Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ETHE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 20, 2019 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Ethereum Trust)
ETHE latest price $73.9999 (-8.53%) ($72.2500 - $84.2500) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.08% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $73.9999(-8.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ETHE advances 5.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETHE declines -17.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETHE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(35%)    SMH(30%)    FIVG(29%)    XLY(29%)    BOTZ(28%)
Factors Impacting ETHE price   ETHE will decline at least -6.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    BND(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.54% (StdDev 13.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.2%

Resistance Level   $84.07
5 Day Moving Average   $74.88(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.66(14.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.07(-11.98%)
To recent high   -48.5%
To recent low   195.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ETHE price fluctuates within 28.49% (three month std-dev: 13.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.85%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.41%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 16.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2020	54.48	84.07	64.66	74.88	78.61	80.75	74(-8.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	340	22	-73	0.03	65%	0.65	-42.1	13.08%	0	-0.4	41	-0.7
2	Mar_24_2020	54.13	85.23	65.75	70.88	76.57	78.47	80.9(8.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	410	44	-81	0.04	63%	0.84	-47.3	13.11%	0	-0.2	49	-0.6
3	Mar_23_2020	53.68	87.04	66.86	63.92	68.02	76.47	74.5(6.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	1060	39	-100	0.02	63%	0.81	-48.1	13.2%	0	-0.5	47	-0.8
4	Mar_20_2020	53.25	90.29	68.98	57.28	61.59	74.68	70(-6.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	1710	79	-100	0.05	63%	0.72	-45.9	13.23%	0	-0.7	44	-1.5
5	Mar_19_2020	52.87	93.35	74.29	55.78	53.91	59.57	75.01(38.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	630	51	-99	0.09	63%	0.84	-41.6	13.18%	0	-0.6	51	-1.7

6	Mar_18_2020	52.43	95.54	78.67	53.36	52.99	48.5	54(17.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-54	-610	-27	-136	0.04	63%	0.4	-41.6	12.32%	0	-1.5	37	-2.4
7	Mar_17_2020	52.22	98.89	83.76	60.26	56.81	48.25	46.1(11.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-96	-1230	-82	-136	0.06	62%	0.25	-34.3	12.74%	0	-2	39	-2.2
8	Mar_16_2020	52.09	102.61	89.74	70.44	66.74	57.47	41.3(-33.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-93	-1130	-84	-119	0.06	60%	0.19	-23.2	12.7%	0	-2.5	31	-2.7
9	Mar_13_2020	51.99	105.66	97.12	82.13	79.5	65.38	62.5(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-91	-1340	-86	-107	0.06	64%	0.68	-10.3	12%	0	-2.1	33	-1.9
10	Mar_12_2020	51.64	106.99	100.73	95.43	86.94	76.01	62.91(-28.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-126	-1150	-131	-109	0.08	64%	0.76	12.4	12.1%	0	-2.4	36	-2.6

11	Mar_11_2020	51.25	109.12	106	107.55	102.81	93.61	88.51(-8.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-760	-43	-50	0.08	69%	1.28	51.8	11.41%	0	-1.3	46	-2.2
12	Mar_10_2020	50.6	109.13	107.15	110.67	110.24	97.87	97(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-68	-800	-70	-62	0.04	69%	1.5	69.2	11.32%	0	-0.8	49	-2
13	Mar_9_2020	49.85	108.68	109.44	111.84	112.29	112	99.75(-22.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-10	-56	-52	0.1	69%	1.49	81.6	11.33%	0	-0.5	50	-2.7
14	Mar_6_2020	49.12	107.79	113.62	114.09	114.6	122.62	129(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	500	71	24	0.06	73%	2.18	93.3	10.87%	0	1.2	64	-2.3
15	Mar_5_2020	48.07	104.74	113.64	107.07	109.86	112.57	123.5(18.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	250	44	16	0.05	72%	2.12	81.6	10.87%	0	1	67	-2.1

16	Mar_4_2020	47.07	101.56	113.05	104.77	105.51	106.59	104.1(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	90	-1	1	0.03	70%	1.69	75.7	10.75%	0	0.1	56	-1.6
17	Mar_3_2020	46.29	99.05	114.52	103.35	105.71	107.14	102.85(-7.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	160	12	18	0.04	70%	1.65	67.8	10.75%	0	0.2	61	-2.3
18	Mar_2_2020	45.54	96.52	115.97	106.78	103.78	104.43	111.01(18.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-40	-22	30	0.06	70%	1.88	69.8	10.68%	0	0.5	63	-1.9
19	Feb_28_2020	44.7	93.3	114.55	113.33	108.06	104.28	93.89(-16.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-380	-38	57	0.06	69%	1.48	77.1	10.44%	0	0	62	-2.8
20	Feb_27_2020	44.05	91.05	113.89	121.15	119.02	103.14	112.01(15.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-990	-60	92	0.07	72%	1.97	88.6	10.25%	0	0.7	71	-3.1

21	Feb_26_2020	43.2	87.68	112.8	122.59	124.22	111.84	97(-19.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-74	-660	-134	106	0.18	71%	1.81	91.9	10.14%	0	0.3	72	-2.4
22	Feb_25_2020	42.43	85.05	111.91	126.81	128.74	134.9	120(-16.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	53	380	-4	223	0.08	76%	2.41	97.8	9.77%	0	1.1	81	-3.2
23	Feb_24_2020	41.43	81.06	108.47	125.99	127.52	136.59	143.75(8.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	178	530	126	333	0.07	80%	3.16	99.4	9.45%	0	1.9	89	-3.1
24	Feb_21_2020	40.16	75.52	101.73	116.04	117.01	122.59	133(11.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	133	360	72	314	0.06	77%	2.97	93.4	9.53%	0	1.9	89	-0.8
25	Feb_20_2020	39	70.33	95.01	105.74	107.38	118.45	119.2(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	124	770	66	299	0.05	77%		83.9	9.51%	0	1.7	86	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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