Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $159.4002 (5.55%) ($150.4734 - $159.4002) on Fri. Dec. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.34% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $159.4002(5.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(33%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(20%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.67% (StdDev 5.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $147.74(7.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.42(9.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.35(22.29%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   64.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 13.24% (three month std-dev: 5.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 4.18%(29%) Average negative next day return: -7.57%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.4%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -9.99%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 9.43%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.93%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2015	131.72	130.35	145.42	147.74	145.13	150.18	159.4(5.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	99	190	78	160	0.34	53%	0.3	56.3	5.34%	0	1.7	77	0
2	Dec_17_2015	131.32	127.89	142.12	146.2	144.48	142.71	151.02(7.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	-120	29	152	0.3	51%	0.26	55	5.39%	0	1.4	74	0
3	Dec_16_2015	130.98	125.68	139.46	143.31	144.92	140.09	140.71(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-200	-53	126	0.38	47%	0.14	49.9	5.31%	0	1	73	0
4	Dec_15_2015	130.8	124.28	137.26	143.02	144.22	146.24	138.04(-7.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	120	-35	145	0.36	47%	0.04	53.1	5.41%	0	0.9	74	0
5	Dec_14_2015	130.75	122.84	134.41	144.41	144.01	149.76	149.54(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	114	270	83	205	0.28	49%	0.16	58	5.34%	0	1.7	72	0

6	Dec_11_2015	130.54	121.3	130.42	142.62	142.7	142.2	151.71(11.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	-20	62	189	0.33	49%	0.23	67	5.35%	0	2.2	71	0
7	Dec_10_2015	130.24	119.56	126.23	137.51	140.67	138.26	136.57(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-50	-27	134	0.36	45%	0.12	73.1	5.18%	0	1.4	68	0
8	Dec_9_2015	130.08	118.29	123.43	134.96	138.29	143.21	139.23(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	320	43	153	0.33	47%	0.16	76.7	5.18%	0	1.8	72	0
9	Dec_8_2015	129.87	116.56	120.02	130.45	133.32	143.08	145(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	168	580	167	171	0.3	47%	0.2	74.6	5.2%	0	2.7	69	0
10	Dec_7_2015	129.61	114.53	116.57	122.79	124.73	133.38	140.61(11.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	151	530	159	128	0.34	47%	0.21	67.3	5.22%	0	3.1	70	0

11	Dec_4_2015	129.34	112.57	113.76	116.5	116.98	123.56	126.16(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	102	410	113	69	0.48	43%	0.13	54.1	5.05%	0	2.1	52	0
12	Dec_3_2015	129.17	111.34	112.2	113.39	112.25	116.08	123.79(6.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	210	80	29	0.39	43%	0.1	33	5.09%	0	2.1	51	0
13	Dec_2_2015	129.04	110.11	110.48	110.27	110.06	110.4	116.69(9.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	20	35	-12	0.37	40%	0.09	4.7	5.03%	0	1.2	54	0
14	Dec_1_2015	128.92	109.14	110.04	108.03	108.88	108.42	106.68(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-18	-41	0.24	41%	-0.01	-26.1	4.89%	0	-0.4	54	0
15	Nov_30_2015	128.93	109.09	110.38	109.28	108.89	109.71	109.19(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	40	-9	-27	0.57	41%	0	-32.1	5.05%	0	0	54	0

16	Nov_27_2015	128.93	109.25	111.55	110.53	110.32	109.34	110.57(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-70	7	4	0.16	35%	0.12	-26.6	5.12%	0	0.2	58	0
17	Nov_25_2015	128.78	109.44	112.46	110.81	110.99	108.08	108.21(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-23	-180	-33	6	0.27	35%	0.01	-22.8	5.51%	0	-0.2	58	0
18	Nov_24_2015	128.77	109.84	112.95	110.68	111.74	111.3	105.49(-6.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-19	0	-31	18	0.42	40%	-0.03	-21.9	5.53%	0	-0.6	59	0
19	Nov_23_2015	128.81	110.77	113.15	112.24	112.19	113.91	112.94(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	110	20	54	0.58	42%	-0.12	-9.2	5.86%	0	0.3	68	0
20	Nov_20_2015	128.97	111.1	112.59	111.57	111.55	112.18	115.46(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	40	7	47	0.48	47%	0.08	-8.2	6.01%	0	0.6	59	0

21	Nov_19_2015	128.87	111.1	111.45	112.86	112.18	110.47	111.94(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-120	-22	35	0.51	49%	0.04	-1.3	6.06%	0	0.1	50	0
22	Nov_18_2015	128.82	110.93	110.54	114.55	114.95	110.92	107.57(-5.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-22	-230	-38	28	0.72	49%	0.03	6.7	6.13%	0	-0.4	45	0
23	Nov_17_2015	128.78	111.44	109.85	115.54	117.08	113.9	113.29(3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-20	-150	-34	21	0.41	49%	0.06	12.3	6.1%	0	0.2	47	0
24	Nov_16_2015	128.7	111.46	108.28	114.06	116.44	118.98	109.59(-10.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	220	3	4	0.46	49%	0.08	4.3	6.09%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	Nov_13_2015	128.6	111.72	107.82	113.48	114.07	120.26	121.92(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	400	86	21	0.58	52%		2.4	5.95%	0	1.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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