Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $61.8465 (1.62%) ($60.8848 - $64.1645) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $61.8465(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(21%)    IPO(9%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.84(-24.26%)
Resistance Level   $64.72
5 Day Moving Average   $60.34(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.69(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.72(-4.44%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 7.63% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 7.7%(30%) Average negative next day return: -2.97%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 16.57%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.34%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 16.2%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.98%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2016	71.96	64.72	60.69	60.34	60.32	61.64	61.85(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	150	25	-83	0.41	39%	-0.26	-41.2	3.76%	0	-0.6	34	0
2	Oct_12_2016	72.15	65.11	60.83	59.96	59.83	60.3	60.86(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	50	21	-99	0.32	36%	-0.33	-35	3.76%	0	-0.8	39	0
3	Oct_11_2016	72.39	65.66	61.06	59.82	59.57	59	60.12(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-80	-11	-122	0.36	36%	-0.37	-29.8	3.86%	0	-1.1	37	0
4	Oct_10_2016	72.66	66.16	62.22	60.39	59.8	59.35	58.05(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-80	-23	-122	0.26	36%	-0.38	-24.4	3.83%	0	-1.7	27	0
5	Oct_7_2016	72.94	66.52	63.52	61.03	60.7	60.14	60.81(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-80	-4	-107	0.34	37%	-0.37	-27.2	3.82%	0	-1.3	33	0

6	Oct_6_2016	73.21	66.82	64.44	61.08	60.95	60.25	59.97(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-90	-23	-116	0.32	37%	-0.37	-31.8	3.84%	0	-1.5	32	0
7	Oct_5_2016	73.48	66.94	65.24	61.82	61.38	61.26	60.17(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-40	-17	-109	0.44	41%	-0.35	-38.6	3.84%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Oct_4_2016	73.74	67.21	66.06	62.47	62.16	61.66	62.93(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-70	-25	-112	0.37	43%	-0.31	-40.3	3.89%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Oct_3_2016	73.97	67.37	67.03	64.42	63.62	61.49	61.25(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-270	-54	-96	0.36	43%	-0.4	-28.9	3.9%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	Sep_30_2016	74.27	67.78	68.09	66.46	66.63	62.66	61.06(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-69	-410	-70	-65	0.64	43%	-0.36	-15.4	3.91%	0	-1.8	50	0

11	Sep_29_2016	74.54	68.29	69.16	68.32	68.8	65.75	63.67(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-290	-79	-36	0.63	42%	-0.32	2.5	3.89%	0	-1.3	50	0
12	Sep_28_2016	74.78	68.64	69.82	69.11	70.22	70.59	63.42(-12.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-11	90	-20	15	0.97	39%	-0.35	14.1	3.95%	0	-1.5	58	0
13	Sep_27_2016	75.04	68.88	70.75	70.01	69.89	71.85	72.7(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	190	34	67	0.42	49%	-0.28	25.2	3.76%	0	1.2	63	0
14	Sep_26_2016	75.25	68.56	70.44	70.01	68.95	69.85	71.46(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	40	21	70	0.33	49%	-0.25	26.1	3.91%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Sep_23_2016	75.44	68.37	69.76	70.07	69.35	67.94	70.33(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-170	-4	50	0.57	51%	-0.25	31.6	4.12%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Sep_22_2016	75.63	68.2	69.36	70.25	69.6	68.05	67.62(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-180	-45	27	0.3	51%	-0.33	39.3	4.14%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Sep_21_2016	75.88	68.17	68.79	70.65	70.89	70.77	67.96(-6.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-0	-12	28	0.47	51%	-0.26	41.9	4.14%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Sep_20_2016	76.08	68.09	68.48	71.5	71.07	71.14	72.99(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10	8	42	0.45	54%	-0.12	46.4	4.07%	0	1.6	58	0
19	Sep_19_2016	76.17	67.77	67.71	70.84	70.75	71.02	71.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	15	35	0.29	54%	-0.13	41	4.08%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Sep_16_2016	76.27	67.44	67.39	69.38	70.21	71	71.22(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	110	25	23	0.46	54%	-0.13	18.2	4.09%	0	1.4	55	0

21	Sep_15_2016	76.37	67.06	67.27	68.35	68.72	70.47	69.64(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	190	37	23	0.54	54%	-0.1	-5.3	4.09%	0	1	54	0
22	Sep_14_2016	76.45	66.95	67.28	66.6	67.19	69.43	72.2(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	48	260	58	17	0.66	54%	-0.14	-35.6	4.07%	0	2	59	0
23	Sep_13_2016	76.56	66.71	66.74	65.03	65.06	66.97	69.69(8.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	27	210	38	-8	0.66	54%	-0.22	-65.8	4.04%	0	1.3	57	0
24	Sep_12_2016	76.73	66.64	66.4	64.2	64.21	64.95	64.16(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	80	13	-31	0.48	50%	-0.26	-82.6	3.89%	0	-1.1	46	0
25	Sep_9_2016	76.93	66.95	66.79	65.15	64.49	63.15	66.04(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-180	-21	-27	0.6	53%		-77.5	3.97%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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