Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $70.3294 (4.39%) ($67.9128 - $71.5131) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $70.3294(4.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(21%)    IBUY(12%)    IPO(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.87(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.88(5.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.05(1.85%)
To recent high   -19.4%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.13% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.71%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.54%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2016	78.67	69.05	66.88	67.87	67.76	68.06	70.33(4.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	15	30	21	-4	0.41	48%	-0.34	-69	3.85%	0	0.4	45	INF
2	Aug_30_2016	78.94	69.29	66.57	67.15	67.17	67.19	67.37(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	0	-1	-37	0.2	46%	-0.5	-64.1	3.81%	0	-0.4	30	INF
3	Aug_29_2016	79.34	69.92	66.64	66.89	67.15	67.46	66.58(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	40	5	-47	0.21	46%	-0.49	-52.2	3.83%	0	-0.7	36	INF
4	Aug_26_2016	79.73	70.68	66.85	66.99	66.89	67.15	67.91(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	20	9	-50	0.43	46%	-0.56	-47.3	3.83%	0	-0.6	42	INF
5	Aug_25_2016	80.18	71.05	67.05	66.4	66.9	66.84	67.17(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	20	13	-64	0.29	44%	-0.55	-47.4	3.83%	0	-0.8	34	INF

6	Aug_24_2016	80.62	71.58	67.43	65.72	66.33	66.62	66.73(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	60	-4	-89	0.33	44%	-0.63	-47.2	3.87%	0	-0.9	30	INF
7	Aug_23_2016	81.13	72.14	68.17	65.93	66.04	66.97	66.04(-1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	100	5	-86	0.26	44%	-0.62	-42.1	3.87%	0	-1.2	30	INF
8	Aug_22_2016	81.64	72.64	68.8	66.39	66.49	66.04	67.07(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-40	6	-97	0.35	44%	-0.56	-37.3	3.87%	0	-1.1	25	INF
9	Aug_19_2016	82.1	73.15	69.23	66.73	66.85	65.12	65(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-180	-40	-133	0.27	44%	-0.53	-30.7	3.85%	0	-1.7	18	INF
10	Aug_18_2016	82.54	73.59	70.16	67.81	67.9	66.93	63.75(-5.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64	-100	-43	-126	0.4	44%	-0.55	-24.4	3.83%	0	-2.2	35	INF

11	Aug_17_2016	83	74.14	71.45	69.35	69.16	68.59	67.76(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-70	-22	-105	0.36	47%	-0.5	-13.2	3.79%	0	-1.6	36	INF
12	Aug_16_2016	83.42	74.36	72.28	70.74	70.19	68.86	68.36(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-160	-27	-97	0.41	45%	-0.51	-3.2	3.79%	0	-1.6	37	INF
13	Aug_15_2016	83.85	74.55	73.49	71.57	71.34	69.74	68.8(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-170	-32	-80	0.32	45%	-0.18	5.2	3.84%	0	-1.6	42	INF
14	Aug_12_2016	84	74.66	74.86	72.1	72.03	71.51	70.38(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-50	-26	-62	0.29	45%	-0.47	3.4	3.86%	0	-1.2	42	INF
15	Aug_11_2016	84.4	74.69	75.42	72.86	72.31	72.94	71.46(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	40	-7	-42	0.46	45%	-0.47	3	3.86%	0	-0.9	51	INF

16	Aug_10_2016	84.8	74.65	76.09	73.86	72.95	72.54	74.72(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-80	4	-19	0.46	44%	-0.35	0.4	3.83%	0	0	54	INF
17	Aug_9_2016	85.1	74.48	76.42	74.12	73.7	71.67	72.5(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-210	-47	-24	0.31	44%	-0.35	-3.6	3.85%	0	-0.5	55	INF
18	Aug_8_2016	85.4	74.36	76.79	75.77	75.43	73.36	71.41(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-210	-65	-4	0.45	44%	-0.36	-0.4	3.89%	0	-0.8	54	INF
19	Aug_5_2016	85.71	74.54	77.41	78.06	77.92	75.74	74.23(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-200	-34	50	0.42	44%	-0.33	20.1	3.86%	0	-0.1	61	INF
20	Aug_4_2016	85.99	74.58	77.35	78.3	79.19	77.5	76.45(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-120	-39	58	0.34	44%	-0.36	23.2	3.86%	0	0.5	64	INF

21	Aug_3_2016	86.3	74.64	77.1	78.61	79.62	80.09	76(-5.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	80	-12	81	0.65	48%	-0.43	29.3	3.9%	0	0.4	64	INF
22	Aug_2_2016	86.67	74.62	76.69	78.99	79.49	80.88	80.79(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	140	39	108	0.73	50%	-0.37	26.9	3.93%	0	1.6	71	INF
23	Aug_1_2016	86.99	74.38	75.71	77.96	78.2	79.14	82.86(9.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	45	90	27	98	0.54	50%	-0.31	7.1	3.92%	0	2.4	78	INF
24	Jul_29_2016	87.26	73.82	74.38	76.79	77.41	78.1	75.41(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	90	20	76	0.51	45%	-0.5	-14.3	3.75%	0	0.5	51	INF
25	Jul_28_2016	87.7	73.73	73.86	76.27	76.82	77.26	77.97(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	60	24	63	0.28	45%		-18	3.73%	0	1.4	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.