Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $55.0300 (1.36%) ($54.4400 - $55.3300) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $55.0300(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(35%)    VCIT(23%)    GDXJ(20%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-12%)    IYT(-11%)    INDA(-11%)    XLF(-9%)    IWO(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.86(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.09(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.93(2.04%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $18.855b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.74%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.61%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.5%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.63%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	55.78	53.93	54.09	53.86	53.87	54.29	55.03(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	60	43	4	1.9	43%	-0.04	44.7	1.07%	0	1.5	59	INF
2	Nov_7_2016	55.8	53.78	54	53.67	53.58	53.68	54.29(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	10	-0	-23	1.28	41%	-0.04	34.4	1.05%	0	0.7	51	INF
3	Nov_4_2016	55.82	53.71	53.98	53.83	53.78	53.45	53.18(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-50	-17	-18	1.66	36%	-0.07	33.8	1.03%	0	-0.7	46	INF
4	Nov_3_2016	55.86	53.68	54.07	54.03	54.08	53.48	53.38(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-70	-41	-8	1.75	34%	-0.05	30.7	1.03%	0	-0.4	55	INF
5	Nov_2_2016	55.89	53.66	54.15	54.14	54.29	54.11	53.44(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-24	-10	-35	9	2.51	34%	-0.07	22.8	1.05%	0	-0.3	54	INF

6	Nov_1_2016	55.93	53.62	54.15	54.31	54.35	54.69	54.08(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	50	12	52	1.38	35%	-0.05	12.6	1.04%	0	0.6	68	INF
7	Oct_31_2016	55.96	53.55	54.22	54.36	54.25	54.46	55.06(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	20	33	86	1.49	37%	-0.04	-0.7	1.03%	0	1.9	84	INF
8	Oct_28_2016	55.98	53.46	54.09	54.17	54.25	54.02	54.2(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10	-0	74	0.87	34%	-0.04	-25.4	1.02%	0	1	66	INF
9	Oct_27_2016	56	53.45	53.99	54.13	54.09	54.05	53.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-8	77	1.54	33%	-0.05	-37.5	1.02%	0	0.6	67	INF
10	Oct_26_2016	56.03	53.48	53.94	54.17	54.09	54.17	54.31(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	4	93	1.58	33%	-0.02	-39	1.02%	0	1	67	INF

11	Oct_25_2016	56.04	53.51	53.77	54.1	54.1	54.14	54.3(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	8	93	1.26	33%	-0.04	-39.5	1.02%	0	0.9	68	INF
12	Oct_24_2016	56.06	53.56	53.55	54.07	54.05	54.03	54.13(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-0	2	84	1.01	33%	-0.04	-30.9	1.02%	0	0.5	66	INF
13	Oct_21_2016	56.08	53.65	53.42	53.99	54.02	54.07	54(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	8	74	1.83	36%	-0.02	-23.5	1.04%	0	0.3	52	INF
14	Oct_20_2016	56.09	53.74	53.26	53.83	53.91	54.08	54.12(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	18	52	1.07	36%	-0.02	-18.8	1.04%	0	0.3	47	INF
15	Oct_19_2016	56.1	53.82	53.12	53.67	53.67	53.97	53.97(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	28	28	1.63	36%	-0.04	-15	1.04%	0	0.1	41	INF

16	Oct_18_2016	56.12	53.88	52.97	53.39	53.43	53.73	54.13(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	31	40	44	-9	1.31	36%	-0.04	-15	1.04%	0	0.2	38	INF
17	Oct_17_2016	56.14	53.89	52.81	52.96	53.03	53.38	53.75(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	50	28	-69	1.46	36%	-0.02	-21.3	1.04%	0	-0.1	34	INF
18	Oct_14_2016	56.15	53.93	52.77	52.76	52.73	53.14	53.18(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	50	33	-109	1.41	34%	-0.04	-24.6	1.03%	0	-0.6	24	INF
19	Oct_13_2016	56.17	53.99	52.85	52.61	52.56	52.68	53.3(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	10	23	-143	1.85	34%	-0.02	-25.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	26	INF
20	Oct_12_2016	56.18	54.02	52.96	52.5	52.51	52.31	52.58(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-30	-7	-178	2.21	29%	-0.04	-32	1.02%	0	-1.1	24	INF

21	Oct_11_2016	56.2	54.08	53.21	52.49	52.56	52.44	51.98(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10	-21	-183	1.78	27%	-0.04	-37.6	1.05%	0	-1.6	23	INF
22	Oct_10_2016	56.22	54.18	53.55	52.62	52.68	52.71	52.76(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	10	-6	-165	1.11	28%	-0.04	-42.7	1.04%	0	-1.2	39	INF
23	Oct_7_2016	56.24	54.27	53.89	52.77	52.76	52.67	52.44(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10	-18	-149	1.51	27%	-0.05	-40.7	1.03%	0	-1.6	36	INF
24	Oct_6_2016	56.27	54.32	54.27	53.12	52.97	52.66	52.72(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-50	-38	-117	1.81	27%	-0.04	-36	1.05%	0	-1.5	42	INF
25	Oct_5_2016	56.29	54.44	54.58	53.52	53.48	52.85	52.56(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-80	-54	-84	2.67	27%		-23.6	1.04%	0	-1.8	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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