Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $54.1527 (9.15%) ($48.8755 - $54.1527) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $54.1527(9.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 7.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 18.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(25%)    DIA(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-79%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.51(11.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.58(24.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.97(35.48%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   55.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 13.84% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.08%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2018	49.24	39.97	43.58	48.51	48.75	49.72	54.15(9.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	137	150	76	320	0.41	54%	-0.08	50.5	3.76%	0	2.6	78	-2.5
2	Feb_7_2018	49.28	39.15	41.72	45.31	46.25	48.33	49.62(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	380	53	247	0.36	51%	-0.2	40.3	3.58%	0	2.4	75	-1.8
3	Feb_6_2018	49.38	38.57	40.25	43.26	44.01	47.77	47.25(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	124	650	93	216	0.65	46%	-0.26	28.3	3.53%	0	2.4	74	-2
4	Feb_5_2018	49.51	38.09	38.98	41.69	41.64	44.16	48.53(12.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	119	420	102	171	0.87	46%	-0.24	11.2	3.62%	0	3.4	73	-2.9
5	Feb_2_2018	49.63	37.58	37.53	39.43	39.65	40.24	43.01(12.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	66	120	54	100	0.48	39%	-0.38	-24.3	3.22%	0	2.7	69	-2.2

6	Feb_1_2018	49.82	37.36	36.89	37.94	38.37	39.13	38.17(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	170	18	52	0.19	30%	-0.48	-66.7	2.76%	0	0.5	55	-0.5
7	Jan_31_2018	50.06	37.44	36.76	37.53	37.6	39.06	39.36(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	280	53	41	0.44	31%	-0.52	-77.6	2.77%	0	1.1	48	-1.6
8	Jan_30_2018	50.32	37.55	36.42	36.71	36.62	37.61	39.41(5.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	40	180	54	-1	0.32	31%	-0.53	-85.4	2.77%	0	0.9	49	-1.9
9	Jan_29_2018	50.59	37.75	36.15	35.83	35.71	36.15	37.19(4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	80	25	-54	0.17	26%	-0.61	-98.7	2.64%	0	-0.3	43	-2.1
10	Jan_26_2018	50.9	38.07	36.01	35.35	35.3	35.62	35.56(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	60	-1	-105	0.09	22%	-0.61	-90.7	2.56%	0	-1	34	136.8

11	Jan_25_2018	51.21	38.48	36.14	35.69	35.36	35.26	36.15(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-50	-5	-111	0.2	24%	-0.6	-88.4	2.55%	0	-0.8	36	137.4
12	Jan_24_2018	51.52	38.85	36.43	35.87	35.88	34.99	35.26(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-170	-19	-117	0.26	24%	-0.67	-89.7	2.55%	0	-1.2	29	-1.4
13	Jan_23_2018	51.87	39.32	36.81	36.07	36.32	35.46	34.97(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-140	-40	-136	0.15	24%	-0.33	-95.8	2.54%	0	-1.4	23	0.1
14	Jan_22_2018	52.04	39.82	37.2	36.51	36.73	36.76	34.82(-6.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	20	-14	-141	0.32	24%	-0.71	-104.5	2.55%	0	-1.7	19	0.9
15	Jan_19_2018	52.41	40.48	37.68	36.71	36.84	37.18	37.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	80	15	-152	0.18	26%	-0.7	-107	2.45%	0	-1.1	24	1

16	Jan_18_2018	52.78	41.1	37.9	36.64	36.55	36.7	37.09(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	20	-9	-190	0.15	28%	-0.7	-104.8	2.45%	0	-1.3	23	-INF
17	Jan_17_2018	53.15	41.75	38.2	37.1	36.83	36.5	36.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-80	-18	-199	0.18	28%	-0.73	-92.1	2.45%	0	-1.6	21	INF
18	Jan_16_2018	53.54	42.5	38.78	37.69	37.46	36.4	37.14(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-220	-31	-202	0.3	28%	-1.05	-80	2.44%	0	-1.4	20	INF
19	Jan_12_2018	54.11	43.21	39.47	38.04	38.11	37.16	35.86(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-93	-170	-54	-211	0.29	25%	-0.7	-68.4	2.36%	0	-1.6	12	INF
20	Jan_11_2018	54.49	43.98	40.29	38.77	38.84	38.51	36.89(-6.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-72	-50	-29	-199	0.39	26%	-0.69	-66.7	2.36%	0	-1.5	10	INF

21	Jan_10_2018	54.87	44.68	41.03	39.3	39.3	39.06	39.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-62	-40	-10	-217	0.14	28%	-0.65	-66	2.24%	0	-1.2	10	INF
22	Jan_9_2018	55.23	45.23	41.46	39.48	39.54	39.16	39.21(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-60	-28	-254	0.13	28%	-0.68	-65.7	2.24%	0	-1.3	9	INF
23	Jan_8_2018	55.61	45.85	42.01	40.07	40.03	39.55	38.86(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-104	-90	-45	-279	0.16	28%	-0.66	-63.9	2.23%	0	-1.6	6	INF
24	Jan_5_2018	55.98	46.56	42.65	41.17	40.96	39.91	39.55(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-190	-46	-276	0.19	31%	-0.66	-59.7	2.26%	0	-1.6	7	INF
25	Jan_4_2018	56.35	47.26	43.5	42.06	42.02	40.52	39.5(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-118	-250	-66	-272	0.16	31%		-57.6	2.26%	0	-1.9	11	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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