Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $161.8662 (10.58%) ($145.8379 - $161.9648) on Fri. Aug. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $161.8662(10.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $139.28(16.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $132.66(22.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.83(22.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   86.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 7.71% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 11.25%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.16%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.95%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 15.53%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.33%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2015	102.73	131.83	132.66	139.28	139.03	148.46	161.87(10.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	207	470	237	115	0.47	72%	0.64	45.9	3.75%	0	3	63	INF
2	Aug_20_2015	102.08	130	130.14	132.07	131.74	137.24	146.38(6.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	133	280	161	50	0.38	70%	0.47	42.2	3.58%	0	2.1	62	INF
3	Aug_19_2015	101.6	128.71	128.64	127.79	127.48	129.61	136.86(8.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	110	84	3	0.31	69%	0.38	37.3	3.5%	0	1.2	63	INF
4	Aug_18_2015	101.22	127.91	128.8	124.34	125.11	126.23	126.16(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	80	17	-23	0.1	67%	0.29	30.6	3.39%	0	-0.3	60	INF
5	Aug_17_2015	100.93	127.59	129.88	124.4	124.57	125.36	125.12(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	50	8	-9	0.14	67%	0.22	39	3.39%	0	-0.3	54	INF

6	Aug_14_2015	100.71	127.33	130.98	124.86	125.71	124	125.81(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-70	-31	-18	0.19	67%	0.25	45.3	3.39%	0	-0.2	47	INF
7	Aug_13_2015	100.46	126.81	131.28	127.92	127.95	123.78	124.98(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-230	-93	-21	0.21	67%	0.24	54.8	3.4%	0	-0.2	50	INF
8	Aug_12_2015	100.22	126.16	130.98	129.67	131.57	127.42	119.65(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-96	-180	-121	-19	0.33	66%	0.15	56.8	3.36%	0	-0.7	52	INF
9	Aug_11_2015	100.07	125.81	131.03	133.87	135.17	132.13	126.45(-0.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-51	-130	-77	29	0.32	70%	0.23	63.7	3.29%	0	0.1	56	INF
10	Aug_10_2015	99.84	124.84	130.78	136.07	136.57	135.71	127.39(-9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-30	-49	65	0.39	70%	0.26	66.4	3.34%	0	0.2	59	INF

11	Aug_7_2015	99.58	123.91	131.42	137.8	137.03	138.22	141.15(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	40	35	143	0.35	74%	0.35	68.8	3.14%	0	1.6	67	INF
12	Aug_6_2015	99.23	122.31	130.06	135.13	135.97	137.43	133.7(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	93	90	70	160	0.45	73%	0.32	67.5	3.1%	0	1.1	67	INF
13	Aug_5_2015	98.91	121.17	128.87	132.4	132.72	135.84	140.66(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	170	88	167	0.35	77%	0.3	63.8	3.02%	0	1.9	75	INF
14	Aug_4_2015	98.61	119.72	126.85	127.77	128.45	134.52	137.45(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	350	133	161	0.33	77%	0.27	59.5	3.03%	0	1.9	74	INF
15	Aug_3_2015	98.34	118.15	124.9	124.79	124.76	129.61	136.02(6.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	143	270	137	159	0.38	77%	0.22	56.4	3.03%	0	2.1	77	INF

16	Jul_31_2015	98.12	116.77	123.09	124.33	123.23	122.39	127.79(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-70	22	134	0.3	75%	0.14	68.1	2.97%	0	1.4	70	INF
17	Jul_30_2015	97.98	115.66	121.74	124.47	125.12	119.91	120.09(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-40	-280	-89	106	0.29	74%	0.08	74	2.89%	0	0.6	62	INF
18	Jul_29_2015	97.9	115.02	120.86	124.76	126.62	124.08	117.48(-4.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-60	-100	-114	102	0.49	74%	0.05	80.8	2.88%	0	0.3	58	INF
19	Jul_28_2015	97.85	114.34	120.29	125.49	126.77	130.33	122.56(-8.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	77	230	44	175	0.41	77%	0.14	85.5	2.84%	0	1	60	INF
20	Jul_27_2015	97.71	113.47	118.64	124.68	124.97	129.16	133.75(4.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	191	240	177	234	0.37	84%	0.3	89.1	2.62%	0	2.5	78	INF

21	Jul_24_2015	97.42	111.72	115.92	121.67	121.1	123.21	128.48(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	111	110	92	167	0.33	83%	0.29	89.8	2.58%	0	2.4	70	INF
22	Jul_23_2015	97.14	110.29	113.95	118.75	118.9	120.77	121.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	77	141	0.29	82%	0.24	90.7	2.51%	0	1.8	69	INF
23	Jul_22_2015	96.91	109.09	112.87	116.45	116.69	119	121.13(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	140	87	127	0.33	82%	0.24	80.8	2.53%	0	2	67	INF
24	Jul_21_2015	96.68	107.82	111.96	114.29	113.92	117.02	118.51(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	180	99	127	0.23	82%	0.21	71.2	2.54%	0	1.8	69	INF
25	Jul_20_2015	96.48	106.73	110.76	111.58	111.58	114.39	118.71(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	113	180	115	105	0.2	82%		57.9	2.56%	0	2	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.