Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $26.0700 (0.97%) ($25.7100 - $26.2800) on Fri. Dec. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $26.0700(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(40%)    XLP(25%)    VWO(18%)    EEM(16%)    EWG(16%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(4%)    TIP(4%)    USO(5%)    OIH(5%)    XOP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.87(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.4(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.89(4.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $8.932b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.1%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.02%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.87%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2009	23.84	24.89	25.4	25.87	25.85	25.89	26.07(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	10	14	180	2.33	48%	0.13	79.6	1.02%	0	1.8	92	NAN
2	Dec_17_2009	23.81	24.76	25.25	25.76	25.78	25.82	25.82(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	10	21	185	1.74	48%	0.13	78.3	1.02%	0	1.6	92	NAN
3	Dec_16_2009	23.78	24.67	25.12	25.55	25.64	25.81	25.83(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	65	60	31	167	1.45	48%	0.13	76.1	1.02%	0	1.8	73	NAN
4	Dec_15_2009	23.75	24.57	24.99	25.3	25.36	25.74	25.83(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	110	38	143	1.16	51%	0.13	74.6	1.03%	0	2.2	74	NAN
5	Dec_14_2009	23.72	24.47	24.84	25.09	25.08	25.46	25.8(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	100	46	119	1.34	52%	0.13	79.3	1.06%	0	2.6	75	NAN

6	Dec_11_2009	23.69	24.36	24.67	24.87	24.83	24.99	25.5(2.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	46	40	31	91	2.12	51%	0.08	86.4	1.06%	0	2.7	76	NAN
7	Dec_10_2009	23.67	24.26	24.51	24.69	24.7	24.71	24.79(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	0	7	70	2.33	47%	0.13	85.7	1.01%	0	1.4	74	NAN
8	Dec_9_2009	23.64	24.2	24.48	24.64	24.66	24.67	24.6(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	10	0	74	1.88	47%	0.08	93.8	1.01%	0	1	62	NAN
9	Dec_8_2009	23.62	24.15	24.46	24.63	24.65	24.69	24.74(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	10	87	0.99	47%	0.13	101.8	1.01%	0	1.5	64	NAN
10	Dec_7_2009	23.59	24.07	24.41	24.55	24.58	24.66	24.7(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	30	14	88	1.3	47%	0.08	101.1	1.01%	0	1.5	65	NAN

11	Dec_4_2009	23.57	24	24.33	24.43	24.49	24.62	24.6(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	40	20	81	2.1	47%	0.13	90.2	1.01%	0	1.4	67	NAN
12	Dec_3_2009	23.54	23.93	24.24	24.31	24.34	24.5	24.54(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	13	69	0.79	47%	0.09	82.6	1.01%	0	1.4	71	NAN
13	Dec_2_2009	23.52	23.84	24.18	24.3	24.34	24.35	24.57(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	30	11	75	1.51	47%	0.13	75.1	1.01%	0	1.5	65	NAN
14	Dec_1_2009	23.49	23.75	24.12	24.27	24.19	24.18	24.35(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10	9	80	1.35	47%	0.13	67.9	1.01%	0	1.2	64	NAN
15	Nov_30_2009	23.46	23.66	24.07	24.25	24.18	24.03	24.11(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-50	-6	88	1.79	47%	0.13	61.4	1.01%	0	0.8	66	NAN

16	Nov_27_2009	23.43	23.61	24.04	24.21	24.22	24.2	24(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-0	2	103	0.53	47%	0.17	59.2	1.01%	0	0.7	67	NAN
17	Nov_25_2009	23.39	23.57	23.98	24.14	24.16	24.32	24.49(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	18	109	1.3	50%	0.13	53.2	0.98%	0	1.7	75	NAN
18	Nov_24_2009	23.36	23.48	23.9	24.04	24	24.23	24.38(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	60	21	120	2.01	50%	0.09	46.2	0.97%	0	1.7	78	NAN
19	Nov_23_2009	23.34	23.41	23.81	23.96	23.93	24	24.25(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	20	20	131	1.33	50%	0	40.2	0.97%	0	1.7	78	NAN
20	Nov_20_2009	23.34	23.33	23.71	23.89	23.85	23.77	23.95(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	-30	-1	129	1.18	52%	0.09	29.1	1.01%	0	1.4	78	NAN

21	Nov_19_2009	23.32	23.29	23.63	23.84	23.86	23.86	23.63(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	35	0	3	130	1.64	49%	0.04	21.7	0.99%	0	0.8	60	NAN
22	Nov_18_2009	23.31	23.28	23.59	23.79	23.8	23.93	23.97(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	40	13	131	0.9	52%	0.04	17.8	0.98%	0	1.6	62	NAN
23	Nov_17_2009	23.3	23.25	23.47	23.73	23.68	23.85	23.98(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	40	19	124	1.31	52%	0.09	14.9	0.98%	0	1.9	67	NAN
24	Nov_16_2009	23.28	23.21	23.35	23.64	23.61	23.67	23.91(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	10	21	111	2.1	52%	0.09	9.5	0.98%	0	1.8	66	NAN
25	Nov_13_2009	23.26	23.2	23.21	23.52	23.52	23.51	23.71(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-0	11	84	1.98	52%		5.7	0.98%	0	1.4	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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