Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $159.8441 (11.72%) ($152.3974 - $163.0499) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.17% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $159.8441(11.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(33%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(20%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.585% (StdDev 5.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $147.74(8.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.87(10.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.91(9.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   65.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 5.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -14.86%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2016	133.54	145.91	144.87	147.74	148.69	151.26	159.84(11.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	69	140	82	28	0.3	56%	0.26	76.5	5.17%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Jan_5_2016	133.19	144.89	144.45	144	145.72	145.59	143.08(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	3	-14	0.3	49%	0.14	90.7	5.05%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Jan_4_2016	133.01	144.16	145.96	144.19	144.24	146.11	144.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	90	10	-5	0.28	49%	0.21	102.6	5.19%	0	0.1	47	0
4	Dec_31_2015	132.73	143.22	146.58	142.6	143.7	145.84	144.56(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	130	54	16	0.16	45%	0.19	84.1	5.42%	0	0.1	57	0
5	Dec_30_2015	132.48	141.96	146.28	140.3	140.83	142.37	146.68(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	90	13	-9	0.18	43%	0.16	71.3	5.41%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Dec_29_2015	132.27	140.11	145.5	141.62	139.2	141.55	141.15(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	70	-9	-17	0.19	43%	0.11	60.2	5.46%	0	0.1	50	0
7	Dec_28_2015	132.13	138.67	146.35	145.17	143.07	139.28	144.01(5.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-230	-7	4	0.16	47%	0.01	60	5.46%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Dec_24_2015	132.12	137.1	147.1	148.24	146.96	136.86	136.61(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-510	-123	-11	0.24	47%	-0.03	62.3	5.58%	0	-0	59	0
9	Dec_23_2015	132.16	135.83	147.33	151.12	151.96	146.86	133.06(-13.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-73	-220	-104	19	0.48	47%	-0.03	64.6	5.57%	0	-0.2	60	0
10	Dec_22_2015	132.2	134.61	148.2	152.65	153.62	157.06	153.24(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	180	28	101	0.25	51%	0.13	61.7	5.34%	0	1	73	0

11	Dec_21_2015	132.03	132.59	147.33	149.62	149.89	157.07	158.91(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	340	96	146	0.32	51%	0.24	58.2	5.34%	0	1.5	80	0
12	Dec_18_2015	131.72	130.35	145.42	147.74	145.13	150.18	159.4(5.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	99	190	78	160	0.34	53%	0.3	56.3	5.34%	0	1.7	77	0
13	Dec_17_2015	131.32	127.89	142.12	146.2	144.48	142.71	151.02(7.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	-120	29	152	0.3	51%	0.26	55	5.39%	0	1.4	74	0
14	Dec_16_2015	130.98	125.68	139.46	143.31	144.92	140.09	140.71(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-200	-53	126	0.38	47%	0.14	49.9	5.31%	0	1	73	0
15	Dec_15_2015	130.8	124.28	137.26	143.02	144.22	146.24	138.04(-7.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	120	-35	145	0.36	47%	0.04	53.1	5.41%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Dec_14_2015	130.75	122.84	134.41	144.41	144.01	149.76	149.54(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	114	270	83	205	0.28	49%	0.16	58	5.34%	0	1.7	72	0
17	Dec_11_2015	130.54	121.3	130.42	142.62	142.7	142.2	151.71(11.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	-20	62	189	0.33	49%	0.23	67	5.35%	0	2.2	71	0
18	Dec_10_2015	130.24	119.56	126.23	137.51	140.67	138.26	136.57(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-50	-27	134	0.36	45%	0.12	73.1	5.18%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Dec_9_2015	130.08	118.29	123.43	134.96	138.29	143.21	139.23(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	320	43	153	0.33	47%	0.16	76.7	5.18%	0	1.8	72	0
20	Dec_8_2015	129.87	116.56	120.02	130.45	133.32	143.08	145(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	168	580	167	171	0.3	47%	0.2	74.6	5.2%	0	2.7	69	0

21	Dec_7_2015	129.61	114.53	116.57	122.79	124.73	133.38	140.61(11.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	151	530	159	128	0.34	47%	0.21	67.3	5.22%	0	3.1	70	0
22	Dec_4_2015	129.34	112.57	113.76	116.5	116.98	123.56	126.16(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	102	410	113	69	0.48	43%	0.13	54.1	5.05%	0	2.1	52	0
23	Dec_3_2015	129.17	111.34	112.2	113.39	112.25	116.08	123.79(6.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	210	80	29	0.39	43%	0.1	33	5.09%	0	2.1	51	0
24	Dec_2_2015	129.04	110.11	110.48	110.27	110.06	110.4	116.69(9.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	20	35	-12	0.37	40%	0.09	4.7	5.03%	0	1.2	54	0
25	Dec_1_2015	128.92	109.14	110.04	108.03	108.88	108.42	106.68(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-18	-41	0.24	41%		-26.1	4.89%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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