Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $87.6356 (1.19%) ($86.3582 - $88.8242) on Fri. May. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.07% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $87.6356(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.535% (StdDev 3.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.82(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.37(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.04(3.05%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 3.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(83%) Average negative next day return: 0%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.46%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2015	98.02	85.04	87.37	87.82	88.22	87.52	87.64(1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-6	42	0.23	36%	-0.11	44.6	3.07%	0	0.9	66	INF
2	May_21_2015	98.13	84.79	86.95	87.5	87.92	88.23	86.6(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	40	-12	43	0.26	36%	-0.18	41.2	3.09%	0	0.6	66	INF
3	May_20_2015	98.31	84.54	87	87.58	87.88	88.93	89.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	90	32	77	0.25	36%	-0.12	43	3.09%	0	1.6	69	INF
4	May_19_2015	98.43	84.2	86.52	87.16	87.17	87.6	89.61(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	30	24	79	0.3	36%	-0.1	45.9	3.1%	0	2	71	INF
5	May_18_2015	98.53	83.93	85.91	86.54	86.47	86.84	86.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	30	-2	67	0.13	33%	-0.14	39.9	3.06%	0	0.8	61	INF

6	May_15_2015	98.67	83.73	85.42	86.87	86.58	86.73	86.06(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	0	20	78	0.17	33%	-0.13	26.6	3.06%	0	1	57	INF
7	May_14_2015	98.8	83.57	84.86	86.27	86.12	86.09	87(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10	-2	56	0.17	33%	-0.14	8.2	3.09%	0	1.4	59	INF
8	May_13_2015	98.94	83.28	84.23	86.3	85.74	86.43	87.1(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	7	60	0.25	30%	-0.11	-9.2	3.11%	0	1.6	62	INF
9	May_12_2015	99.05	82.95	83.52	85.77	85.94	86.15	86.51(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	31	55	0.25	30%	-0.16	-42.5	3.21%	0	1.5	57	INF
10	May_11_2015	99.21	82.94	83.02	85.18	84.93	85.06	87.69(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	10	34	0.32	30%	-0.11	-47.9	3.25%	0	1.6	54	INF

11	May_8_2015	99.32	83.08	82.49	83.77	83.85	85.73	83.05(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	160	31	27	0.53	24%	-0.27	-60.2	3.13%	0	-0	53	INF
12	May_7_2015	99.59	83.37	82.45	83.16	82.68	84.8	87.15(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	160	71	34	0.63	26%	-0.3	-70	3.1%	0	1.1	58	INF
13	May_6_2015	99.89	83.49	81.82	81.86	81.15	81.97	84.43(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	38	4	0.46	22%	-0.5	-75.1	3.09%	0	0.2	58	INF
14	May_5_2015	100.39	83.97	81.64	80.95	80.4	80.55	83.6(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10	6	-16	0.49	22%	-0.54	-78.9	3.09%	0	-0.1	58	INF
15	May_4_2015	100.94	84.39	81.7	80.58	80.48	80.32	80.64(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-20	-8	-32	0.32	17%	-0.53	-79.9	3.09%	0	-0.8	36	INF

16	May_1_2015	101.48	84.99	81.87	81.05	81.05	80.24	80(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-70	-13	-44	0.37	13%	-0.46	-86.7	3.45%	0	-1	28	INF
17	Apr_30_2015	101.95	85.88	82.19	81.6	81.49	80.63	80.64(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-80	-24	-54	0.58	13%	-0.46	-77.9	3.48%	0	-0.9	35	INF
18	Apr_29_2015	102.42	86.76	82.29	81.75	82.16	81.86	79.9(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10	-12	-65	0.65	13%	-0.35	-72.9	3.48%	0	-1.1	32	INF
19	Apr_28_2015	102.78	87.73	82.42	82.37	82.23	82.35	81.72(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	10	-9	-84	0.31	25%	-0.37	-70.5	3.48%	0	-0.9	29	INF
20	Apr_27_2015	103.16	88.51	82.93	82.98	82.55	82.46	83(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	4	-76	0.26	25%	-0.23	-71	3.8%	0	-0.8	35	INF

21	Apr_24_2015	103.4	89.51	83.74	82.82	82.82	82.1	82.76(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-60	-6	-84	0.4	25%	-0.19	-65.4	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	INF
22	Apr_23_2015	103.6	90.43	84.37	82.9	82.61	82.65	81.38(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10	-15	-101	0.75	25%	-0.18	-66.7	3.83%	0	-1.2	27	INF
23	Apr_22_2015	103.79	91.42	85.29	82.88	83.03	83.53	83(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	50	20	-100	0.62	25%	-0.2	-68.1	3.83%	0	-1.1	28	INF
24	Apr_21_2015	104	92.51	86.44	82.44	82.43	82.57	84.78(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	10	-2	-120	0.36	23%	-0.22	-71.4	3.83%	0	-1	28	INF
25	Apr_20_2015	104.23	93.43	87.2	82.92	82.41	82.52	82.17(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10	-22	-131	0.47	23%		-73.7	3.87%	0	-1.5	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.