Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $51.5600 (0.66%) ($51.1300 - $51.7200) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $51.5600(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    XLU(27%)    GDXJ(19%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    IWM(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.06(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.51(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.17(2.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $17.666b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2014	46.62	50.17	50.51	51.06	50.98	51.27	51.56(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	40	36	108	1.77	66%	0.15	50	1.07%	0	1.9	72	INF
2	Dec_3_2014	46.55	50.12	50.34	50.68	50.68	50.97	51.22(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	40	37	91	1.56	66%	0.11	54.5	1.07%	0	1.6	67	INF
3	Dec_2_2014	46.5	50.03	50.19	50.34	50.31	50.68	51.2(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	30	60	1.89	64%	0.15	48.4	1.07%	0	1.9	53	INF
4	Dec_1_2014	46.43	49.95	50.01	50.1	50.03	50.39	50.69(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	50	26	31	2.27	64%	0.11	51.8	1.07%	0	1.3	47	INF
5	Nov_28_2014	46.38	49.88	49.83	50.03	50.03	49.94	50.64(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10	17	5	1.36	64%	0.11	56.3	1.08%	0	1.4	47	INF

6	Nov_26_2014	46.33	49.82	49.69	49.9	49.94	49.68	49.64(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-30	-17	-21	1.71	62%	0.06	52.4	1.05%	0	-0.3	52	INF
7	Nov_25_2014	46.3	49.76	49.67	49.96	50.01	49.94	49.51(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10	-15	-30	2.29	62%	0.09	54.2	1.06%	0	-0.4	41	INF
8	Nov_24_2014	46.26	49.73	49.77	50.01	50.02	50.21	50.01(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	9	30	14	-5	1.86	62%	0.09	59.6	1.05%	0	0.4	54	INF
9	Nov_21_2014	46.22	49.66	49.83	49.9	49.9	50.08	50.36(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	30	33	7	1.84	62%	0.11	55.8	1.04%	0	1	55	INF
10	Nov_20_2014	46.17	49.57	49.85	49.58	49.62	49.83	49.96(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	30	18	-5	1.31	62%	0.09	52.3	1.04%	0	0.5	55	INF

11	Nov_19_2014	46.13	49.49	49.8	49.45	49.37	49.71	49.94(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	40	21	-12	1.27	63%	0.07	52.5	1.04%	0	0.6	55	INF
12	Nov_18_2014	46.1	49.41	49.88	49.36	49.29	49.4	49.78(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	10	12	4	1.05	63%	0.04	49.4	1.05%	0	0.4	61	INF
13	Nov_17_2014	46.08	49.31	49.86	49.51	49.28	49.03	49.44(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-20	-50	-28	6	0.86	63%	0.07	54.4	1.05%	0	0.1	56	INF
14	Nov_14_2014	46.05	49.25	49.88	49.77	49.65	49.19	48.8(-0.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-25	-70	-43	30	1.89	63%	0.04	63.2	1.04%	0	-0.5	55	INF
15	Nov_13_2014	46.03	49.18	49.96	50.15	50.06	49.53	49.27(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-80	-35	67	1.37	63%	0.07	70.7	1.04%	0	0.1	57	INF

16	Nov_12_2014	46	49.08	49.98	50.19	50.25	50.12	49.49(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10	-36	81	2.32	63%	0.07	73.9	1.04%	0	0.4	59	INF
17	Nov_11_2014	45.97	48.98	49.88	50.46	50.34	50.6	50.54(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	30	22	133	1.3	68%	0.09	82.7	1%	0	1.3	69	INF
18	Nov_10_2014	45.93	48.83	49.71	50.25	50.25	50.38	50.73(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	20	32	136	1.72	68%	0.09	84.3	1%	0	1.6	72	INF
19	Nov_7_2014	45.89	48.63	49.48	50.02	49.99	50.08	50.7(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	10	13	117	2.4	71%	0.09	85.1	1.03%	0	1.8	69	INF
20	Nov_6_2014	45.85	48.42	49.26	49.75	49.83	50.12	49.5(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	50	16	122	3.52	66%	0.07	83.1	1%	0	0.9	69	INF

21	Nov_5_2014	45.82	48.26	49.16	49.72	49.69	49.9	50.83(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	77	30	50	158	2.44	69%	0.11	86.5	0.96%	0	2.2	84	INF
22	Nov_4_2014	45.77	48.04	48.87	49.23	49.38	49.53	49.51(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	19	122	1.23	63%	0.09	87.9	0.93%	0	1.3	69	INF
23	Nov_3_2014	45.73	47.86	48.71	49.08	49.11	49.47	49.58(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	50	29	119	1.59	63%	0.09	87.9	0.95%	0	1.5	70	INF
24	Oct_31_2014	45.69	47.66	48.55	48.86	48.88	49.23	49.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	60	50	39	124	1.61	59%	0.11	87.7	0.95%	0	1.5	74	INF
25	Oct_30_2014	45.64	47.47	48.34	48.7	48.65	48.76	49.35(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	10	23	113	1.77	56%		86.9	1%	0	1.6	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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