Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $50.8300 (2.62%) ($49.3000 - $51.1900) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $50.8300(2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    XLU(25%)    GDXJ(19%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    XOP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.78(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.52(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.58(0.49%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $17.416b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.35%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	52.14	50.58	49.52	49.78	49.71	49.94	50.83(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	30	24	-28	2.35	44%	0.04	-38	1.5%	0	0.2	43	0
2	Mar_17_2015	52.12	50.65	49.41	49.38	49.51	49.65	49.53(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	30	12	-71	1.94	43%	0.02	-51.7	1.49%	0	-0.7	31	0
3	Mar_16_2015	52.11	50.74	49.5	49.3	49.32	49.47	49.76(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	20	11	-95	1.18	43%	0.02	-58.7	1.5%	0	-0.6	29	0
4	Mar_13_2015	52.1	50.81	49.54	49.12	49.18	49.36	49.13(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	30	10	-123	0.97	43%	0.02	-71.3	1.49%	0	-1.1	30	0
5	Mar_12_2015	52.09	50.97	49.78	49.04	49.12	49.16	49.67(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	10	2	-137	1.19	42%	0.04	-86.7	1.49%	0	-0.9	33	0

6	Mar_11_2015	52.07	51.15	49.98	49.22	49.06	49	48.82(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-20	-16	-145	1.1	40%	0.02	-88.7	1.48%	0	-1.6	28	0
7	Mar_10_2015	52.06	51.44	50.35	49.44	49.43	49.07	49.11(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-50	-15	-136	1.29	39%	0.02	-85	1.48%	0	-1.5	28	0
8	Mar_9_2015	52.05	51.65	50.76	49.74	49.67	49.12	48.86(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-80	-37	-120	0.97	39%	0.04	-93.2	1.48%	0	-1.8	39	0
9	Mar_6_2015	52.03	51.9	51.15	50.02	49.99	49.79	48.76(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-30	-39	-99	1.29	41%	0.04	-100.4	1.48%	0	-2.2	40	0
10	Mar_5_2015	52.01	52.27	51.55	50.61	50.41	50.23	50.55(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-40	-14	-65	0.87	44%	0.06	-85.5	1.42%	0	-1.1	41	0

11	Mar_4_2015	51.98	52.51	51.75	50.87	50.76	50.2	49.92(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-80	-39	-70	1.12	44%	0.04	-76.5	1.42%	0	-1.6	32	0
12	Mar_3_2015	51.96	52.82	52.02	51.41	51.27	50.59	50.6(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-100	-55	-69	1.27	44%	0.08	-66.2	1.41%	0	-1.3	29	0
13	Mar_2_2015	51.92	53.09	52.11	51.96	51.93	51.33	50.25(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-80	-46	-56	1.9	44%	0.08	-55.3	1.41%	0	-1.7	38	0
14	Feb_27_2015	51.88	53.36	52.22	52.45	52.45	51.95	51.75(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-70	-30	-49	1.18	49%	0.12	-50.8	1.36%	0	-1	41	0
15	Feb_26_2015	51.82	53.59	52.28	52.61	52.64	52.53	51.84(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10	-19	-67	1.2	49%	0.1	-44.5	1.37%	0	-1	32	0

16	Feb_25_2015	51.77	53.78	52.42	52.74	52.68	52.94	52.61(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	30	8	-69	1.48	51%	0.14	-43.1	1.36%	0	-0.7	37	0
17	Feb_24_2015	51.7	53.94	52.61	52.72	52.66	52.75	53.34(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	30	-73	1.25	52%	0.17	-42.1	1.35%	0	-0.3	38	0
18	Feb_23_2015	51.61	54.05	52.57	52.3	52.38	52.42	52.7(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	10	12	-123	1.16	52%	0.14	-47.7	1.35%	0	-0.8	34	0
19	Feb_20_2015	51.54	54.21	52.66	51.97	52.02	52.57	52.54(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	80	15	-153	1.88	52%	0.16	-51.5	1.35%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Feb_19_2015	51.46	54.37	53	51.92	51.78	52.35	52.5(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	70	28	-153	1.12	52%	0.16	-50	1.35%	0	-1.1	34	0

21	Feb_18_2015	51.38	54.53	53.29	52.08	51.8	51.46	52.54(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-52	-60	-14	-165	2.16	52%	0.16	-43.9	1.35%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Feb_17_2015	51.3	54.68	53.63	52.51	52.3	51.2	51.23(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-160	-63	-170	2.6	51%	0.29	-33.4	1.32%	0	-2.1	32	0
23	Feb_13_2015	51.15	54.91	54.13	52.89	53.02	52.14	51.02(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-96	-110	-75	-157	2.89	51%	0.14	-25.2	1.32%	0	-2.7	31	0
24	Feb_12_2015	51.08	55.14	54.61	53.43	53.55	53.4	52.3(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-73	-10	-53	-131	3.49	51%	0.16	-15.3	1.28%	0	-2.5	34	0
25	Feb_11_2015	51	55.25	55.03	54.23	53.99	53.89	53.31(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-30	-18	-76	1.9	54%		5.3	1.29%	0	-2.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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