Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $77.9246 (3%) ($73.7867 - $78.9110) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $77.9246(3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(30%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(21%)    IPO(6%)    SHY(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.36(3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.05(6.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.57(5.92%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.85% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 27.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 31.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 37.11%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2016	88.12	73.57	73.05	75.36	75.6	76.72	77.92(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	110	22	34	0.52	43%	-0.54	-29.6	3.77%	0	1.5	47	INF
2	Jul_26_2016	88.6	73.63	72.3	74.02	74.56	76.38	75.66(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	190	42	16	0.38	43%	-0.42	-32.6	3.82%	0	0.7	48	INF
3	Jul_25_2016	88.97	74.13	71.65	73.08	73.23	74.48	76.99(5.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	29	130	42	-10	0.38	43%	-0.49	-20.2	3.86%	0	0.7	48	INF
4	Jul_22_2016	89.41	74.25	71.33	71.65	71.98	72.75	72.8(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	90	19	-33	0.18	39%	-0.57	-28.1	3.81%	0	-0.3	52	INF
5	Jul_21_2016	89.92	74.26	71.51	71.09	71.33	71.98	73.45(3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	70	20	-37	0.26	39%	-0.63	-41.5	3.85%	0	-0.2	50	INF

6	Jul_20_2016	90.49	74.41	71.9	70.39	70.66	71.21	71.22(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	70	12	-44	0.26	39%	-0.77	-50.6	3.83%	0	-0.7	42	INF
7	Jul_19_2016	91.19	74.64	72.34	70.33	70.13	70.68	70.97(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	50	10	-54	0.19	37%	-0.88	-57.8	3.84%	0	-0.8	34	INF
8	Jul_18_2016	92	74.99	72.91	69.99	70.08	70.11	69.84(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	10	0	-80	0.23	37%	-0.84	-63.6	3.9%	0	-1.2	26	INF
9	Jul_15_2016	92.78	75.51	73.22	70.98	69.99	69.58	69.98(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-80	-22	-92	0.25	37%	-0.85	-58.6	3.94%	0	-1.3	39	INF
10	Jul_14_2016	93.58	76.14	73.63	72.01	71.1	70.06	69.93(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-140	-27	-82	0.38	37%	-0.86	-44.6	3.99%	0	-1.4	50	INF

11	Jul_13_2016	94.39	76.73	74.22	73.66	72.67	70.4	70.92(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-260	-40	-73	0.55	37%	-0.89	-27.6	3.98%	0	-1.4	47	INF
12	Jul_12_2016	95.24	77.25	75.14	74.66	74.14	72.15	69.29(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-210	-59	-62	0.52	34%	-0.75	-13.5	3.97%	0	-2	47	INF
13	Jul_11_2016	95.96	77.85	76.89	76.19	75.94	74.93	74.77(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-100	-17	-13	0.31	37%	-0.81	-0.6	4.02%	0	-0.8	48	INF
14	Jul_8_2016	96.74	78.1	77.45	75.73	76.59	76.12	75.11(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10	-4	-12	0.38	35%	-0.8	-8.9	4.03%	0	-0.8	46	INF
15	Jul_7_2016	97.52	78.12	77.28	75.46	75.94	76.95	78.22(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	110	4	-28	0.47	35%	-0.69	-21	4.07%	0	0	46	INF

16	Jul_6_2016	98.2	77.91	77.12	74.92	75.64	77.06	75.9(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	160	22	-36	0.38	35%	-0.88	-34.4	4.05%	0	-0.5	45	INF
17	Jul_5_2016	99.07	77.8	77.1	75.79	75.48	74.93	76.94(6.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-60	-14	-50	0.47	35%	-0.91	-38.1	4.11%	0	-0.2	47	INF
18	Jul_1_2016	99.98	77.87	77.19	77.87	76.75	74.23	72.45(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-270	-55	-52	0.28	31%	-1.09	-27.4	4.02%	0	-1.4	42	INF
19	Jun_30_2016	101.08	78.43	77.99	79.45	79.84	76.04	73.78(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-320	-48	-32	0.4	31%	-1.04	-15.5	4.03%	0	-1.2	45	INF
20	Jun_29_2016	102.14	78.88	78.88	79.24	81.02	79.28	75.51(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-80	-50	-22	0.55	31%	-0.99	-15.4	4.02%	0	-0.9	54	INF

21	Jun_28_2016	103.16	79.22	79.5	79.45	80.24	83.65	80.29(-8.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	330	29	26	0.31	33%	-0.83	-17.2	3.97%	0	0.3	61	INF
22	Jun_27_2016	104.02	79.32	79.54	78.47	78.69	82.77	87.3(8.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	95	370	106	60	0.59	35%	-0.72	-27.6	3.86%	0	2.1	71	INF
23	Jun_24_2016	104.77	78.98	78.78	76.6	76.57	76.83	80.39(10.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	20	36	16	0.76	29%	-0.68	-50.3	3.72%	0	0.4	54	INF
24	Jun_23_2016	105.49	79.03	78.69	76.55	75.88	74.61	72.7(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-140	-54	-27	0.33	25%	-0.75	-56.9	3.46%	0	-1.8	35	INF
25	Jun_22_2016	106.29	79.47	79	78.54	77.55	76.32	76.59(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-150	-37	-12	0.42	27%		-55	3.53%	0	-0.9	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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