Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $102.0418 (2.78%) ($97.6524 - $103.2748) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.07% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $102.0418(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(34%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.035% (StdDev 6.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $95.27(-6.64%)
Resistance Level   $111.96
5 Day Moving Average   $103.18(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.21(-7.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.96(-8.86%)
To recent high   -48%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.1% (three month std-dev: 6.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.25%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -9.59%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.96%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.06%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	127.77	111.96	110.21	103.18	102	99.66	102.04(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-190	-15	-56	0.51	46%	0.03	-68.7	6.07%	0	-1.5	47	0
2	Nov_4_2015	127.73	112.35	111.3	105.8	105.06	98.7	99.28(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-440	-79	-68	0.51	46%	0.02	-95.7	6.07%	0	-2	45	0
3	Nov_3_2015	127.7	113.21	113.28	109.33	109.48	104.33	96.72(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-330	-101	-58	0.43	47%	-0.02	-122.8	6.06%	0	-2.8	38	0
4	Nov_2_2015	127.73	114.41	115.22	115.02	114.72	111.41	104.95(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-210	-56	-16	0.36	49%	0.05	-149.4	6.04%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Oct_30_2015	127.66	115.55	116.35	118.23	118.84	114.64	112.89(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-230	-33	9	0.41	52%	0.14	-124.5	6.03%	0	-0.4	50	0

6	Oct_29_2015	127.48	116.85	116.06	118.19	119.85	118.02	115.16(-1.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-25	-60	-36	7	0.25	51%	0.17	-82.5	6.03%	0	-0.1	56	0
7	Oct_28_2015	127.27	118.92	115.52	117.56	119.05	123.05	116.94(-6.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	270	18	26	0.33	49%	0.15	-66.4	6.05%	0	-0.1	60	0
8	Oct_27_2015	127.08	120.96	115.35	117.81	117.53	121.67	125.17(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	240	72	50	0.23	52%	0.22	-52.6	6.09%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Oct_26_2015	126.8	123.12	114.52	115.6	115.16	115.04	120.98(7.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-20	20	18	0.22	52%	0.2	-44.9	6.09%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Oct_23_2015	126.55	125.51	113.81	114.4	114.63	113.39	112.69(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-70	-15	-13	0.24	51%	0.12	-40.5	6.07%	0	-0.6	37	0

11	Oct_22_2015	126.4	127.56	113.64	113.64	114.89	115.29	112(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	60	3	-32	0.31	51%	0.14	-40	6.07%	0	-0.7	29	0
12	Oct_21_2015	126.22	129.72	113.35	113.04	113.71	115.86	118.22(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	150	17	-68	0.24	51%	0.21	-37.6	6.03%	0	-0.5	25	0
13	Oct_20_2015	125.96	131.65	112.96	112.48	112.85	114.48	114.13(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	110	19	-102	0.13	52%	0.16	-35.2	6.02%	0	-0.8	21	0
14	Oct_19_2015	125.76	133.56	113.41	113.34	113.37	111.56	114.96(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-110	-1	-141	0.24	52%	0.18	-35	6.04%	0	-0.8	19	0
15	Oct_16_2015	125.54	135.23	114.57	113.28	114.16	111.22	108.9(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-75	-160	-39	-184	0.18	53%	0.12	-37.6	6.02%	0	-1.2	14	0

16	Oct_15_2015	125.39	137.38	117.62	113.6	115.16	115.19	109(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	40	-11	-178	0.35	54%	0.14	-39.7	6.02%	0	-1.3	29	0
17	Oct_14_2015	125.22	139.06	122.5	113.48	114.26	117.1	115.41(-2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	190	23	-161	0.29	54%	0.19	-44	6%	0	-1.1	31	0
18	Oct_13_2015	124.98	140.38	126.86	113.41	113.06	115.13	118.42(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	120	32	-154	0.47	54%	-0.05	-48.3	6%	0	-1.1	31	0
19	Oct_12_2015	125.04	142.13	132.12	113.62	112.76	111.42	114.67(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-110	-16	-159	0.37	54%	0.22	-48.1	6%	0	-1.4	33	0
20	Oct_9_2015	124.77	144.34	137.84	116.33	115.18	110.98	110.52(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-92	-280	-70	-157	0.58	54%	0.2	-46.3	5.99%	0	-1.8	34	0

21	Oct_8_2015	124.52	146.63	142.5	122.48	120.71	114.09	108.4(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-430	-123	-155	0.61	55%	0.15	-40.2	5.99%	0	-2.2	31	0
22	Oct_7_2015	124.33	148.88	147.57	132.99	131.11	119.37	115.06(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-136	-670	-141	-119	0.77	55%	0.21	-27.5	5.98%	0	-2.3	42	0
23	Oct_6_2015	124.07	150.88	152.19	142.35	141.65	127.32	119.45(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-181	-720	-207	-102	0.43	55%	0.27	-11.5	5.97%	0	-2.5	45	0
24	Oct_5_2015	123.73	152.33	155.88	153.35	152.26	142.85	128.23(-9.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-149	-450	-181	-52	0.67	57%	0.35	18.7	5.92%	0	-2.2	42	0
25	Oct_2_2015	123.3	153.6	158.21	162.42	162.43	155.98	141.25(-12.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-48	-280	-71	22	0.48	59%		55.9	5.84%	0	-1.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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