Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $48.5303 (12.84%) ($43.1051 - $50.3551) on Mon. Feb. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $48.5303(12.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 5.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 7.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(25%)    DIA(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-79%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.69(16.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.98(24.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.09(27.41%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   39.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 8.14% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.8%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -11.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.66%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2018	49.51	38.09	38.98	41.69	41.64	44.16	48.53(12.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	119	420	102	171	0.87	46%	-0.24	11.2	3.62%	0	3.4	73	-2.9
2	Feb_2_2018	49.63	37.58	37.53	39.43	39.65	40.24	43.01(12.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	66	120	54	100	0.48	39%	-0.38	-24.3	3.22%	0	2.7	69	-2.2
3	Feb_1_2018	49.82	37.36	36.89	37.94	38.37	39.13	38.17(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	170	18	52	0.19	30%	-0.48	-66.7	2.76%	0	0.5	55	-0.5
4	Jan_31_2018	50.06	37.44	36.76	37.53	37.6	39.06	39.36(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	280	53	41	0.44	31%	-0.52	-77.6	2.77%	0	1.1	48	-1.6
5	Jan_30_2018	50.32	37.55	36.42	36.71	36.62	37.61	39.41(5.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	40	180	54	-1	0.32	31%	-0.53	-85.4	2.77%	0	0.9	49	-1.9

6	Jan_29_2018	50.59	37.75	36.15	35.83	35.71	36.15	37.19(4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	80	25	-54	0.17	26%	-0.61	-98.7	2.64%	0	-0.3	43	-2.1
7	Jan_26_2018	50.9	38.07	36.01	35.35	35.3	35.62	35.56(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	60	-1	-105	0.09	22%	-0.61	-90.7	2.56%	0	-1	34	136.8
8	Jan_25_2018	51.21	38.48	36.14	35.69	35.36	35.26	36.15(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-50	-5	-111	0.2	24%	-0.6	-88.4	2.55%	0	-0.8	36	137.4
9	Jan_24_2018	51.52	38.85	36.43	35.87	35.88	34.99	35.26(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-170	-19	-117	0.26	24%	-0.67	-89.7	2.55%	0	-1.2	29	-1.4
10	Jan_23_2018	51.87	39.32	36.81	36.07	36.32	35.46	34.97(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-140	-40	-136	0.15	24%	-0.33	-95.8	2.54%	0	-1.4	23	0.1

11	Jan_22_2018	52.04	39.82	37.2	36.51	36.73	36.76	34.82(-6.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	20	-14	-141	0.32	24%	-0.71	-104.5	2.55%	0	-1.7	19	0.9
12	Jan_19_2018	52.41	40.48	37.68	36.71	36.84	37.18	37.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	80	15	-152	0.18	26%	-0.7	-107	2.45%	0	-1.1	24	1
13	Jan_18_2018	52.78	41.1	37.9	36.64	36.55	36.7	37.09(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	20	-9	-190	0.15	28%	-0.7	-104.8	2.45%	0	-1.3	23	0
14	Jan_17_2018	53.15	41.75	38.2	37.1	36.83	36.5	36.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-80	-18	-199	0.18	28%	-0.73	-92.1	2.45%	0	-1.6	21	0
15	Jan_16_2018	53.54	42.5	38.78	37.69	37.46	36.4	37.14(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-220	-31	-202	0.3	28%	-1.05	-80	2.44%	0	-1.4	20	0

16	Jan_12_2018	54.11	43.21	39.47	38.04	38.11	37.16	35.86(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-93	-170	-54	-211	0.29	25%	-0.7	-68.4	2.36%	0	-1.6	12	0
17	Jan_11_2018	54.49	43.98	40.29	38.77	38.84	38.51	36.89(-6.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-72	-50	-29	-199	0.39	26%	-0.69	-66.7	2.36%	0	-1.5	10	0
18	Jan_10_2018	54.87	44.68	41.03	39.3	39.3	39.06	39.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-62	-40	-10	-217	0.14	28%	-0.65	-66	2.24%	0	-1.2	10	0
19	Jan_9_2018	55.23	45.23	41.46	39.48	39.54	39.16	39.21(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-60	-28	-254	0.13	28%	-0.68	-65.7	2.24%	0	-1.3	9	0
20	Jan_8_2018	55.61	45.85	42.01	40.07	40.03	39.55	38.86(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-104	-90	-45	-279	0.16	28%	-0.66	-63.9	2.23%	0	-1.6	6	0

21	Jan_5_2018	55.98	46.56	42.65	41.17	40.96	39.91	39.55(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-190	-46	-276	0.19	31%	-0.66	-59.7	2.26%	0	-1.6	7	0
22	Jan_4_2018	56.35	47.26	43.5	42.06	42.02	40.52	39.5(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-118	-250	-66	-272	0.16	31%	-0.6	-57.6	2.26%	0	-1.9	11	0
23	Jan_3_2018	56.69	47.88	44.57	43	43.04	42.01	40.24(-4.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-104	-160	-57	-244	0.26	31%	-0.56	-59.2	2.26%	0	-1.9	13	0
24	Jan_2_2018	57.01	48.43	45.59	43.69	43.79	43.51	42.17(-4.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-40	-27	-217	0.2	33%	-0.7	-68.2	2.2%	0	-1.7	18	0
25	Dec_29_2017	57.41	48.88	46.53	44.22	44.05	44.07	44.36(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	-10	-6	-200	0.11	36%		-77.8	2.12%	0	-1.4	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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