Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $31.6100 (3.13%) ($30.4800 - $31.9800) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $31.6100(3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(51%)    XLP(33%)    EEM(32%)    VWO(32%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.85(2.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.99(5.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.36(7.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $10.83b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(82%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2007	28.38	29.36	29.99	30.85	30.79	30.96	31.61(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	67	30	27	185	1.3	69%	0.11	55.2	1.56%	0	2.2	80	0
2	Nov_2_2007	28.35	29.21	29.64	30.56	30.57	30.62	30.65(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	10	17	158	0.94	62%	0.07	55.8	1.55%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Nov_1_2007	28.33	29.13	29.38	30.26	30.36	30.61	30.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	70	23	127	0.79	64%	0.07	53.1	1.55%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Oct_31_2007	28.31	29.04	29.15	29.95	30.01	30.52	30.83(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	120	41	103	0.88	64%	0.11	47.4	1.58%	0	2.5	67	0
5	Oct_30_2007	28.28	28.91	28.9	29.49	29.56	30.11	30.5(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	140	51	68	1.26	66%	0.07	37.5	1.58%	0	2.7	66	0

6	Oct_29_2007	28.26	28.81	28.69	29	29.03	29.5	30.17(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	36	120	41	19	1.58	66%	0.07	26.5	1.6%	0	2.8	56	0
7	Oct_26_2007	28.24	28.74	28.53	28.6	28.62	29.01	29.17(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	19	100	31	-19	0.6	59%	0	19.7	1.55%	0	1.1	52	0
8	Oct_25_2007	28.24	28.71	28.51	28.36	28.34	28.55	29.08(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	3	50	18	-42	0.55	59%	0	12.4	1.6%	0	1	47	0
9	Oct_24_2007	28.24	28.7	28.5	28.36	28.19	28.23	28.51(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	0	2	-56	0.74	53%	-0.07	18.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	43	0
10	Oct_23_2007	28.26	28.69	28.55	28.24	28.25	28.13	28.09(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-30	-7	-54	0.47	53%	-0.07	20	1.62%	0	-1.4	46	0

11	Oct_22_2007	28.28	28.68	28.67	28.33	28.35	28.16	28.13(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-40	-14	-41	0.69	53%	-0.11	30.6	1.63%	0	-1.2	46	0
12	Oct_19_2007	28.31	28.67	28.76	28.44	28.48	28.38	27.98(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-20	-17	-36	0.64	53%	-0.07	42.1	1.63%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Oct_18_2007	28.33	28.66	28.88	28.67	28.61	28.55	28.5(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-20	-9	-10	0.5	55%	-0.11	58.4	1.61%	0	-0.3	51	0
14	Oct_17_2007	28.36	28.63	28.94	28.8	28.75	28.58	28.49(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-50	-10	-0	0.66	54%	-0.07	68.6	1.61%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Oct_16_2007	28.38	28.61	28.95	28.91	28.9	28.67	28.57(-0.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-11	-60	-17	7	0.54	54%	0	70	1.62%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Oct_15_2007	28.38	28.54	28.96	29.07	29.05	28.92	28.67(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-30	-10	32	0.59	54%	-0.07	69	1.62%	0	0.2	64	0
17	Oct_12_2007	28.4	28.46	28.99	29.12	29.15	29.13	29.14(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-0	-3	54	0.66	56%	-0.04	67.3	1.62%	0	0.9	68	0
18	Oct_11_2007	28.41	28.37	28.94	29.13	29.22	29.13	29.14(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-0	1	67	0.77	56%	-0.07	67.5	1.65%	0	1	68	0
19	Oct_10_2007	28.43	28.27	28.91	29.09	29.27	29.18	29.02(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	3	80	0.81	55%	-0.14	64.7	1.65%	0	1	68	0
20	Oct_9_2007	28.47	28.18	28.84	28.99	29.17	29.27	29.36(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	40	7	81	0.47	55%	-0.11	58.2	1.65%	0	1.5	67	0

21	Oct_8_2007	28.5	28.07	28.68	28.83	29	29.36	28.96(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	100	11	80	0.33	55%	-0.11	48.7	1.64%	0	1.2	72	0
22	Oct_5_2007	28.53	27.97	28.56	28.84	28.85	29.08	29.15(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	60	20	95	0.5	53%	-0.14	45.7	1.64%	0	1.6	76	0
23	Oct_4_2007	28.57	27.87	28.42	28.72	28.73	28.65	28.97(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-20	2	88	0.38	53%	-0.14	40.7	1.65%	0	1.6	71	0
24	Oct_3_2007	28.61	27.79	28.29	28.7	28.71	28.63	28.52(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-5	93	0.52	53%	-0.14	39.6	1.65%	0	1.1	69	0
25	Oct_2_2007	28.65	27.74	28.23	28.67	28.76	28.81	28.56(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	20	11	106	0.58	55%		37.9	1.65%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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