Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $61.6700 (0.6%) ($61.1100 - $61.9500) on Thu. Oct. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $61.6700(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(36%)    VCIT(22%)    GDXJ(20%)    VIXM(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
INDA(-12%)    IYT(-11%)    TBT(-10%)    EWI(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.87(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.7(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61(1.1%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $21.13b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.85%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2017	61.72	61	60.7	60.87	60.83	61.24	61.67(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	50	59	25	1.76	58%	0	-66.4	0.72%	0	0.9	59	INF
2	Oct_11_2017	61.72	61.06	60.58	60.66	60.55	60.7	61.3(1.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	18	10	28	-14	1.83	58%	0	-72.4	0.72%	0	0.3	47	INF
3	Oct_10_2017	61.72	61.1	60.48	60.56	60.47	60.42	60.66(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10	5	-46	1.64	56%	0	-72.2	0.7%	0	-0.5	40	INF
4	Oct_9_2017	61.72	61.2	60.54	60.47	60.49	60.4	60.32(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10	-6	-63	1.77	56%	0.02	-64.2	0.7%	0	-0.8	33	INF
5	Oct_6_2017	61.71	61.38	60.65	60.48	60.42	60.52	60.38(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	10	-6	-67	1.59	56%	0	-55.5	0.7%	0	-0.9	35	INF

6	Oct_5_2017	61.71	61.53	60.68	60.49	60.44	60.59	60.63(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	10	22	-83	1.11	56%	0	-52.4	0.7%	0	-0.8	28	INF
7	Oct_4_2017	61.71	61.65	60.76	60.48	60.4	60.32	60.79(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	-10	5	-113	1.59	56%	0.02	-53.5	0.7%	0	-0.8	27	INF
8	Oct_3_2017	61.7	61.75	60.82	60.41	60.39	60.3	60.21(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-10	-30	-146	1.62	54%	0	-58.4	0.7%	0	-1.4	31	INF
9	Oct_2_2017	61.7	61.89	60.98	60.63	60.55	60.48	60.38(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10	-21	-138	1.3	54%	0.02	-56.7	0.7%	0	-1.4	30	INF
10	Sep_29_2017	61.69	62	61.11	60.85	60.78	60.49	60.44(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-52	-40	-18	-152	3.07	52%	0.02	-56.8	0.7%	0	-1.5	24	INF

11	Sep_28_2017	61.68	62.13	61.34	60.9	60.94	60.61	60.57(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-40	-47	-168	2.71	49%	0.02	-58.4	0.71%	0	-1.6	31	INF
12	Sep_27_2017	61.67	62.27	61.58	61.08	61.1	61.07	60.43(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-0	-31	-151	1.15	47%	0.02	-56.9	0.72%	0	-1.9	33	INF
13	Sep_26_2017	61.66	62.42	61.78	61.29	61.3	61.26	61.34(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-0	2	-129	1.22	52%	0.03	-54.7	0.71%	0	-1.2	42	INF
14	Sep_25_2017	61.64	62.52	61.91	61.37	61.36	61.14	61.47(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-30	-22	-137	1.28	52%	0.03	-51.5	0.72%	0	-1.2	41	INF
15	Sep_22_2017	61.62	62.6	62.16	61.42	61.51	61.34	60.71(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-10	-46	-131	1.68	47%	0.02	-53.5	0.7%	0	-2.3	39	INF

16	Sep_21_2017	61.61	62.73	62.44	61.85	61.72	61.58	61.44(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-20	-36	-92	1.13	50%	0.05	-42.7	0.69%	0	-1.9	40	INF
17	Sep_20_2017	61.58	62.82	62.62	62.17	62.05	61.68	61.48(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-50	-32	-67	1.57	50%	0.03	-31.3	0.69%	0	-2.2	39	INF
18	Sep_19_2017	61.56	62.9	62.75	62.35	62.3	61.86	61.77(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-61	-50	-57	-72	1.45	48%	0.05	-25	0.69%	0	-2.1	40	INF
19	Sep_18_2017	61.53	62.96	62.88	62.52	62.5	62.42	61.69(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-62	-10	-61	-66	1.45	48%	0.03	-9.3	0.69%	0	-2.7	39	INF
20	Sep_15_2017	61.51	63.04	62.99	63.01	62.83	62.75	62.86(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-20	-3	-13	2.13	55%	0.05	38.6	0.67%	0	-0.5	49	INF

21	Sep_14_2017	61.48	63.02	63	63.13	63.06	62.58	63.05(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-60	-33	-15	1.45	55%	0.05	50	0.67%	0	0.1	51	INF
22	Sep_13_2017	61.45	63.01	63.02	63.16	63.22	62.91	62.37(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-46	-30	-55	-20	1.1	52%	0.05	65	0.66%	0	-1.7	43	INF
23	Sep_12_2017	61.42	63.03	63.11	63.21	63.33	63.54	62.64(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	6	30	4	13	1.29	52%	0.03	74.6	0.65%	0	-1.1	49	INF
24	Sep_11_2017	61.4	63.01	63.18	63.27	63.21	63.53	64.11(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	60	30	64	48	1.39	59%	0.08	73.8	0.59%	0	2.7	64	INF
25	Sep_8_2017	61.35	62.9	63.07	62.96	62.95	63.13	63.49(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	20	32	8	1.13	54%		59.7	0.57%	0	1.5	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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