Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $118.2185 (3.59%) ($114.0264 - $118.6624) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.03% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $118.2185(3.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(34%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(18%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.015% (StdDev 6.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $87.46(-26.02%)
Resistance Level   $129.72
5 Day Moving Average   $113.04(4.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.35(4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.72(-8.87%)
To recent high   -39.8%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 17.84% (three month std-dev: 6.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	126.22	129.72	113.35	113.04	113.71	115.86	118.22(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	150	17	-68	0.24	51%	0.21	-37.6	6.03%	0	-0.5	25	INF
2	Oct_20_2015	125.96	131.65	112.96	112.48	112.85	114.48	114.13(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	110	19	-102	0.13	52%	0.16	-35.2	6.02%	0	-0.8	21	INF
3	Oct_19_2015	125.76	133.56	113.41	113.34	113.37	111.56	114.96(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-110	-1	-141	0.24	52%	0.18	-35	6.04%	0	-0.8	19	INF
4	Oct_16_2015	125.54	135.23	114.57	113.28	114.16	111.22	108.9(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-75	-160	-39	-184	0.18	53%	0.12	-37.6	6.02%	0	-1.2	14	INF
5	Oct_15_2015	125.39	137.38	117.62	113.6	115.16	115.19	109(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	40	-11	-178	0.35	54%	0.14	-39.7	6.02%	0	-1.3	29	INF

6	Oct_14_2015	125.22	139.06	122.5	113.48	114.26	117.1	115.41(-2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	190	23	-161	0.29	54%	0.19	-44	6%	0	-1.1	31	INF
7	Oct_13_2015	124.98	140.38	126.86	113.41	113.06	115.13	118.42(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	120	32	-154	0.47	54%	-0.05	-48.3	6%	0	-1.1	31	INF
8	Oct_12_2015	125.04	142.13	132.12	113.62	112.76	111.42	114.67(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-110	-16	-159	0.37	54%	0.22	-48.1	6%	0	-1.4	33	INF
9	Oct_9_2015	124.77	144.34	137.84	116.33	115.18	110.98	110.52(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-92	-280	-70	-157	0.58	54%	0.2	-46.3	5.99%	0	-1.8	34	INF
10	Oct_8_2015	124.52	146.63	142.5	122.48	120.71	114.09	108.4(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-430	-123	-155	0.61	55%	0.15	-40.2	5.99%	0	-2.2	31	INF

11	Oct_7_2015	124.33	148.88	147.57	132.99	131.11	119.37	115.06(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-136	-670	-141	-119	0.77	55%	0.21	-27.5	5.98%	0	-2.3	42	INF
12	Oct_6_2015	124.07	150.88	152.19	142.35	141.65	127.32	119.45(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-181	-720	-207	-102	0.43	55%	0.27	-11.5	5.97%	0	-2.5	45	INF
13	Oct_5_2015	123.73	152.33	155.88	153.35	152.26	142.85	128.23(-9.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-149	-450	-181	-52	0.67	57%	0.35	18.7	5.92%	0	-2.2	42	INF
14	Oct_2_2015	123.3	153.6	158.21	162.42	162.43	155.98	141.25(-12.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-48	-280	-71	22	0.48	59%	0.46	55.9	5.84%	0	-1.3	44	INF
15	Oct_1_2015	122.74	153.84	159.39	165.21	165.63	161.67	160.98(-0.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-32	-160	-56	41	0.36	63%	0.61	63.2	5.62%	0	0.8	56	INF

16	Sep_30_2015	121.99	153.04	157.38	164.23	164.61	168.87	161.85(-7.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	190	4	56	0.45	63%	0.64	44.7	5.63%	0	1	59	INF
17	Sep_29_2015	121.22	152.36	155.21	163.49	162.94	169.6	174.44(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	113	280	119	93	0.17	66%	0.73	19.6	5.55%	0	2.4	64	INF
18	Sep_28_2015	120.34	150.33	152.73	159.04	158.27	160.35	173.6(11.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	80	69	61	0.21	66%	0.78	-22.5	5.57%	0	2.8	67	INF
19	Sep_25_2015	119.41	148.54	150.78	153.79	154.6	156.28	155.16(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	90	13	23	0.19	65%	0.58	-65.1	5.41%	0	1	53	INF
20	Sep_24_2015	118.72	148.21	150.5	152.78	152.81	156.19	156.1(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	160	53	41	0.33	65%	0.62	-70	5.41%	0	1.2	59	INF

21	Sep_23_2015	117.99	149.01	149.74	149.41	150.29	152.92	158.17(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	140	64	34	0.24	65%	0.65	-43.1	5.4%	0	1.1	59	INF
22	Sep_22_2015	117.23	150.61	148.95	145.56	146.3	149.44	152.15(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	170	29	6	0.22	63%	0.63	-13.4	5.4%	0	0.1	53	INF
23	Sep_21_2015	116.5	152.21	148.14	145.49	144.14	147.66	147.37(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	140	27	11	0.26	63%	0.6	6.2	5.41%	0	-0.3	61	INF
24	Sep_18_2015	115.81	152.92	148.47	147.46	145.82	143.17	150.13(7.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-160	10	21	0.34	64%	0.62	20.5	5.41%	0	-0.2	58	INF
25	Sep_17_2015	115.1	152.79	147.84	148.06	147.91	140.62	139.23(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-350	-102	-25	0.53	63%		28.2	5.34%	0	-0.9	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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