Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $26.6500 (0.64%) ($26.3200 - $26.7300) on Wed. Jun. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.6500(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(38%)    XLP(24%)    VWO(16%)    EEM(14%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(4%)    OIH(4%)    XOP(5%)    TLT(5%)    TIP(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.25(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.92(2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.89(2.94%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $9.131b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2010	26.56	25.89	25.92	26.25	26.22	26.42	26.65(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	50	29	62	1.82	43%	0.08	-17.1	1.31%	0	1.9	58	NAN
2	Jun_15_2010	26.54	25.89	25.84	25.97	26.04	26.21	26.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	50	24	39	1.68	43%	0.04	-36.8	1.32%	0	1.5	60	NAN
3	Jun_14_2010	26.53	25.87	25.71	25.78	25.82	26.01	26.08(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	60	19	10	2.03	41%	0	-46.8	1.31%	0	0.5	53	NAN
4	Jun_11_2010	26.53	25.89	25.7	25.62	25.64	25.87	26.01(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	70	20	-7	0.98	41%	0	-42.9	1.31%	0	0.3	48	NAN
5	Jun_10_2010	26.53	25.92	25.67	25.49	25.51	25.63	26.01(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	40	6	-29	0.88	41%	0	-43.5	1.31%	0	0.2	50	NAN

6	Jun_9_2010	26.53	25.96	25.64	25.56	25.46	25.4	25.28(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-30	-11	-45	1.22	36%	-0.04	-37.2	1.26%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
7	Jun_8_2010	26.54	26.02	25.67	25.68	25.64	25.39	25.52(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-70	-4	-46	1.26	36%	-0.04	-39.6	1.26%	0	-1	40	NAN
8	Jun_7_2010	26.55	26.07	25.7	25.64	25.71	25.51	25.3(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-50	-25	-73	1.24	36%	-0.04	-57.1	1.25%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
9	Jun_4_2010	26.56	26.08	25.78	25.77	25.76	25.51	25.36(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	40	-7	-62	1.79	36%	-0.04	-72.8	1.26%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
10	Jun_3_2010	26.57	26.12	25.85	25.86	25.84	25.9	26.34(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	10	22	-57	1.48	40%	0	-88.7	1.17%	0	0.5	44	NAN

11	Jun_2_2010	26.57	26.15	25.86	25.74	25.76	25.62	25.88(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-40	-4	-89	1.48	37%	0	-90.2	1.15%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
12	Jun_1_2010	26.57	26.22	25.91	25.67	25.81	25.78	25.3(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	10	-10	-105	1.42	36%	-0.04	-82	1.11%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
13	May_28_2010	26.58	26.34	26.04	25.77	25.73	25.9	25.95(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	40	1	-87	2.19	39%	0	-64	1.1%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
14	May_27_2010	26.58	26.43	26.1	25.8	25.72	25.84	25.82(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	20	10	-61	1.43	39%	0	-60.7	1.11%	0	-0.9	57	NAN
15	May_26_2010	26.58	26.52	26.18	25.83	25.73	25.56	25.75(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-60	-16	-58	2.13	39%	0	-60.4	1.11%	0	-1.1	49	NAN

16	May_25_2010	26.58	26.59	26.3	26	25.81	25.6	25.52(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-80	-36	-50	1.93	36%	0	-57.9	1.11%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
17	May_24_2010	26.58	26.67	26.41	26.2	26.12	25.91	25.8(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-70	-19	-37	1.33	36%	-0.04	-56.1	1.15%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
18	May_21_2010	26.59	26.77	26.47	26.35	26.3	26.02	26.11(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-80	-25	-48	2.19	36%	0	-49	1.13%	0	-1	33	NAN
19	May_20_2010	26.59	26.85	26.42	26.45	26.47	26.33	25.98(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-30	-22	-77	3.13	36%	0	-42.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
20	May_19_2010	26.59	26.94	26.44	26.58	26.58	26.58	26.61(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	0	-8	-88	3.19	43%	0	-39.1	1.11%	0	-0.5	39	NAN

21	May_18_2010	26.59	26.99	26.47	26.58	26.58	26.62	26.49(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10	2	-81	1.52	45%	0.04	-38.4	1.14%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
22	May_17_2010	26.58	27.04	26.55	26.65	26.65	26.57	26.58(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-20	0	-76	0.92	45%	0	-39.7	1.15%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
23	May_14_2010	26.58	27.09	26.66	26.6	26.6	26.67	26.6(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	20	12	-74	1.62	49%	0	-45.1	1.18%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
24	May_13_2010	26.58	27.13	26.77	26.39	26.53	26.74	26.63(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	70	25	-91	1.08	49%	0.04	-57.2	1.19%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
25	May_12_2010	26.57	27.19	26.86	26.26	26.25	26.52	26.93(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-22	70	9	-115	1.29	49%		-61.7	1.19%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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