Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $45.9657 (0.87%) ($44.6340 - $46.2123) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.81% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $45.9657(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(22%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.905% (StdDev 3.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $48.66
5 Day Moving Average   $45.68(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.56(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.66(-5.54%)
To recent high   -37%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 8.78% (three month std-dev: 3.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.67%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 18.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.8%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	62.37	48.66	45.56	45.68	45.53	45.39	45.97(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-30	9	-45	0.19	20%	-0.59	-63.2	3.81%	0	-0.6	33	INF
2	Dec_19_2016	62.74	49.06	45.73	45.18	45.45	45.21	45.57(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-20	-2	-89	0.17	20%	-0.48	-72.2	3.82%	0	-0.8	18	INF
3	Dec_16_2016	63.04	49.68	45.93	45.07	45.07	45.67	44.93(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-29	90	0	-117	0.22	20%	-0.54	-72.3	3.81%	0	-1	24	INF
4	Dec_15_2016	63.38	50.37	46.32	45.24	44.77	45.69	45.67(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	110	16	-123	0.41	20%	-0.5	-69	3.83%	0	-0.9	32	INF
5	Dec_14_2016	63.7	50.98	46.67	45.33	44.67	44.46	46.26(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-80	4	-138	0.61	20%	-0.47	-69.7	3.85%	0	-0.9	36	INF

6	Dec_13_2016	64	51.51	47	45.46	45.04	43.85	43.45(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-210	-31	-166	0.63	22%	-0.53	-74.9	3.78%	0	-1.6	26	INF
7	Dec_12_2016	64.34	52.43	48.47	46.37	46	44.87	45.03(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-200	-32	-135	0.48	22%	-0.43	-71.9	3.93%	0	-1.4	28	INF
8	Dec_9_2016	64.62	53.33	49.6	46.91	47.12	46.22	45.77(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-120	-22	-127	0.26	28%	-0.43	-71.9	3.94%	0	-1.4	24	INF
9	Dec_8_2016	64.9	54.05	50.48	47.56	47.57	47.12	46.16(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-70	-22	-124	0.41	27%	-0.38	-77.6	4.09%	0	-1.5	24	INF
10	Dec_7_2016	65.15	54.79	51.25	48.2	48.23	47.12	46.9(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-30	-7	-118	0.46	27%	-0.38	-84.5	4.14%	0	-1.6	28	INF

11	Dec_6_2016	65.4	55.63	52.03	48.79	48.38	48.02	47.99(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-80	-30	-126	0.39	25%	-0.34	-84.7	4.13%	0	-1.5	33	INF
12	Dec_5_2016	65.62	56.43	52.69	50.95	49.01	48.44	47.74(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-200	-41	-118	0.43	25%	-0.33	-77.5	4.17%	0	-1.8	27	INF
13	Dec_2_2016	65.84	57.46	53.76	52.75	51.91	48.75	49.02(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-470	-30	-100	0.41	25%	-0.32	-63.5	4.19%	0	-1.7	27	INF
14	Dec_1_2016	66.05	58.37	54.78	53.84	53.43	49.58	49.37(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-90	-530	-84	-109	0.78	25%	-0.33	-55.6	4.2%	0	-1.8	35	INF
15	Nov_30_2016	66.27	59.33	55.7	54.7	54.99	55.07	49.81(-15.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	30	-40	-85	1.12	28%	-0.3	-48	4.22%	0	-1.9	35	INF

16	Nov_29_2016	66.47	60.15	56.46	55.61	55.85	57.29	58.79(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	190	49	-61	0.41	32%	-0.24	-44.6	3.78%	0	-0.3	40	INF
17	Nov_28_2016	66.63	60.5	56.7	54.71	54.71	54.91	56.77(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	30	4	-98	0.3	32%	-0.27	-45.5	3.76%	0	-0.8	36	INF
18	Nov_25_2016	66.81	60.87	57.28	55.04	54.62	54.42	54.45(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-50	-18	-116	0.15	29%	-0.49	-42.6	3.72%	0	-1.4	25	INF
19	Nov_23_2016	67.14	61.34	57.83	55.99	55.63	54.5	53.66(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-160	-20	-123	0.43	29%	-0.36	-37.8	3.69%	0	-1.7	26	INF
20	Nov_22_2016	67.38	61.83	58.55	56.88	56.48	54.82	54.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-230	-37	-135	0.43	29%	-0.19	-33.4	3.69%	0	-1.8	25	INF

21	Nov_21_2016	67.51	62.31	59.49	57.38	57.21	56.75	54.3(-7.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-70	-40	-135	0.4	29%	-0.27	-33.2	3.71%	0	-2.2	32	INF
22	Nov_18_2016	67.69	62.76	60.48	58.92	58.13	58.14	58.39(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-40	-12	-111	0.24	30%	-0.24	-27.6	3.62%	0	-1.4	36	INF
23	Nov_17_2016	67.85	62.96	61.43	59.86	59.3	57.67	59.18(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-220	-17	-90	0.37	30%	-0.24	-21.9	3.69%	0	-1.2	43	INF
24	Nov_16_2016	68.01	63.05	62.22	60.01	60.43	58.12	58.15(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-250	-48	-92	0.43	30%	-0.32	-23.2	3.69%	0	-1.6	43	INF
25	Nov_15_2016	68.23	63.21	63.23	60.5	61.1	60.93	56.87(-8.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-51	10	-44	-73	0.5	30%		-21.3	3.67%	0	-2.2	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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