Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2011

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $35.7500 (0.87%) ($35.5200 - $36.0200) on Tue. May. 10, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $35.7500(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(37%)    XLP(23%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(12%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(2%)    XOP(3%)    USO(3%)    PCY(4%)    REMX(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.5(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.5(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.83(2.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $12.249b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.83%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2011	33.63	34.83	35.5	35.5	35.46	35.51	35.75(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	10	10	118	2.01	56%	0.12	32.1	0.83%	0	1.2	86	NAN
2	May_9_2011	33.59	34.75	35.41	35.49	35.45	35.36	35.44(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-20	-10	138	1.03	55%	0.12	28.8	0.83%	0	0.9	86	NAN
3	May_6_2011	33.55	34.7	35.33	35.54	35.56	35.41	35.3(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-30	-15	159	1.38	55%	0.09	29.6	0.82%	0	0.8	71	NAN
4	May_5_2011	33.52	34.66	35.25	35.6	35.64	35.54	35.26(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	36	-20	-13	184	1.51	55%	0.12	32.2	0.82%	0	0.8	73	NAN
5	May_4_2011	33.48	34.64	35.15	35.62	35.67	35.71	35.73(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	10	10	208	1.44	58%	0.12	35.1	0.81%	0	1.5	79	NAN

6	May_3_2011	33.44	34.58	34.95	35.5	35.57	35.75	35.72(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	40	27	197	0.99	58%	0.15	36.1	0.81%	0	1.7	73	NAN
7	May_2_2011	33.39	34.53	34.73	35.32	35.39	35.63	35.67(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	50	39	170	0.81	58%	0.12	38.3	0.81%	0	1.8	70	NAN
8	Apr_29_2011	33.35	34.48	34.55	35.1	35.16	35.39	35.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	50	40	131	1.34	62%	0.12	37.6	0.85%	0	2	62	NAN
9	Apr_28_2011	33.31	34.43	34.36	34.86	34.9	35.14	35.38(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	50	38	89	0.83	62%	0.12	33.1	0.85%	0	1.9	58	NAN
10	Apr_27_2011	33.27	34.39	34.21	34.61	34.66	34.92	35.14(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	60	44	45	1.13	62%	0.12	26.9	0.85%	0	1.6	50	NAN

11	Apr_26_2011	33.23	34.34	34.09	34.31	34.42	34.66	34.79(0.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	33	60	45	-2	1.92	57%	0.12	11.2	0.84%	0	1	48	NAN
12	Apr_25_2011	33.19	34.3	34.02	34.05	34.1	34.4	34.6(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	70	30	-51	1.48	57%	0.12	-9.6	0.86%	0	0.7	43	NAN
13	Apr_21_2011	33.15	34.27	34	33.92	33.87	34.17	34.37(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	60	34	-73	1.17	57%	0.09	-13	0.85%	0	0.2	39	NAN
14	Apr_20_2011	33.12	34.27	34.01	33.8	33.76	33.81	34.15(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	10	21	-94	1.78	59%	0.09	-14.6	0.85%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
15	Apr_19_2011	33.09	34.26	34.07	33.75	33.68	33.56	33.65(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-30	-20	-117	1.38	56%	0.06	-7.3	0.84%	0	-1.5	30	NAN

16	Apr_18_2011	33.07	34.29	34.18	33.83	33.8	33.72	33.48(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-20	-20	-100	1.95	59%	0.06	3.4	0.84%	0	-2	40	NAN
17	Apr_15_2011	33.05	34.34	34.33	33.97	33.94	33.8	33.96(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-30	-17	-65	2.05	62%	0.03	12.6	0.85%	0	-1	55	NAN
18	Apr_14_2011	33.04	34.33	34.42	34.09	34.05	33.88	33.77(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-30	-44	2.57	63%	0.06	10.1	0.85%	0	-1.4	47	NAN
19	Apr_13_2011	33.02	34.32	34.51	34.25	34.27	34.07	33.88(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-40	-28	-17	1.69	63%	0.09	9.7	0.86%	0	-1	48	NAN
20	Apr_12_2011	32.99	34.3	34.6	34.45	34.42	34.23	34.07(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-19	-40	-30	16	1.71	63%	0.06	3.6	0.85%	0	-0.5	50	NAN

21	Apr_11_2011	32.97	34.28	34.63	34.59	34.61	34.47	34.19(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-30	-23	37	1.35	63%	0.09	1.5	0.85%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
22	Apr_8_2011	32.94	34.28	34.61	34.73	34.74	34.62	34.53(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-20	-16	51	1.13	66%	0.09	11.7	0.83%	0	0.5	57	NAN
23	Apr_7_2011	32.91	34.29	34.58	34.8	34.82	34.76	34.58(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10	-8	73	1.38	66%	0.12	22.6	0.84%	0	0.6	67	NAN
24	Apr_6_2011	32.87	34.29	34.54	34.81	34.87	34.86	34.89(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	0	2	93	0.68	68%	0.09	25.2	0.83%	0	1.2	76	NAN
25	Apr_5_2011	32.84	34.28	34.47	34.78	34.83	34.88	34.76(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	9	114	0.8	65%		33.6	0.83%	0	1	78	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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