Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $49.5000 (-2.62%) ($49.3300 - $50.5600) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $49.5000(-2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    XLU(28%)    GDXJ(19%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    UUP(-5%)    IWM(-5%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.75(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.26(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.42(2.23%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $16.96b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.04%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2014	45.85	48.42	49.26	49.75	49.83	50.12	49.5(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	50	16	122	3.52	66%	0.07	83.1	1%	0	0.9	69	0
2	Nov_5_2014	45.82	48.26	49.16	49.72	49.69	49.9	50.83(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	77	30	50	158	2.44	69%	0.11	86.5	0.96%	0	2.2	84	0
3	Nov_4_2014	45.77	48.04	48.87	49.23	49.38	49.53	49.51(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	19	122	1.23	63%	0.09	87.9	0.93%	0	1.3	69	0
4	Nov_3_2014	45.73	47.86	48.71	49.08	49.11	49.47	49.58(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	50	29	119	1.59	63%	0.09	87.9	0.95%	0	1.5	70	0
5	Oct_31_2014	45.69	47.66	48.55	48.86	48.88	49.23	49.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	60	50	39	124	1.61	59%	0.11	87.7	0.95%	0	1.5	74	0

6	Oct_30_2014	45.64	47.47	48.34	48.7	48.65	48.76	49.35(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	10	23	113	1.77	56%	0.09	86.9	1%	0	1.6	75	0
7	Oct_29_2014	45.6	47.26	48.1	48.52	48.53	48.53	48.35(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	3	105	1.25	52%	0.09	85.8	0.99%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Oct_28_2014	45.56	47.09	48.02	48.46	48.49	48.55	48.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	13	118	1.4	54%	0.07	80.4	0.99%	0	1.3	69	0
9	Oct_27_2014	45.53	46.87	47.89	48.27	48.35	48.53	48.45(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	13	125	1.59	54%	0.07	73.1	1.01%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Oct_24_2014	45.5	46.66	47.73	48.19	48.19	48.43	48.59(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	30	31	144	1.18	54%	0.07	69.4	1.01%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Oct_23_2014	45.47	46.45	47.52	47.91	47.97	48.17	48.41(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	30	33	138	1.7	54%	0.07	60.8	1.01%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Oct_22_2014	45.44	46.25	47.29	47.61	47.63	47.95	48.07(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	50	21	128	1.52	54%	0.07	53.4	1.01%	0	1.4	77	0
13	Oct_21_2014	45.41	46.07	47.14	47.51	47.35	47.77	47.81(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	50	29	148	3.71	54%	0.07	49.3	1.01%	0	1.4	76	0
14	Oct_20_2014	45.38	45.91	46.95	47.46	47.21	47.31	48.07(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	-0	32	168	2.02	54%	0.04	47.7	1%	0	1.8	82	0
15	Oct_17_2014	45.36	45.74	46.69	47.2	47.12	46.94	47.18(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	-30	-2	156	2.11	51%	0.07	47.9	0.99%	0	1.3	79	0

16	Oct_16_2014	45.33	45.65	46.54	47.06	47.08	47.12	46.94(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	10	1	165	3	51%	0.02	50.4	0.99%	0	1.2	77	0
17	Oct_15_2014	45.32	45.56	46.36	46.89	46.98	47.31	47.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	66	50	28	178	3.3	53%	0.07	48.4	0.98%	0	2	86	0
18	Oct_14_2014	45.29	45.45	46.09	46.71	46.77	47.05	47.56(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	78	50	44	180	2.56	52%	0.04	49.5	0.98%	0	2.4	80	0
19	Oct_13_2014	45.27	45.33	45.76	46.36	46.51	46.65	46.77(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	30	27	147	1.37	49%	0.04	44	0.97%	0	1.9	74	0
20	Oct_10_2014	45.25	45.22	45.52	46.12	46.23	46.5	46.46(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	50	22	122	1.96	49%	0.02	27.7	0.97%	0	1.8	67	0

21	Oct_9_2014	45.24	45.12	45.31	45.94	46.01	46.37	46.1(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	40	104	2.31	49%	0.02	8.5	0.97%	0	1.5	55	0
22	Oct_8_2014	45.23	45.08	45.13	45.73	45.7	45.96	46.67(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	40	42	79	2.01	51%	0.02	-4.4	0.96%	0	2.6	64	0
23	Oct_7_2014	45.22	45.01	44.9	45.37	45.39	45.65	45.81(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	33	35	3.79	48%	0.02	-26.7	0.93%	0	1.5	49	0
24	Oct_6_2014	45.21	45	44.78	45.07	45.15	45.44	45.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	29	50	38	2	1.24	48%	-0.02	-36.2	0.93%	0	1	47	0
25	Oct_3_2014	45.22	45.03	44.7	44.82	44.85	45.14	45.55(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	22	50	35	-16	2.11	47%		-40.3	0.94%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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