Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $32.5500 (0.74%) ($32.1300 - $32.8000) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $32.5500(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(35%)    XLP(20%)    LQD(17%)    SHY(11%)    TLT(11%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-1%)    XOP(1%)    USO(1%)    REMX(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.98(-20.18%)
Resistance Level   $33.26
5 Day Moving Average   $32.36(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.38(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.26(-2.13%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $11.153b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.38%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2011	33.99	33.26	32.38	32.36	32.45	32.49	32.55(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	20	10	-68	2.06	42%	-0.09	-29.4	1.9%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
2	Oct_11_2011	34.02	33.33	32.48	32.07	32.21	32.61	32.31(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	100	17	-86	1.87	42%	-0.09	-36	1.91%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
3	Oct_10_2011	34.05	33.4	32.69	31.86	31.89	32.41	32.96(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	120	27	-97	1.91	43%	-0.09	-41.7	1.9%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
4	Oct_7_2011	34.08	33.43	32.78	31.68	31.57	31.82	32.05(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	50	-1	-125	2.48	40%	-0.12	-48.2	1.86%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
5	Oct_6_2011	34.12	33.49	32.98	32	31.76	31.36	31.94(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-110	-23	-123	3.38	40%	-0.15	-47.5	1.86%	0	-1.5	34	NAN

6	Oct_5_2011	34.17	33.59	33.14	32.44	32.35	31.31	31.09(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-70	-230	-52	-124	5.02	38%	-0.15	-42.7	1.83%	0	-2.5	27	NAN
7	Oct_4_2011	34.22	33.74	33.47	32.96	33.07	32.15	31.27(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-76	-180	-67	-102	5.42	38%	-0.15	-38.8	1.83%	0	-3	33	NAN
8	Oct_3_2011	34.27	33.87	33.84	33.61	33.76	33.4	32.06(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-39	-60	-36	-47	3.65	39%	-0.12	-32.2	1.82%	0	-3	41	NAN
9	Sep_30_2011	34.31	33.96	34.1	34.01	34.19	33.99	33.65(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-30	-7	-4	2.15	44%	-0.06	-23.1	1.74%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
10	Sep_29_2011	34.33	33.99	34.18	34.09	34.25	34.12	34.11(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10	-2	15	1.97	44%	-0.06	-14	1.73%	0	0.3	62	NAN

11	Sep_28_2011	34.35	34.02	34.22	33.96	34.16	34.39	33.73(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5	60	1	15	2.04	44%	-0.06	-16.7	1.72%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
12	Sep_27_2011	34.37	34.02	34.25	34.06	34.16	34.37	34.5(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	70	10	28	1.56	47%	-0.03	2.1	1.7%	0	0.9	57	NAN
13	Sep_26_2011	34.38	34.02	34.18	34.13	33.97	33.93	34.08(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-20	5	32	2.11	47%	-0.03	28.5	1.7%	0	0	58	NAN
14	Sep_23_2011	34.39	34.02	34.11	34.21	34.14	33.57	34.01(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-120	-18	25	1.55	47%	-0.03	51.4	1.7%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
15	Sep_22_2011	34.4	34.06	34.03	34.3	34.28	34	33.48(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-22	-60	-33	13	2.84	46%	-0.09	68.8	1.69%	0	-1.2	42	NAN

16	Sep_21_2011	34.43	34.1	34.07	34.5	34.57	34.71	34.25(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	30	7	33	1.7	48%	-0.03	94.9	1.67%	0	0.3	44	NAN
17	Sep_20_2011	34.44	34.04	34.03	34.45	34.52	34.56	34.81(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	10	16	28	1.43	49%	-0.03	86.7	1.66%	0	1.5	51	NAN
18	Sep_19_2011	34.45	33.92	33.89	34.23	34.29	34.43	34.52(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	30	11	2	1.56	49%	-0.03	54.1	1.66%	0	1	46	NAN
19	Sep_16_2011	34.46	33.81	33.8	33.99	34.09	34.48	34.45(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	90	27	-10	1.84	51%	-0.03	37.2	1.67%	0	0.9	53	NAN
20	Sep_15_2011	34.47	33.72	33.8	33.72	33.71	34.14	34.46(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	90	23	-24	1.1	51%	-0.03	24.5	1.68%	0	1	55	NAN

21	Sep_14_2011	34.48	33.65	33.78	33.59	33.43	33.7	34.02(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	40	15	-31	1.13	51%	0	32.2	1.67%	0	0.5	47	NAN
22	Sep_13_2011	34.48	33.61	33.82	33.55	33.4	33.28	33.69(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-40	5	-26	1.21	51%	-0.03	37.8	1.67%	0	0.1	57	NAN
23	Sep_12_2011	34.49	33.59	33.91	33.5	33.46	33.15	33.33(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-70	-15	-13	1.37	51%	-0.06	54.4	1.66%	0	-0.4	63	NAN
24	Sep_9_2011	34.51	33.55	34	33.58	33.49	33.53	33.1(-2.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-12	0	-19	8	1.56	51%	-0.03	56.1	1.66%	0	-0.6	61	NAN
25	Sep_8_2011	34.52	33.54	34.09	33.83	33.65	33.77	33.82(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	10	-0	44	1.37	53%		69.5	1.64%	0	0.4	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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