.38	-74.1	3.16%	0	-0.1	45	2.1
15	Nov_22_2019	55.47	43.87	41.51	41.36	41.34	41.44	41.84(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	20	6	-29	2.2	38%	-0.25	-63.7	3.16%	0	-0.4	31	1.6

16	Nov_21_2019	55.61	44.65	41.31	41.39	41.43	40.96	41.48(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-80	-9	-50	3.49	38%	-0.41	-57.5	3.17%	0	-0.5	25	1.3
17	Nov_20_2019	55.84	45.42	41.34	41.39	41.73	41.25	40.64(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-60	-11	-60	5.08	38%	-0.39	-56.3	3.18%	0	-0.7	29	1.3
18	Nov_19_2019	56.06	46.19	41.53	41.47	41.83	41.91	40.86(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	40	-2	-95	3.1	38%	-0.39	-55.9	3.18%	0	-0.8	16	1.5
19	Nov_18_2019	56.28	46.97	41.76	41.46	41.53	42.2	41.99(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	120	13	-132	2.95	38%	-0.34	-56.4	3.17%	0	-0.7	15	1.8
20	Nov_15_2019	56.47	47.75	42.01	41.46	41.26	41.75	42(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	90	16	-180	5.04	38%	-0.37	-57.1	3.18%	0	-0.8	13	2

21	Nov_14_2019	56.68	48.51	42.34	41.46	41.04	40.86	41.84(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-40	-0	-230	4.46	36%	-0.32	-56.6	3.18%	0	-0.9	12	1.5
22	Nov_13_2019	56.86	49.42	42.59	41.23	41.21	40.78	40.68(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-82	-70	-17	-277	3.15	36%	-0.39	-55.6	3.21%	0	-1.2	11	1.3
23	Nov_12_2019	57.08	50.32	43.72	41.62	41.66	41.22	40.8(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-84	-70	-18	-280	5.04	36%	-0.4	-54.8	3.22%	0	-1.3	15	1.5
24	Nov_11_2019	57.31	51.29	45.02	42.11	42.09	41.65	40.83(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-88	-70	-24	-278	4.38	36%	-0.43	-52.8	3.23%	0	-1.4	15	1.4
25	Nov_8_2019	57.56	52.23	46.6	42.89	42.76	42.1	41.99(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-120	-25	-265	3.33	39%		-51.2	3.23%	0	-1.5	15	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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