Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $58.1475 (7.67%) ($53.6595 - $58.2462) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $58.1475(7.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(23%)    IGOV(5%)    SHY(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.06(7.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.92(7.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.94(9.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 3.6%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.06%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 4.77%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	52.85	52.94	53.92	54.06	53.69	54.6	58.15(7.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	60	100	61	56	0.27	77%	-0.09	27.6	2.68%	0	2.7	68	0
2	Mar_7_2017	52.9	52.68	53.5	52.65	52.68	53	54(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	40	6	20	0.17	73%	-0.19	16.1	2.52%	0	0.8	63	0
3	Mar_6_2017	53	52.57	53.32	52.74	52.39	52.78	52.48(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	30	0	28	0.14	71%	-0.21	18.6	2.51%	0	-0.1	58	0
4	Mar_3_2017	53.11	52.47	53.41	53.01	52.74	52.35	53.02(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-70	-5	46	0.17	71%	-0.17	26	2.51%	0	0.3	59	0
5	Mar_2_2017	53.2	52.47	53.37	53.48	53.19	51.99	52.67(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-170	-36	50	0.23	71%	-0.17	46.6	2.53%	0	0.2	54	0

6	Mar_1_2017	53.29	52.4	53.18	53.73	53.99	53.14	51.09(-6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-19	-100	-40	44	0.39	69%	-0.17	66.2	2.51%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Feb_28_2017	53.38	52.43	53.1	54.42	54.38	54.39	54.45(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-0	0	51	0.19	60%	-0.07	89.9	3.07%	0	1.3	51	0
8	Feb_27_2017	53.42	52.28	52.7	53.95	54.21	54.83	53.81(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	90	15	43	0.27	60%	-0.13	90.2	3.12%	0	1	57	0
9	Feb_24_2017	53.49	52.05	52.37	53.85	53.57	54.36	55.39(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	90	24	46	0.18	60%	-0.09	85	3.1%	0	2	65	0
10	Feb_23_2017	53.54	51.65	51.96	53.26	53.07	53.59	53.91(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	60	27	35	0.22	60%	-0.13	67.6	3.11%	0	1.3	56	0

11	Feb_22_2017	53.61	51.34	51.87	52.55	52.54	52.78	54.55(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	30	24	22	0.15	60%	-0.15	51.6	3.11%	0	1.7	54	0
12	Feb_21_2017	53.69	51.03	51.75	51.6	51.67	52.56	52.08(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	120	13	6	0.18	50%	-0.32	39.5	3.05%	0	0.6	52	0
13	Feb_17_2017	53.86	50.92	51.7	51.24	51.26	52.3	53.31(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	140	38	9	0.2	50%	-0.2	37.2	3.14%	0	1.3	56	0
14	Feb_16_2017	53.97	50.67	51.4	50.67	50.59	50.77	52.43(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	20	13	-9	0.21	50%	-0.2	30.3	3.14%	0	1	62	0
15	Feb_15_2017	54.08	50.5	51.31	50.5	50.36	50.23	50.4(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-30	-15	-10	0.13	40%	-0.42	30.7	3.11%	0	-0.1	63	0

16	Feb_14_2017	54.31	50.4	51.53	51.1	50.81	50.41	49.76(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-70	-20	18	0.16	40%	-0.42	36	3.27%	0	-0.3	61	0
17	Feb_13_2017	54.54	50.32	51.73	51.92	51.84	50.5	50.31(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-190	-20	46	0.15	40%	-0.37	47.7	3.27%	0	-0	59	0
18	Feb_10_2017	54.74	50.24	51.88	52.2	52.48	51.22	50.45(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-150	-30	53	0.21	44%	-0.33	57.9	3.35%	0	0.1	53	0
19	Feb_9_2017	54.92	50.14	51.77	52.17	52.63	53.19	51.59(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	100	-6	65	0.23	41%	-0.31	62.7	3.34%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Feb_8_2017	55.09	49.95	51.4	52.19	52.33	53.74	53.41(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	200	31	77	0.39	44%	-0.36	67.2	3.37%	0	1.7	64	0

21	Feb_7_2017	55.29	49.72	50.83	52.04	51.82	52.07	53.86(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	20	25	72	0.2	40%	-0.32	81.8	3.37%	0	2.2	67	0
22	Feb_6_2017	55.47	49.41	50.26	51.58	51.5	50.91	51.69(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-80	-11	50	0.14	36%	-0.36	89	3.41%	0	1.4	64	0
23	Feb_3_2017	55.67	49.13	50.07	51.55	51.7	51.56	50.31(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10	-4	59	0.22	36%	-0.36	83.7	3.4%	0	0.7	57	0
24	Feb_2_2017	55.87	48.92	49.89	51.28	51.69	52.08	51.69(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	80	22	66	0.17	39%	-0.39	74.6	3.39%	0	1.5	63	0
25	Feb_1_2017	56.09	48.62	49.61	50.43	50.78	51.84	52.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	30	57	0.25	39%		63.6	3.42%	0	2.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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