Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $35.8500 (0.39%) ($35.3700 - $35.8900) on Tue. Dec. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $35.8500(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(33%)    XLP(19%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(14%)    SHY(12%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-2%)    XOP(-1%)    USO(0%)    REMX(-0%)    IWM(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.37(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.64(3.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $12.283b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2011	33.8	34.64	35	35.37	35.36	35.63	35.85(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	50	21	79	0.67	43%	0.21	90.1	1.57%	0	2.2	64	NAN
2	Dec_23_2011	33.73	34.52	34.83	35.1	35.14	35.4	35.71(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	60	21	62	0.9	43%	0.12	63.8	1.57%	0	2	62	NAN
3	Dec_22_2011	33.69	34.39	34.69	34.91	34.93	35.09	35.3(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	30	13	47	1.6	41%	0.06	55.4	1.57%	0	1.7	60	NAN
4	Dec_21_2011	33.67	34.28	34.51	34.78	34.83	34.89	35.17(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	20	11	26	2.43	41%	0.03	35.5	1.6%	0	1.5	52	NAN
5	Dec_20_2011	33.66	34.2	34.41	34.61	34.75	34.89	34.81(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	20	3	8	1.74	41%	0.03	17.7	1.61%	0	1.1	52	NAN

6	Dec_19_2011	33.65	34.2	34.41	34.57	34.67	34.77	34.51(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	30	3	13	1.17	41%	0.03	11.4	1.61%	0	0.7	59	NAN
7	Dec_16_2011	33.64	34.14	34.36	34.52	34.64	34.74	34.74(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	30	12	24	2.52	41%	0	3.8	1.6%	0	1.1	64	NAN
8	Dec_15_2011	33.64	34.1	34.31	34.43	34.48	34.57	34.68(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	12	31	1.21	41%	0	-3.9	1.6%	0	1.1	66	NAN
9	Dec_14_2011	33.64	34.07	34.32	34.2	34.32	34.55	34.29(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	60	9	34	1.79	41%	-0.03	-11.3	1.61%	0	0.4	65	NAN
10	Dec_13_2011	33.65	34.1	34.35	34.18	34.15	34.38	34.65(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	40	13	46	2.61	41%	-0.03	-7.6	1.61%	0	1	60	NAN

11	Dec_12_2011	33.66	34.08	34.26	34.13	34.04	34.08	34.24(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	0	2	38	1.52	41%	-0.03	-10.3	1.6%	0	0.3	55	NAN
12	Dec_9_2011	33.67	34.08	34.18	34.17	34.12	33.92	34.3(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-50	-6	28	1.63	39%	-0.03	-4.2	1.61%	0	0.3	47	NAN
13	Dec_8_2011	33.68	34.12	34.08	34.18	34.27	34	33.52(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-50	-24	14	1.69	36%	-0.03	-7.8	1.6%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
14	Dec_7_2011	33.69	34.13	34.04	34.45	34.47	34.33	34.21(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-12	23	1.59	38%	0	1.2	1.58%	0	0.1	49	NAN
15	Dec_6_2011	33.69	34.13	33.98	34.53	34.61	34.53	34.38(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10	2	21	1.62	38%	0	11.4	1.59%	0	0.4	44	NAN

16	Dec_5_2011	33.69	34.13	33.92	34.39	34.62	34.61	34.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	9	9	1.28	38%	-0.03	3.6	1.59%	0	0.6	49	NAN
17	Dec_2_2011	33.7	34.14	33.91	34.18	34.39	34.69	34.34(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	80	15	-8	1.74	36%	0	-5.9	1.6%	0	0.3	43	NAN
18	Dec_1_2011	33.7	34.16	33.86	33.95	34.14	34.63	34.85(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	25	120	39	-16	1.6	36%	0	-17.9	1.61%	0	1.2	53	NAN
19	Nov_30_2011	33.7	34.12	33.79	33.57	33.72	34.09	34.61(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	11	90	28	-39	1.83	36%	-0.03	-35.3	1.6%	0	0.9	56	NAN
20	Nov_29_2011	33.71	34.07	33.8	33.37	33.72	33.65	33.7(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	60	9	-56	0.85	35%	-0.03	-43.7	1.56%	0	-0.6	45	NAN

21	Nov_28_2011	33.72	34.12	33.87	33.39	33.37	33.36	33.4(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-0	-1	-60	1.3	35%	-0.06	-38.9	1.57%	0	-1.3	43	NAN
22	Nov_25_2011	33.74	34.18	34.03	33.61	33.43	33.09	33.18(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-90	-21	-51	0.69	35%	-0.12	-23	1.57%	0	-1.8	40	NAN
23	Nov_23_2011	33.78	34.27	34.15	33.76	33.75	33.38	32.95(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-80	-26	-48	1.68	43%	-0.09	-3.3	1.62%	0	-2.5	37	NAN
24	Nov_22_2011	33.81	34.27	34.25	34.03	34.01	33.76	33.61(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-50	-24	-36	2.24	44%	0	18.2	1.64%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
25	Nov_21_2011	33.81	34.33	34.33	34.29	34.22	34.12	33.79(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-30	-13	-9	2.19	44%		36.6	1.64%	0	-1.2	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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