Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ES: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $27.2100 (-0.26%) ($26.8400 - $27.3200) on Mon. May. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $27.2100(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(50%)    XLP(33%)    VWO(32%)    EEM(31%)    SPY(30%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.36(-0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.19(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.81(1.49%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $9.323b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.97%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.31%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2008	27.16	26.81	27.19	27.36	27.29	27.18	27.21(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-40	-10	93	0.84	52%	-0.18	69.9	1.12%	0	0.7	72	NAN
2	May_9_2008	27.21	26.74	27.14	27.42	27.36	27.27	27.28(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-30	-15	110	0.43	52%	-0.18	73.3	1.12%	0	0.9	70	NAN
3	May_8_2008	27.26	26.67	27.08	27.51	27.47	27.4	27.38(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-20	-0	131	0.57	52%	-0.15	77.8	1.13%	0	1.2	61	NAN
4	May_7_2008	27.3	26.59	26.97	27.45	27.55	27.45	27.36(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10	15	123	0.59	52%	-0.15	80.6	1.14%	0	1.3	57	NAN
5	May_6_2008	27.34	26.51	26.87	27.24	27.36	27.54	27.55(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	60	18	101	0.79	52%	-0.15	75.3	1.13%	0	1.8	62	NAN

6	May_5_2008	27.38	26.42	26.71	27	27.09	27.65	27.53(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	51	150	41	82	1.06	47%	-0.18	74.5	1.14%	0	2	67	NAN
7	May_2_2008	27.43	26.33	26.56	26.81	26.79	27.19	27.74(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	50	100	46	63	1.48	51%	-0.15	81.4	1.23%	0	2.8	71	NAN
8	May_1_2008	27.47	26.21	26.43	26.6	26.55	26.53	27.05(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10	18	44	0.73	47%	-0.18	98.8	1.2%	0	2	67	NAN
9	Apr_30_2008	27.52	26.13	26.38	26.6	26.49	26.39	26.32(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-20	-7	35	0.73	44%	-0.22	101.2	1.17%	0	0.4	62	NAN
10	Apr_29_2008	27.58	26.07	26.4	26.44	26.47	26.57	26.35(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	30	6	53	0.71	41%	-0.22	105.6	1.2%	0	0.6	62	NAN

11	Apr_28_2008	27.64	26.02	26.38	26.36	26.41	26.59	26.61(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	50	20	58	0.6	41%	-0.22	96.7	1.21%	0	1.1	68	NAN
12	Apr_25_2008	27.7	25.92	26.32	26.26	26.22	26.38	26.67(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	40	9	47	0.63	39%	-0.25	79.7	1.22%	0	1.2	70	NAN
13	Apr_24_2008	27.77	25.8	26.24	26.23	26.17	26.23	26.27(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	10	-2	45	0.63	37%	-0.22	72.7	1.23%	0	0.7	66	NAN
14	Apr_23_2008	27.83	25.7	26.19	26.32	26.3	26.07	26.3(1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-60	-7	61	0.8	40%	-0.25	67.7	1.24%	0	0.8	72	NAN
15	Apr_22_2008	27.9	25.59	26.14	26.37	26.4	26.11	25.96(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-70	-20	71	0.56	34%	-0.21	60.6	1.26%	0	0.5	70	NAN

16	Apr_21_2008	27.96	25.5	26.12	26.4	26.5	26.52	26.09(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	20	-4	85	1.26	34%	-0.18	56.5	1.37%	0	0.7	75	NAN
17	Apr_18_2008	28.01	25.41	26.09	26.37	26.45	26.69	26.55(-0.64%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	44	70	21	112	1.03	35%	-0.21	51.8	1.37%	0	1.3	94	NAN
18	Apr_17_2008	28.07	25.3	25.99	26.23	26.23	26.47	26.72(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	60	25	126	0.72	33%	-0.18	46.1	1.37%	0	1.7	100	NAN
19	Apr_16_2008	28.12	25.18	25.85	26.04	26.01	26.22	26.53(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	50	21	126	1.02	33%	-0.18	42.3	1.38%	0	1.7	98	NAN
20	Apr_15_2008	28.17	25.1	25.71	25.88	25.85	25.98	26.11(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	30	13	129	1.36	30%	-0.21	43.1	1.38%	0	1.4	98	NAN

21	Apr_14_2008	28.23	25.03	25.62	25.81	25.75	25.8	25.94(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	10	7	141	0.65	30%	-0.21	44.4	1.38%	0	1.4	98	NAN
22	Apr_11_2008	28.29	24.97	25.48	25.76	25.69	25.72	25.85(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	0	4	143	0.71	30%	-0.07	46.4	1.38%	0	1.4	86	NAN
23	Apr_10_2008	28.31	24.92	25.32	25.71	25.67	25.7	25.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	0	8	140	0.95	30%	-0.25	46.9	1.38%	0	1.4	78	NAN
24	Apr_9_2008	28.38	24.86	25.17	25.62	25.63	25.65	25.76(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	9	129	1.01	30%	-0.25	40.2	1.38%	0	1.6	73	NAN
25	Apr_8_2008	28.45	24.8	25	25.51	25.52	25.64	25.75(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	30	10	106	0.93	30%		31.3	1.38%	0	1.8	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.