Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $190.8167 (8.8%) ($186.0820 - $200.3353) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.53% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $190.8167(8.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 15.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(33%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(20%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.765% (StdDev 5.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.1(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $175.25(8.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.49(18.16%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   97.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 12.61% (three month std-dev: 5.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.06%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.07%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2016	134.98	161.49	175.25	189.1	190.18	190.22	190.82(8.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	63	20	25	178	0.3	61%	0.31	64.1	5.53%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Jan_14_2016	134.56	158.91	170.72	186.57	187.89	189.41	175.38(-12.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	57	80	15	182	0.52	59%	0	64.8	5.5%	0	0.9	74	0
3	Jan_13_2016	134.56	157.05	168	185.76	184.25	190.14	201.42(7.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	121	200	88	218	0.43	64%	0.04	62.4	5.24%	0	2.3	69	0
4	Jan_12_2016	134.51	154.23	161.81	177.44	178.24	186.37	188.15(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	156	330	143	196	0.41	62%	0	60	5.19%	0	2	62	0
5	Jan_11_2016	134.51	152.22	157.23	168.43	170.47	178.36	189.73(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	157	360	158	152	0.45	62%	0.22	58.8	5.2%	0	2.6	62	0

6	Jan_8_2016	134.22	149.42	151.71	159.39	160.68	170.11	178.14(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	120	440	129	92	0.31	61%	0.25	57	5.15%	0	2.5	63	0
7	Jan_7_2016	133.89	147.36	147.05	152.67	154.09	162.58	171.34(7.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	132	410	153	67	0.38	61%	0.26	58.6	5.2%	0	2.5	66	0
8	Jan_6_2016	133.54	145.91	144.87	147.74	148.69	151.26	159.84(11.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	69	140	82	28	0.3	56%	0.26	76.5	5.17%	0	1.8	64	0
9	Jan_5_2016	133.19	144.89	144.45	144	145.72	145.59	143.08(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	3	-14	0.3	49%	0.14	90.7	5.05%	0	-0.3	48	0
10	Jan_4_2016	133.01	144.16	145.96	144.19	144.24	146.11	144.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	90	10	-5	0.28	49%	0.21	102.6	5.19%	0	0.1	47	0

11	Dec_31_2015	132.73	143.22	146.58	142.6	143.7	145.84	144.56(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	130	54	16	0.16	45%	0.19	84.1	5.42%	0	0.1	57	0
12	Dec_30_2015	132.48	141.96	146.28	140.3	140.83	142.37	146.68(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	90	13	-9	0.18	43%	0.16	71.3	5.41%	0	0.4	56	0
13	Dec_29_2015	132.27	140.11	145.5	141.62	139.2	141.55	141.15(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	70	-9	-17	0.19	43%	0.11	60.2	5.46%	0	0.1	50	0
14	Dec_28_2015	132.13	138.67	146.35	145.17	143.07	139.28	144.01(5.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-230	-7	4	0.16	47%	0.01	60	5.46%	0	0.4	54	0
15	Dec_24_2015	132.12	137.1	147.1	148.24	146.96	136.86	136.61(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-510	-123	-11	0.24	47%	-0.03	62.3	5.58%	0	-0	59	0

16	Dec_23_2015	132.16	135.83	147.33	151.12	151.96	146.86	133.06(-13.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-73	-220	-104	19	0.48	47%	-0.03	64.6	5.57%	0	-0.2	60	0
17	Dec_22_2015	132.2	134.61	148.2	152.65	153.62	157.06	153.24(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	180	28	101	0.25	51%	0.13	61.7	5.34%	0	1	73	0
18	Dec_21_2015	132.03	132.59	147.33	149.62	149.89	157.07	158.91(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	340	96	146	0.32	51%	0.24	58.2	5.34%	0	1.5	80	0
19	Dec_18_2015	131.72	130.35	145.42	147.74	145.13	150.18	159.4(5.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	99	190	78	160	0.34	53%	0.3	56.3	5.34%	0	1.7	77	0
20	Dec_17_2015	131.32	127.89	142.12	146.2	144.48	142.71	151.02(7.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	-120	29	152	0.3	51%	0.26	55	5.39%	0	1.4	74	0

21	Dec_16_2015	130.98	125.68	139.46	143.31	144.92	140.09	140.71(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-200	-53	126	0.38	47%	0.14	49.9	5.31%	0	1	73	0
22	Dec_15_2015	130.8	124.28	137.26	143.02	144.22	146.24	138.04(-7.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	120	-35	145	0.36	47%	0.04	53.1	5.41%	0	0.9	74	0
23	Dec_14_2015	130.75	122.84	134.41	144.41	144.01	149.76	149.54(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	114	270	83	205	0.28	49%	0.16	58	5.34%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Dec_11_2015	130.54	121.3	130.42	142.62	142.7	142.2	151.71(11.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	-20	62	189	0.33	49%	0.23	67	5.35%	0	2.2	71	0
25	Dec_10_2015	130.24	119.56	126.23	137.51	140.67	138.26	136.57(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-50	-27	134	0.36	45%		73.1	5.18%	0	1.4	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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