Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $31.3600 (-1.07%) ($31.1700 - $31.9000) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $31.3600(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(51%)    XLP(33%)    EEM(32%)    VWO(32%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $31.89
5 Day Moving Average   $31.61(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.91(-1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.89(-1.66%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $10.745b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2007	29.45	31.89	31.91	31.61	31.6	31.6	31.36(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-0	-3	-33	1.48	71%	0.14	-9.4	1.42%	0	-1.2	50	0
2	Dec_18_2007	29.41	31.96	32.05	31.7	31.67	31.52	31.7(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-40	-6	-16	1.2	71%	0.14	18.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	50	0
3	Dec_17_2007	29.37	32	32.11	31.72	31.79	31.6	31.27(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-40	-23	-11	0.88	71%	0.17	36.1	1.45%	0	-1.6	52	0
4	Dec_14_2007	29.32	32.05	32.11	31.97	32	31.82	31.71(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-40	-15	16	0.6	71%	0.14	66.4	1.44%	0	-0.8	57	0
5	Dec_13_2007	29.28	32.01	32.18	32.1	32.21	31.98	32(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-40	-17	23	1.24	71%	0.14	62.3	1.43%	0	-0	54	0

6	Dec_12_2007	29.24	31.93	32.18	32.26	32.39	32.17	31.8(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-40	-21	29	1.32	71%	0.14	55.3	1.43%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Dec_11_2007	29.2	31.88	32.15	32.46	32.56	32.43	31.83(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-20	-13	36	0.87	71%	0.14	49.1	1.43%	0	-0.1	38	0
8	Dec_10_2007	29.16	31.83	32.12	32.54	32.69	32.61	32.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-0	6	39	0.91	76%	0.1	44.8	1.41%	0	0.9	50	0
9	Dec_7_2007	29.13	31.76	32.01	32.42	32.53	32.69	32.38(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	40	9	22	1.44	76%	0.14	42.9	1.41%	0	0.8	52	0
10	Dec_6_2007	29.09	31.7	31.95	32.26	32.33	32.76	32.78(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	100	30	30	0.67	76%	0.14	41.3	1.41%	0	1.5	68	0

11	Dec_5_2007	29.05	31.59	31.87	32.02	32.05	32.37	32.83(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	70	31	34	1.67	76%	0.14	32.4	1.42%	0	1.7	72	0
12	Dec_4_2007	29.01	31.54	31.84	31.81	31.78	31.91	32.22(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	16	41	0.64	74%	0.14	36.4	1.42%	0	1	67	0
13	Dec_3_2007	28.97	31.5	31.85	31.65	31.66	31.74	31.9(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	20	9	47	0.97	74%	0.07	40.9	1.42%	0	0.6	62	0
14	Nov_30_2007	28.95	31.44	31.88	31.55	31.58	31.65	31.58(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	1	51	1.23	74%	0.1	45.7	1.42%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Nov_29_2007	28.92	31.4	31.82	31.59	31.56	31.59	31.57(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	0	-2	49	1.71	74%	0.1	57.1	1.43%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Nov_28_2007	28.89	31.36	31.71	31.68	31.64	31.5	31.8(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-30	-14	48	0.96	68%	0.14	76.4	1.43%	0	0.6	60	0
17	Nov_27_2007	28.85	31.3	31.59	31.89	31.84	31.52	31.39(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-80	-23	42	1.65	64%	0.1	100.9	1.47%	0	0.1	46	0
18	Nov_26_2007	28.82	31.24	31.53	32.09	32.12	31.77	31.41(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-70	-23	47	1.46	64%	0.1	117.3	1.5%	0	0.2	49	0
19	Nov_23_2007	28.79	31.14	31.5	32.24	32.29	32.16	31.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-20	-1	72	0.52	64%	0.1	114.1	1.5%	0	0.8	59	0
20	Nov_21_2007	28.76	31.01	31.44	32.05	32.18	32.48	32.02(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	80	26	77	1.53	64%	0.1	90.1	1.5%	0	0.9	60	0

21	Nov_20_2007	28.73	30.84	31.31	31.71	31.72	32.41	32.83(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	150	49	63	1.7	69%	0.14	74.2	1.46%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Nov_19_2007	28.69	30.61	31.2	31.24	31.2	31.89	32.4(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	150	52	48	2.03	69%	0.14	60.5	1.46%	0	1.5	64	0
23	Nov_16_2007	28.65	30.4	31.1	30.91	30.82	31.03	32.17(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	40	30	31	2.05	71%	0.14	50.1	1.5%	0	1.5	65	0
24	Nov_15_2007	28.61	30.19	30.94	30.68	30.66	30.52	30.83(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-9	19	1	68%	0.1	41.9	1.41%	0	0.5	66	0
25	Nov_14_2007	28.58	30.08	30.92	30.76	30.79	30.6	30.31(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-13	43	1.24	60%		40.6	1.41%	0	0.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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