Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $72.9927 (2.14%) ($70.2308 - $73.0420) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.07% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $72.9927(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(21%)    IBUY(12%)    BOTZ(9%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.035% (StdDev 4.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.5(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.48(6.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.09(7.2%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 4.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.44%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.63%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	76.08	68.09	68.48	71.5	71.07	71.14	72.99(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10	8	42	0.45	54%	-0.12	46.4	4.07%	0	1.6	58	0
2	Sep_19_2016	76.17	67.77	67.71	70.84	70.75	71.02	71.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	15	35	0.29	54%	-0.13	41	4.08%	0	1.3	58	0
3	Sep_16_2016	76.27	67.44	67.39	69.38	70.21	71	71.22(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	110	25	23	0.46	54%	-0.13	18.2	4.09%	0	1.4	55	0
4	Sep_15_2016	76.37	67.06	67.27	68.35	68.72	70.47	69.64(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	190	37	23	0.54	54%	-0.1	-5.3	4.09%	0	1	54	0
5	Sep_14_2016	76.45	66.95	67.28	66.6	67.19	69.43	72.2(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	48	260	58	17	0.66	54%	-0.14	-35.6	4.07%	0	2	59	0

6	Sep_13_2016	76.56	66.71	66.74	65.03	65.06	66.97	69.69(8.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	27	210	38	-8	0.66	54%	-0.22	-65.8	4.04%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Sep_12_2016	76.73	66.64	66.4	64.2	64.21	64.95	64.16(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	80	13	-31	0.48	50%	-0.26	-82.6	3.89%	0	-1.1	46	0
8	Sep_9_2016	76.93	66.95	66.79	65.15	64.49	63.15	66.04(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-180	-21	-27	0.6	53%	-0.29	-77.5	3.97%	0	-0.4	54	0
9	Sep_8_2016	77.15	67.2	66.91	66.12	65.71	63.48	60.91(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-54	-260	-63	-25	0.54	50%	-0.34	-71.3	3.83%	0	-2.5	47	0
10	Sep_7_2016	77.41	67.89	67.56	68	68.01	65.82	64.36(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-30	-220	-42	7	0.31	49%	-0.31	-53	3.78%	0	-1.4	44	0

11	Sep_6_2016	77.65	68.29	67.79	68.6	69.17	67.94	65.55(-4.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-20	-100	-31	14	0.37	46%	-0.65	-60.3	3.86%	0	-1	45	0
12	Sep_2_2016	78.16	68.59	67.97	68.81	69.13	70.21	68.9(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	120	1	27	0.25	48%	-0.33	-72.3	3.86%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Sep_1_2016	78.42	68.82	67.6	68.61	68.8	70.41	70.87(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	170	44	31	0.39	48%	-0.32	-66.5	3.85%	0	0.6	49	0
14	Aug_31_2016	78.67	69.05	66.88	67.87	67.76	68.06	70.33(4.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	15	30	21	-4	0.41	48%	-0.34	-69	3.85%	0	0.4	45	0
15	Aug_30_2016	78.94	69.29	66.57	67.15	67.17	67.19	67.37(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	0	-1	-37	0.2	46%	-0.5	-64.1	3.81%	0	-0.4	30	0

16	Aug_29_2016	79.34	69.92	66.64	66.89	67.15	67.46	66.58(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	40	5	-47	0.21	46%	-0.49	-52.2	3.83%	0	-0.7	36	0
17	Aug_26_2016	79.73	70.68	66.85	66.99	66.89	67.15	67.91(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	20	9	-50	0.43	46%	-0.56	-47.3	3.83%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	Aug_25_2016	80.18	71.05	67.05	66.4	66.9	66.84	67.17(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	20	13	-64	0.29	44%	-0.55	-47.4	3.83%	0	-0.8	34	0
19	Aug_24_2016	80.62	71.58	67.43	65.72	66.33	66.62	66.73(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	60	-4	-89	0.33	44%	-0.63	-47.2	3.87%	0	-0.9	30	0
20	Aug_23_2016	81.13	72.14	68.17	65.93	66.04	66.97	66.04(-1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	100	5	-86	0.26	44%	-0.62	-42.1	3.87%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Aug_22_2016	81.64	72.64	68.8	66.39	66.49	66.04	67.07(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-40	6	-97	0.35	44%	-0.56	-37.3	3.87%	0	-1.1	25	0
22	Aug_19_2016	82.1	73.15	69.23	66.73	66.85	65.12	65(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-180	-40	-133	0.27	44%	-0.53	-30.7	3.85%	0	-1.7	18	0
23	Aug_18_2016	82.54	73.59	70.16	67.81	67.9	66.93	63.75(-5.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64	-100	-43	-126	0.4	44%	-0.55	-24.4	3.83%	0	-2.2	35	0
24	Aug_17_2016	83	74.14	71.45	69.35	69.16	68.59	67.76(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-70	-22	-105	0.36	47%	-0.5	-13.2	3.79%	0	-1.6	36	0
25	Aug_16_2016	83.42	74.36	72.28	70.74	70.19	68.86	68.36(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-160	-27	-97	0.41	45%		-3.2	3.79%	0	-1.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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