Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ETSY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 1, 2018

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $19.1600 (2.13%) ($18.7100 - $19.5300) on Thu. Feb. 1, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $19.1600(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(68%)    SKYY(57%)    ARKK(56%)    IWF(56%)    IWO(56%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-6%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    TLT(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.35(-30.32%)
Resistance Level   $19.65
5 Day Moving Average   $18.99(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.26(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.65(-2.49%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $16.984b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.66%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2018	18.06	19.65	19.26		18.94	18.94	19.16(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10	2	-57	1.73	56%	0.11	-67.5	2.07%	0	-0.8	33	-0.5
2	Jan_31_2018	18.04	19.71	19.3	18.99	18.99	18.84	18.76(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-60	-7	-71	1.29	55%	0.06	-76.7	2.05%	0	-1.6	33	-1.6
3	Jan_30_2018	18.03	19.81	19.41	19.05	19.07	18.94	18.89(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-40	-18	-87	1.43	55%	0.11	-80.8	2.05%	0	-1.5	28	-1.9
4	Jan_29_2018	18.01	19.89	19.46	19.26	19.23	19.14	18.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-40	-16	-83	1.35	55%	0.11	-86	2.05%	0	-1.6	38	-2.1
5	Jan_26_2018	17.99	19.98	19.52	19.47	19.48	19.2	19.2(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-100	-10	-73	1.68	59%	0.11	-82.2	2.07%	0	-1.4	40	136.8

6	Jan_25_2018	17.97	20.06	19.65	19.57	19.64	19.31	19.14(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-110	-17	-64	1.26	59%	0.17	-75.5	2.1%	0	-1.7	40	137.4
7	Jan_24_2018	17.94	20.19	19.76	19.66	19.76	19.75	19.05(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	10	-13	-58	2.69	59%	0.11	-66.3	2.1%	0	-2.2	38	-1.4
8	Jan_23_2018	17.92	20.32	19.95	19.8	19.82	19.96	19.94(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	13	-39	0.77	59%	0.11	-45.6	2.01%	0	-0.7	40	0.1
9	Jan_22_2018	17.9	20.4	19.98	19.68	19.71	19.76	20.03(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	20	8	-52	1.03	59%	0.22	-38.7	2.07%	0	-0.6	46	0.9
10	Jan_19_2018	17.86	20.44	20	19.59	19.64	19.67	19.7(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	20	-7	-71	1.54	59%	0.22	-35.2	2.07%	0	-1.1	40	1

11	Jan_18_2018	17.82	20.48	20.06	19.76	19.6	19.66	19.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-0	-8	-67	1.05	59%	0.17	-25.4	2.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Jan_17_2018	17.79	20.54	20.14	19.89	19.78	19.62	19.74(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-70	-12	-76	0.79	59%	0.23	-16	2.07%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Jan_16_2018	17.75	20.58	20.25	20.12	19.98	19.54	19.35(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-180	-23	-74	1.44	59%	0.34	1.3	2.07%	0	-1.9	28	0
14	Jan_12_2018	17.69	20.63	20.37	20.32	20.22	19.94	19.54(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-110	-21	-76	3.06	59%	0.23	21.3	2.06%	0	-2	28	0
15	Jan_11_2018	17.65	20.67	20.48	20.46	20.42	20.41	20.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	2	-61	0.78	64%	0.28	44.6	1.95%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	Jan_10_2018	17.6	20.66	20.51	20.39	20.32	20.51	20.26(-3.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	60	1	-62	2.65	64%	0.28	59.1	1.95%	0	-0.8	52	0
17	Jan_9_2018	17.55	20.65	20.65	20.42	20.31	20.42	20.9(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	20	8	-46	2.52	67%	0.29	79.8	1.91%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Jan_8_2018	17.5	20.57	20.71	20.41	20.3	20.13	20.32(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-5	-38	1.92	66%	0.29	97	1.89%	0	-0.5	50	0
19	Jan_5_2018	17.45	20.51	20.85	20.43	20.42	20.2	20.25(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-80	-13	-17	2.38	66%	0.29	107.7	1.9%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Jan_4_2018	17.4	20.45	20.91	20.51	20.54	20.46	20.23(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-20	-13	-3	2	63%	0.29	113.5	1.9%	0	-0.3	53	0

21	Jan_3_2018	17.35	20.36	20.93	20.63	20.65	20.65	20.41(-2.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-9	0	-15	8	2.23	63%	0.29	112.3	1.93%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Jan_2_2018	17.3	20.25	20.97	20.9	20.82	20.63	20.83(1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-80	-13	43	1.9	65%	0.35	110.7	1.92%	0	0.6	62	0
23	Dec_29_2017	17.24	20.06	20.95	21.07	21.06	20.65	20.45(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-140	-27	70	1.29	65%	0.23	86.1	1.92%	0	0.3	65	0
24	Dec_28_2017	17.2	19.88	20.93	21.33	21.35	21.01	20.65(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-110	-16	118	1.51	65%	0.29	79	1.91%	0	0.5	71	0
25	Dec_27_2017	17.15	19.67	20.89	21.35	21.51	21.48	20.82(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	10	2	151	1.77	65%		70.6	1.91%	0	0.7	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.