Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $108.4040 (-5.79%) ($107.0724 - $117.8733) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.99% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $108.4040(-5.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -7.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -10.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(34%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(18%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.995% (StdDev 5.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $146.63
5 Day Moving Average   $122.48(-11.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.5(-23.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $146.63(-26.07%)
To recent high   -44.8%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 11.66% (three month std-dev: 5.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 9.96%(40%) Average negative next day return: -7.13%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 7.26%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -9.2%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.93%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2015	124.52	146.63	142.5	122.48	120.71	114.09	108.4(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-430	-123	-155	0.61	55%	0.15	-40.2	5.99%	0	-2.2	31	0
2	Oct_7_2015	124.33	148.88	147.57	132.99	131.11	119.37	115.06(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-136	-670	-141	-119	0.77	55%	0.21	-27.5	5.98%	0	-2.3	42	0
3	Oct_6_2015	124.07	150.88	152.19	142.35	141.65	127.32	119.45(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-181	-720	-207	-102	0.43	55%	0.27	-11.5	5.97%	0	-2.5	45	0
4	Oct_5_2015	123.73	152.33	155.88	153.35	152.26	142.85	128.23(-9.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-149	-450	-181	-52	0.67	57%	0.35	18.7	5.92%	0	-2.2	42	0
5	Oct_2_2015	123.3	153.6	158.21	162.42	162.43	155.98	141.25(-12.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-48	-280	-71	22	0.48	59%	0.46	55.9	5.84%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	Oct_1_2015	122.74	153.84	159.39	165.21	165.63	161.67	160.98(-0.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-32	-160	-56	41	0.36	63%	0.61	63.2	5.62%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Sep_30_2015	121.99	153.04	157.38	164.23	164.61	168.87	161.85(-7.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	190	4	56	0.45	63%	0.64	44.7	5.63%	0	1	59	0
8	Sep_29_2015	121.22	152.36	155.21	163.49	162.94	169.6	174.44(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	113	280	119	93	0.17	66%	0.73	19.6	5.55%	0	2.4	64	0
9	Sep_28_2015	120.34	150.33	152.73	159.04	158.27	160.35	173.6(11.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	80	69	61	0.21	66%	0.78	-22.5	5.57%	0	2.8	67	0
10	Sep_25_2015	119.41	148.54	150.78	153.79	154.6	156.28	155.16(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	90	13	23	0.19	65%	0.58	-65.1	5.41%	0	1	53	0

11	Sep_24_2015	118.72	148.21	150.5	152.78	152.81	156.19	156.1(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	160	53	41	0.33	65%	0.62	-70	5.41%	0	1.2	59	0
12	Sep_23_2015	117.99	149.01	149.74	149.41	150.29	152.92	158.17(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	140	64	34	0.24	65%	0.65	-43.1	5.4%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Sep_22_2015	117.23	150.61	148.95	145.56	146.3	149.44	152.15(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	170	29	6	0.22	63%	0.63	-13.4	5.4%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Sep_21_2015	116.5	152.21	148.14	145.49	144.14	147.66	147.37(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	140	27	11	0.26	63%	0.6	6.2	5.41%	0	-0.3	61	0
15	Sep_18_2015	115.81	152.92	148.47	147.46	145.82	143.17	150.13(7.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-160	10	21	0.34	64%	0.62	20.5	5.41%	0	-0.2	58	0

16	Sep_17_2015	115.1	152.79	147.84	148.06	147.91	140.62	139.23(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-350	-102	-25	0.53	63%	0.53	28.2	5.34%	0	-0.9	46	0
17	Sep_16_2015	114.49	152.84	148.55	150.02	152.16	148.46	138.93(-8.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-66	-130	-79	-28	0.33	63%	0.51	37.2	5.34%	0	-0.9	35	0
18	Sep_15_2015	113.91	152.42	149.67	152.53	153.93	155.21	151.81(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	90	10	-14	0.19	65%	0.62	40.4	5.22%	0	-0	33	0
19	Sep_14_2015	113.21	151.23	148.06	150.95	151.88	155.86	157.23(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	200	50	-41	0.19	65%	0.68	35.2	5.2%	0	0.3	38	0
20	Sep_11_2015	112.45	149.76	146.25	149.66	149.19	152.65	153.09(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	28	150	57	-59	0.41	66%	0.65	28.1	5.2%	0	0.2	49	0

21	Sep_10_2015	111.72	148.46	145.77	147.76	148.06	147.9	149.04(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	-0	36	-75	0.37	65%	0.61	22.2	5.2%	0	0	54	0
22	Sep_9_2015	111.04	147.14	148.12	146.94	145.83	145.72	151.51(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-30	-24	-78	0.38	65%	0.62	15.4	5.22%	0	0.2	58	0
23	Sep_8_2015	110.36	145.97	152.08	146.45	146.12	148.22	143.86(-4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	15	90	25	-17	0.33	64%	0.82	12	5.19%	0	-0.1	60	0
24	Sep_4_2015	109.46	145.25	156.26	144.58	146.39	145.94	150.82(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	40	23	0.25	64%	0.64	7.7	5.12%	0	0.3	63	0
25	Sep_3_2015	108.76	144.74	157.4	142.3	143.77	144.02	143.57(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-24	40	-35	9	0.4	64%		7.6	5.1%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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