Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ETSY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 7, 2018

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $18.6100 (-0.53%) ($18.0100 - $18.9067) on Wed. Feb. 7, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $18.6100(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(68%)    SKYY(57%)    ARKK(56%)    IWF(56%)    IWO(56%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-6%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    TLT(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.15(-29.34%)
Resistance Level   $19.29
5 Day Moving Average   $18.74(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.85(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.29(-3.53%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $16.496b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.96%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.43%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2018	18.11	19.29	18.85	18.74	18.55	18.3	18.61(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-120	-4	-70	0.91	54%	0.06	-71.9	2.05%	0	-1.2	36	-1.8
2	Feb_6_2018	18.1	19.4	18.9	18.77	18.67	18.34	18.71(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-140	-16	-82	2.2	56%	0.11	-63	2.06%	0	-1.1	36	-2
3	Feb_5_2018	18.08	19.48	19.01	18.81	18.87	18.81	18.44(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10	-10	-69	1.56	56%	0.06	-62.9	2.09%	0	-1.6	40	-2.9
4	Feb_2_2018	18.07	19.57	19.17	18.91	18.92	19	18.79(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	30	-3	-53	1.3	56%	0.06	-65.1	2.08%	0	-1.3	40	-2.2
5	Feb_1_2018	18.06	19.65	19.26	18.91	18.94	18.94	19.16(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10	2	-57	1.73	56%	0.11	-67.5	2.07%	0	-0.8	33	-0.5

6	Jan_31_2018	18.04	19.71	19.3	18.99	18.99	18.84	18.76(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-60	-7	-71	1.29	55%	0.06	-76.7	2.05%	0	-1.6	33	-1.6
7	Jan_30_2018	18.03	19.81	19.41	19.05	19.07	18.94	18.89(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-40	-18	-87	1.43	55%	0.11	-80.8	2.05%	0	-1.5	28	-1.9
8	Jan_29_2018	18.01	19.89	19.46	19.26	19.23	19.14	18.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-40	-16	-83	1.35	55%	0.11	-86	2.05%	0	-1.6	38	-2.1
9	Jan_26_2018	17.99	19.98	19.52	19.47	19.48	19.2	19.2(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-100	-10	-73	1.68	59%	0.11	-82.2	2.07%	0	-1.4	40	136.8
10	Jan_25_2018	17.97	20.06	19.65	19.57	19.64	19.31	19.14(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-110	-17	-64	1.26	59%	0.17	-75.5	2.1%	0	-1.7	40	137.4

11	Jan_24_2018	17.94	20.19	19.76	19.66	19.76	19.75	19.05(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	10	-13	-58	2.69	59%	0.11	-66.3	2.1%	0	-2.2	38	-1.4
12	Jan_23_2018	17.92	20.32	19.95	19.8	19.82	19.96	19.94(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	13	-39	0.77	59%	0.11	-45.6	2.01%	0	-0.7	40	0.1
13	Jan_22_2018	17.9	20.4	19.98	19.68	19.71	19.76	20.03(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	20	8	-52	1.03	59%	0.22	-38.7	2.07%	0	-0.6	46	0.9
14	Jan_19_2018	17.86	20.44	20	19.59	19.64	19.67	19.7(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	20	-7	-71	1.54	59%	0.22	-35.2	2.07%	0	-1.1	40	1
15	Jan_18_2018	17.82	20.48	20.06	19.76	19.6	19.66	19.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-0	-8	-67	1.05	59%	0.17	-25.4	2.07%	0	-1.3	38	-INF

16	Jan_17_2018	17.79	20.54	20.14	19.89	19.78	19.62	19.74(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-70	-12	-76	0.79	59%	0.23	-16	2.07%	0	-1.2	31	INF
17	Jan_16_2018	17.75	20.58	20.25	20.12	19.98	19.54	19.35(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-180	-23	-74	1.44	59%	0.34	1.3	2.07%	0	-1.9	28	INF
18	Jan_12_2018	17.69	20.63	20.37	20.32	20.22	19.94	19.54(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-110	-21	-76	3.06	59%	0.23	21.3	2.06%	0	-2	28	INF
19	Jan_11_2018	17.65	20.67	20.48	20.46	20.42	20.41	20.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	2	-61	0.78	64%	0.28	44.6	1.95%	0	-0.2	50	INF
20	Jan_10_2018	17.6	20.66	20.51	20.39	20.32	20.51	20.26(-3.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	60	1	-62	2.65	64%	0.28	59.1	1.95%	0	-0.8	52	INF

21	Jan_9_2018	17.55	20.65	20.65	20.42	20.31	20.42	20.9(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	20	8	-46	2.52	67%	0.29	79.8	1.91%	0	0.5	52	INF
22	Jan_8_2018	17.5	20.57	20.71	20.41	20.3	20.13	20.32(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-5	-38	1.92	66%	0.29	97	1.89%	0	-0.5	50	INF
23	Jan_5_2018	17.45	20.51	20.85	20.43	20.42	20.2	20.25(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-80	-13	-17	2.38	66%	0.29	107.7	1.9%	0	-0.4	54	INF
24	Jan_4_2018	17.4	20.45	20.91	20.51	20.54	20.46	20.23(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-20	-13	-3	2	63%	0.29	113.5	1.9%	0	-0.3	53	INF
25	Jan_3_2018	17.35	20.36	20.93	20.63	20.65	20.65	20.41(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	0	-15	8	2.23	63%		112.3	1.93%	0	0.1	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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