Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $87.6899 (5.58%) ($82.6514 - $87.9365) on Mon. May. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $87.6899(5.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.18(2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.02(5.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.94(5.73%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2015	99.21	82.94	83.02	85.18	84.93	85.06	87.69(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	10	34	0.32	30%	-0.11	-47.9	3.25%	0	1.6	54	INF
2	May_8_2015	99.32	83.08	82.49	83.77	83.85	85.73	83.05(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	160	31	27	0.53	24%	-0.27	-60.2	3.13%	0	-0	53	INF
3	May_7_2015	99.59	83.37	82.45	83.16	82.68	84.8	87.15(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	160	71	34	0.63	26%	-0.3	-70	3.1%	0	1.1	58	INF
4	May_6_2015	99.89	83.49	81.82	81.86	81.15	81.97	84.43(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	38	4	0.46	22%	-0.5	-75.1	3.09%	0	0.2	58	INF
5	May_5_2015	100.39	83.97	81.64	80.95	80.4	80.55	83.6(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10	6	-16	0.49	22%	-0.54	-78.9	3.09%	0	-0.1	58	INF

6	May_4_2015	100.94	84.39	81.7	80.58	80.48	80.32	80.64(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-20	-8	-32	0.32	17%	-0.53	-79.9	3.09%	0	-0.8	36	INF
7	May_1_2015	101.48	84.99	81.87	81.05	81.05	80.24	80(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-70	-13	-44	0.37	13%	-0.46	-86.7	3.45%	0	-1	28	INF
8	Apr_30_2015	101.95	85.88	82.19	81.6	81.49	80.63	80.64(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-80	-24	-54	0.58	13%	-0.46	-77.9	3.48%	0	-0.9	35	INF
9	Apr_29_2015	102.42	86.76	82.29	81.75	82.16	81.86	79.9(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10	-12	-65	0.65	13%	-0.35	-72.9	3.48%	0	-1.1	32	INF
10	Apr_28_2015	102.78	87.73	82.42	82.37	82.23	82.35	81.72(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	10	-9	-84	0.31	25%	-0.37	-70.5	3.48%	0	-0.9	29	INF

11	Apr_27_2015	103.16	88.51	82.93	82.98	82.55	82.46	83(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	4	-76	0.26	25%	-0.23	-71	3.8%	0	-0.8	35	INF
12	Apr_24_2015	103.4	89.51	83.74	82.82	82.82	82.1	82.76(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-60	-6	-84	0.4	25%	-0.19	-65.4	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	INF
13	Apr_23_2015	103.6	90.43	84.37	82.9	82.61	82.65	81.38(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10	-15	-101	0.75	25%	-0.18	-66.7	3.83%	0	-1.2	27	INF
14	Apr_22_2015	103.79	91.42	85.29	82.88	83.03	83.53	83(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	50	20	-100	0.62	25%	-0.2	-68.1	3.83%	0	-1.1	28	INF
15	Apr_21_2015	104	92.51	86.44	82.44	82.43	82.57	84.78(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	10	-2	-120	0.36	23%	-0.22	-71.4	3.83%	0	-1	28	INF

16	Apr_20_2015	104.23	93.43	87.2	82.92	82.41	82.52	82.17(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10	-22	-131	0.47	23%	-0.26	-73.7	3.87%	0	-1.5	29	INF
17	Apr_17_2015	104.5	94.45	88.32	84.89	84.11	82.29	83.15(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-21	-129	0.51	23%	-0.21	-78	3.87%	0	-1.5	25	INF
18	Apr_16_2015	104.72	95.64	89.81	86.16	85.85	82.3	81.28(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-92	-300	-74	-144	0.58	21%	-0.1	-79.3	3.88%	0	-2	26	INF
19	Apr_15_2015	104.82	96.73	91.61	88.05	87.97	85.93	80.83(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-89	-170	-76	-128	0.71	21%	-0.07	-88.1	4.05%	0	-2.4	26	INF
20	Apr_14_2015	104.89	98.3	93.57	90.93	90.27	89.4	87.15(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-90	-23	-92	0.5	23%	0.04	-83.5	4%	0	-1.8	27	INF

21	Apr_13_2015	104.85	99.47	94.65	92.06	91.44	90.01	92.03(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-130	-21	-92	0.31	24%	0.11	-79.5	3.95%	0	-1.2	35	INF
22	Apr_10_2015	104.73	100.59	95.77	92.31	92.11	91.15	89.51(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-80	-40	-93	0.32	31%	0.05	-66.9	4.08%	0	-1.7	33	INF
23	Apr_9_2015	104.68	101.81	96.99	94.08	93.37	92.88	90.75(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-60	-23	-79	0.33	31%	0.03	-52.3	4.11%	0	-1.6	29	INF
24	Apr_8_2015	104.65	102.88	98.07	95.75	95.05	93.07	95.19(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-170	-23	-69	0.29	30%	0.06	-39.6	4.09%	0	-1.2	43	INF
25	Apr_7_2015	104.59	103.77	99.05	96.68	96.29	93.86	92.82(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-190	-55	-82	0.24	30%		-26.3	4.16%	0	-1.7	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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