Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $133.7048 (-4.94%) ($132.6198 - $145.8867) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $133.7048(-4.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.13(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.06(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.31(9.32%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   61%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 8.52% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.71%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.09%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2015	99.23	122.31	130.06	135.13	135.97	137.43	133.7(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	93	90	70	160	0.45	73%	0.32	67.5	3.1%	0	1.1	67	0
2	Aug_5_2015	98.91	121.17	128.87	132.4	132.72	135.84	140.66(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	170	88	167	0.35	77%	0.3	63.8	3.02%	0	1.9	75	0
3	Aug_4_2015	98.61	119.72	126.85	127.77	128.45	134.52	137.45(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	350	133	161	0.33	77%	0.27	59.5	3.03%	0	1.9	74	0
4	Aug_3_2015	98.34	118.15	124.9	124.79	124.76	129.61	136.02(6.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	143	270	137	159	0.38	77%	0.22	56.4	3.03%	0	2.1	77	0
5	Jul_31_2015	98.12	116.77	123.09	124.33	123.23	122.39	127.79(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-70	22	134	0.3	75%	0.14	68.1	2.97%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Jul_30_2015	97.98	115.66	121.74	124.47	125.12	119.91	120.09(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-40	-280	-89	106	0.29	74%	0.08	74	2.89%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Jul_29_2015	97.9	115.02	120.86	124.76	126.62	124.08	117.48(-4.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-60	-100	-114	102	0.49	74%	0.05	80.8	2.88%	0	0.3	58	0
8	Jul_28_2015	97.85	114.34	120.29	125.49	126.77	130.33	122.56(-8.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	77	230	44	175	0.41	77%	0.14	85.5	2.84%	0	1	60	0
9	Jul_27_2015	97.71	113.47	118.64	124.68	124.97	129.16	133.75(4.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	191	240	177	234	0.37	84%	0.3	89.1	2.62%	0	2.5	78	0
10	Jul_24_2015	97.42	111.72	115.92	121.67	121.1	123.21	128.48(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	111	110	92	167	0.33	83%	0.29	89.8	2.58%	0	2.4	70	0

11	Jul_23_2015	97.14	110.29	113.95	118.75	118.9	120.77	121.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	77	141	0.29	82%	0.24	90.7	2.51%	0	1.8	69	0
12	Jul_22_2015	96.91	109.09	112.87	116.45	116.69	119	121.13(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	140	87	127	0.33	82%	0.24	80.8	2.53%	0	2	67	0
13	Jul_21_2015	96.68	107.82	111.96	114.29	113.92	117.02	118.51(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	180	99	127	0.23	82%	0.21	71.2	2.54%	0	1.8	69	0
14	Jul_20_2015	96.48	106.73	110.76	111.58	111.58	114.39	118.71(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	113	180	115	105	0.2	82%	0.22	57.9	2.56%	0	2	65	0
15	Jul_17_2015	96.27	105.77	109.77	109.32	109.1	110.83	113.88(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	100	60	77	0.23	81%	0.19	54.3	2.53%	0	1.5	67	0

16	Jul_16_2015	96.09	104.96	108.95	108.5	108	108.77	110.03(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	40	25	65	0.16	80%	0.21	53.8	2.51%	0	1	63	0
17	Jul_15_2015	95.89	104.34	108.65	108.77	108.06	107.37	110.33(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-60	-5	78	0.31	73%	0.19	58.4	2.51%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Jul_14_2015	95.71	103.68	107.96	109.34	108.37	107.23	104.95(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-100	-44	83	0.27	66%	0.13	61.4	2.63%	0	0.2	65	0
19	Jul_13_2015	95.59	103.4	108.06	109.7	109.47	108.74	107.42(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-50	-21	114	0.35	66%	0.16	64.9	2.7%	0	0.7	67	0
20	Jul_10_2015	95.44	102.95	107.38	110.16	109.81	109.51	109.78(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-30	-7	128	0.23	66%	0.21	70.1	2.7%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Jul_9_2015	95.24	102.22	106.49	109.36	109.78	110.19	111.36(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	40	19	138	0.29	62%	0.23	64.3	2.7%	0	1.7	67	0
22	Jul_8_2015	95.02	101.34	105.14	108.48	108.73	110.1	113.19(6.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	100	43	138	0.36	62%	0.28	62.2	2.76%	0	2.3	70	0
23	Jul_7_2015	94.75	100.52	103.4	106.48	107.29	109.36	106.75(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	160	57	123	0.41	60%	0.13	66.2	2.68%	0	1.4	66	0
24	Jul_6_2015	94.63	100.04	102.42	106.17	105.72	107.36	109.74(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	100	70	123	0.27	58%	0.25	72.7	2.65%	0	2.4	65	0
25	Jul_2_2015	94.39	99.32	101.41	104.18	104.35	105.21	105.74(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	60	42	91	0.27	56%		74.7	2.7%	0	1.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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